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GREECE › SUPER LEAGUE 1
11.10.2026 18:00
Karaiskakis Stadium
Referee: Alejandro Hernandez
Olympiakos Piraeus
Match Timeline
Panathinaikos
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
25'
Kostas Fortounis
Olympiakos Piraeus
🟨
25'
Vicente Taborda
Panathinaikos
⚽
34'
Panagiotis Retsos · Assist: Remo Freuler
Olympiakos Piraeus
🟨
43'
Santino Andino
Panathinaikos
🟨
45+2'
Panagiotis Retsos
Olympiakos Piraeus
🔄
45'
Etiene Camara ↔ Kings Kangwa
Panathinaikos
🔄
45'
Giorgos Kyriakopoulos ↔ Anass Salah-Eddine
Panathinaikos
🟨
47'
Anass Salah-Eddine
Panathinaikos
🟨
51'
Stefan de Vrij
Panathinaikos
🔄
62'
Vicente Taborda ↔ Levi García
Panathinaikos
🟨
63'
Manolis Saliakas
Olympiakos Piraeus
🟥
66'
Manolis Saliakas
Olympiakos Piraeus
🔄
69'
Marius Mouandilmadji ↔ Roman Yaremchuk
Olympiakos Piraeus
🔄
70'
Kostas Fortounis ↔ Gelson Martins
Olympiakos Piraeus
🔄
70'
Chiquinho ↔ Marcus Pedersen
Olympiakos Piraeus
🔄
73'
Santino Andino ↔ Cyriel Dessers
Panathinaikos
🟨
77'
Levi García
Panathinaikos
🟨
82'
Imrân Louza
Panathinaikos
🔄
83'
Nayair Tiknizyan ↔ Bruno Onyemaechi
Olympiakos Piraeus
🔄
83'
Azzedine Ounahi ↔ Adriano Jagusic
Panathinaikos
🔄
89'
Gustavo Puerta ↔ Santiago Hezze
Olympiakos Piraeus
🟨
90+3'
Adriano Jagusic
Panathinaikos

Olympiakos Piraeus vs Panathinaikos Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 60.1%
Odds 3.87
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds 1.91
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds 2.24
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
60.1%
3.87 ▥
BTTS Yes
54.1%
1.91 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
2.24 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.36 ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
7.50 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
13.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Olympiakos Piraeus Win 36.4%
Draw 3.5%
Panathinaikos Win 60.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Olympiakos Piraeus1.04
Panathinaikos1.79
Recent Form (Last 5)
Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos Piraeus
WWDLW
15 GF / 15 GA
Panathinaikos Panathinaikos
WLDWL
34 GF / 15 GA
Key Stats
1.07
Average Goals Scored
2.27
1.07
Average Goals Conceded
1
7
BTTS Yes
10
6
Over 2.5
12
5.13
Shots on Goal
7.64

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos Piraeus 14 matches
Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 15 matches
Olympiakos Piraeus Statistic Panathinaikos
6 Wins 11
3 Draws 3
5 Losses 1
15 Goals For 34
15 Goals Against 15
1.07 Avg Goals Scored 2.27
1.07 Avg Goals Conceded 1
7 BTTS Yes 10
8 Over 1.5 14
6 Over 2.5 12
2 Over 3.5 7
4 Clean Sheets 5
4 Failed To Score 0
5.13 Shots On Goal 7.64
17.88 Total Shots 17.09
8.5 Corners 6.82
59.5% Ball Possession 57.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Panathinaikos look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Panathinaikos. Panathinaikos carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 15 points while Olympiakos Piraeus sit 5 on 10, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

Olympiakos Piraeus Analysis

Operating from 5 place with 10 points from 5 games, Olympiakos Piraeus bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 3 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, with a 4:2 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on Jota Silva (2 goals), M. Saliakas (1 goals), David Carmo (1 goals), with creative support from M. Saliakas (1 assists), R. Freuler (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Panathinaikos Analysis

Panathinaikos approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 15 points after 5 outings. With 5 wins, 0 draws, and 0 defeats plus a goal balance of 12:2, they continue to show very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by V. Taborda (3 goals), A. Tetteh (3 goals), K. Kangwa (1 goals), with creative support from V. Taborda (1 assists), K. Kangwa (1 assists), G. Kiriakopoulos (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Olympiakos Piraeus won 5 times, Panathinaikos won 3 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:14 from Olympiakos Piraeus's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.5%)
Predicted formations: Olympiakos Piraeus 4-2-3-1 / Panathinaikos 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Olympiakos Piraeus wins 5, draws 7, Panathinaikos wins 3

Standings

Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 5 5 0 0 12:2 10 15
W W W W W
2 6 4 2 0 16:3 13 14
W W D W D
3 5 4 0 1 12:5 7 12
W W L W W
4 6 3 1 2 8:7 1 10
L D W W L
5 5 3 1 1 4:2 2 10
W L D W W
6 5 3 0 2 8:7 1 9
L L W W W
7 5 2 1 2 5:10 -5 7
D L L W W
8 5 1 3 1 4:6 -2 6
D D W D L
9 5 1 2 2 4:7 -3 5
W D L L D
10 6 1 2 3 6:10 -4 5
W D D L L
11 5 1 1 3 6:8 -2 4
L W D L L
12 6 0 2 4 5:9 -4 2
L L D D L
13 5 0 1 4 0:9 -9 1
L D L L L
14 5 0 2 3 4:9 -5
L L D D L
Promotion - Super League (Championship Group)
Promotion - Super League (Conference League Group)
Super League (Relegation Group)