CYPRUS 1. DIVISION
19.04.2026 13:00
GSP Stadium
Referee: M. Christoforou
Olympiakos
Match Timeline
Akritas
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
5'
Pavel Zabelin
Akritas
🔄
46'
P. Zabelin ↔ G. Vasiliou
Akritas
🔄
56'
C. Wheeler ↔ R. Injgia
Olympiakos
🔄
56'
V. Kovalenko ↔ Joao Mario
Olympiakos
🟨
57'
Vieirinha
Olympiakos
🔄
58'
A. Limbombe ↔ Y. Castro
Akritas
🔄
58'
A. Fernandez ↔ E. Taffertshofer
Akritas
🟨
61'
Kyriakos Antoniou
Akritas
🔄
69'
G. Chatzivasilis ↔ E. Vignato
Akritas
77'
B. M. Manu
Akritas
🔄
80'
Jean Felipe ↔ G. Tocka
Olympiakos
🔄
80'
Vieirinha ↔ M. Charalampous
Olympiakos
🔄
85'
B. M. Manu ↔ Carlitos
Akritas
🟨
86'
Braydon Manu
Akritas
🔄
86'
H. Gomes ↔ A. Bajrovic
Olympiakos
🟨
90+5'
Yair Castro
Akritas

Olympiakos vs Akritas Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 74.1%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 69.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 81.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
74.1%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
69.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
81.9%
-
Probability Distribution
Olympiakos Win 74.1%
Draw 7.6%
Akritas Win 18.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Olympiakos1.29
Akritas1.09
Recent Form (Last 5)
Olympiakos Olympiakos
WWDLW
25 GF / 39 GA
Akritas Akritas
WLDWL
25 GF / 53 GA
Key Stats
0.89
Average Goals Scored
0.89
1.39
Average Goals Conceded
1.89
13
BTTS Yes
10
11
Over 2.5
15
0.56
Shots on Goal
0.92

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Olympiakos Olympiakos 28 matches
Akritas Akritas 28 matches
Olympiakos Statistic Akritas
7 Wins 7
10 Draws 5
11 Losses 16
25 Goals For 25
39 Goals Against 53
0.89 Avg Goals Scored 0.89
1.39 Avg Goals Conceded 1.89
13 BTTS Yes 10
20 Over 1.5 24
11 Over 2.5 15
7 Over 3.5 11
8 Clean Sheets 6
11 Failed To Score 13
0.56 Shots On Goal 0.92
2.56 Total Shots 3.48
0.76 Corners 1.56
15.2% Ball Possession 18.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Akritas arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Olympiakos expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Akritas in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Akritas having the stronger overall control. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Akritas.

Olympiakos Analysis

Olympiakos sit 11 with 31 points after 28 league matches. Their overall return of 7 wins, 10 draws, and 11 losses with goals at 25:39 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Joao Mario (6 goals), I. Pikis (4 goals), J. Tavares (3 goals), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, their split return of 3 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Akritas Analysis

Akritas approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 13 with 26 points from 28 matches. The overall return of 7 wins, 5 draws, and 16 defeats with a 25:53 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on Ioannis Chatzivasilis (5 goals), J. Romo (4 goals), A. Athanasiou (2 goals), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Olympiakos won 5 times, Akritas won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:14 from Olympiakos's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.23 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.4%)
Predicted formations: Olympiakos 3-4-2-1 / Akritas 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Olympiakos wins 5, draws 3, Akritas wins 5

Standings

1-division: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 19 4 3 63:17 46 61
W W D L W
2 26 16 5 5 49:22 27 53
W W D L L
3 26 16 5 5 36:22 14 53
D W D W W
4 26 16 3 7 53:24 29 51
W W D D W
5 26 13 6 7 45:27 18 45
W L W W L
6 26 12 7 7 48:26 22 43
L W D D D
7 26 10 4 12 23:31 -8 34
W L W W D
8 26 10 3 13 31:38 -7 33
L L L W L
9 26 7 11 8 23:33 -10 32
D W W D D
10 26 8 4 14 26:36 -10 28
W L W D D
11 26 6 10 10 22:37 -15 28
L W D L D
12 26 7 5 14 23:48 -25 26
L L L W D
13 26 7 2 17 25:44 -19 23
L L L L W
14 26 0 1 25 5:67 -62 1
L L L L L
Promotion - Cyprus League (Championship Group)
Cyprus League (Relegation Group)