Login Register
GREECE › SUPER LEAGUE 1
25.10.2026 14:00
Georgios Karaiskakis Stadium

Olympiakos Piraeus vs Kalamata Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 57.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 48.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
57.6%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
62.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
48.9%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Olympiakos Piraeus Win 57.6%
Draw 4.6%
Kalamata Win 37.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Olympiakos Piraeus1.27
Kalamata1.48
Recent Form (Last 5)
Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos Piraeus
WWDLW
19 GF / 15 GA
Kalamata Kalamata
WLDWL
15 GF / 12 GA
Key Stats
1.12
Average Goals Scored
1.88
0.88
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
7
BTTS Yes
5
6
Over 2.5
4
4.91
Shots on Goal
4.86

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos Piraeus 17 matches
Kalamata Kalamata 8 matches
Olympiakos Piraeus Statistic Kalamata
9 Wins 4
3 Draws 1
5 Losses 3
19 Goals For 15
15 Goals Against 12
1.12 Avg Goals Scored 1.88
0.88 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5
7 BTTS Yes 5
9 Over 1.5 7
6 Over 2.5 4
2 Over 3.5 4
7 Clean Sheets 1
4 Failed To Score 2
4.91 Shots On Goal 4.86
16.91 Total Shots 11.86
6.73 Corners 2.57
55.8% Ball Possession 42%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Olympiakos Piraeus's more proactive style and Kalamata's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Olympiakos Piraeus arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 13 points compared to Kalamata in 10 on 7, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Kalamata. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Olympiakos Piraeus Analysis

Operating from 3 place with 13 points from 6 games, Olympiakos Piraeus bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 4 wins, 1 draws, and 1 defeats plus a goal balance of 5:2, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by Jota Silva (2 goals), M. Saliakas (1 goals), P. Retsos (1 goals), with creative support from R. Freuler (2 assists), M. Saliakas (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, the split of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Kalamata Analysis

Kalamata sit 10 with 7 points after 6 league matches. The record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 9:9 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through E. Hamza (2 goals), K. Vargas (2 goals), J. Bolívar (1 goals), with creative support from Julio Alonso (2 assists), A. Mendes Moreira (2 assists), D. Diarra (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Olympiakos Piraeus won 2 times, Kalamata won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:1 from Olympiakos Piraeus's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.4%)
Predicted formations: Olympiakos Piraeus 4-2-3-1 / Kalamata 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Olympiakos Piraeus wins 2, draws 0, Kalamata wins 0

Standings

Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 7 6 0 1 17:4 13 18
W L W W W
2 7 5 1 1 7:2 5 16
W W W L D
3 7 5 0 2 15:9 6 15
W L W W L
4 6 4 2 0 16:3 13 14
W W D W D
5 7 4 1 2 10:13 -3 13
W W D L L
6 7 3 1 3 13:12 1 10
W W L W D
7 7 3 1 3 11:11 0 10
L L D W W
8 7 2 3 2 7:8 -1 9
L W D D W
9 7 3 0 4 8:11 -3 9
L L L L W
10 7 2 2 3 7:9 -2 8
L W W D L
11 7 1 2 4 7:15 -8 5
L W D D L
12 6 0 2 4 5:9 -4 2
L L D D L
13 7 0 2 5 0:11 -11 2
D L L D L
14 7 0 3 4 6:12 -6 0
D L L L D
Promotion - Super League (Championship Group)
Promotion - Super League (Conference League Group)
Super League (Relegation Group)