PARAGUAY DIVISION PROFESIONAL - APERTURA
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Osvaldo Dominguez Dibb
Referee: J. Benitez
Olimpia
Match Timeline
Sportivo Ameliano
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
28'
Elvio Vera
Sportivo Ameliano
28'
E. Vera · Assist: J. Benitez
Sportivo Ameliano
🔄
43'
R. Sanchez ↔ R. Lezcano
Olimpia
🔄
46'
H. Quintana ↔ A. Alcaraz
Olimpia
🔄
46'
J. Sanguina ↔ L. Ayala
Sportivo Ameliano
🔄
61'
E. Delmas ↔ A. Silva
Olimpia
🔄
61'
S. Ferreira ↔ H. Sandoval
Olimpia
🔄
61'
S. Aranda ↔ C. Favero
Sportivo Ameliano
🔄
61'
V. Larralde ↔ M. Leon
Sportivo Ameliano
VAR
65'
Mateo Gamarra
Olimpia
🟨
66'
Miguel Martínez
Sportivo Ameliano
67'
A. Silva
Olimpia
🟨
70'
Andrea Falabella
Sportivo Ameliano
🔄
72'
E. Vera ↔ C. Ocampos
Sportivo Ameliano
🟨
73'
Romeo Benítez
Olimpia
🔄
84'
R. Benitez ↔ A. F. Franco Zayas
Olimpia
🔄
86'
J. Benitez ↔ E. Moreira
Sportivo Ameliano
🟨
90+2'
Hugo Sandoval
Olimpia

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 56.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 87.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 63.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
56.2%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
87.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
63.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.8%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Olimpia Win 56.2%
Draw 11.1%
Sportivo Ameliano Win 32.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Olimpia1.3
Sportivo Ameliano1.04
Recent Form (Last 5)
Olimpia Olimpia
WWDLW
29 GF / 14 GA
Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano
WLDWL
22 GF / 15 GA
Key Stats
1.61
Average Goals Scored
1.22
0.78
Average Goals Conceded
0.83
9
BTTS Yes
10
8
Over 2.5
6
5.47
Shots on Goal
3.39

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Olimpia Olimpia 18 matches
Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 18 matches
Olimpia Statistic Sportivo Ameliano
12 Wins 7
3 Draws 8
3 Losses 3
29 Goals For 22
14 Goals Against 15
1.61 Avg Goals Scored 1.22
0.78 Avg Goals Conceded 0.83
9 BTTS Yes 10
12 Over 1.5 12
8 Over 2.5 6
3 Over 3.5 2
9 Clean Sheets 5
1 Failed To Score 4
5.47 Shots On Goal 3.39
15.41 Total Shots 11.39
4.82 Corners 4.17
57.1% Ball Possession 49%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Olimpia arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 39 points compared to Sportivo Ameliano in 3 on 29, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Olimpia expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Sportivo Ameliano in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Sportivo Ameliano having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Sportivo Ameliano. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Olimpia Analysis

Olimpia come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 1 with 39 points from 17 matches. Their overall return of 12 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 28:12 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by A. Alcaraz (6 goals), G. Vargas (3 goals), S. Ferreira (3 goals), with creative support from H. Quintana (2 assists), R. Sanchez (2 assists), A. F. Rodriguez Armoa (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 6 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Sportivo Ameliano Analysis

Sportivo Ameliano come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 3 with 29 points from 18 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 8 draws, and 3 losses, while the 22:15 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on E. Vera (7 goals), R. Cabral (3 goals), A. Falabella (2 goals), with creative support from R. Cabral (3 assists), A. Paredes (2 assists), E. Vera (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Olimpia won 4 times, Sportivo Ameliano won 6 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:17 from Olimpia's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.9%)
Predicted formations: Olimpia 4-3-3 / Sportivo Ameliano 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Olimpia wins 4, draws 5, Sportivo Ameliano wins 6
Stats
Olimpia Olimpia
Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano
Shots on Goal
3
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
12
Shots off Goal
2
Blocked Shots
7
Blocked Shots
1
4 Corner Kicks 0
10 Fouls 12
3 Offsides 4
54% Ball Possession 46%
22 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Goal 2
12 Shots off Goal 2
7 Blocked Shots 1
10 Shots insidebox 4
12 Shots outsidebox 1
1 Goalkeeper Saves 2
437 Total passes 386
367 Passes accurate 325
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Olimpia
Formation
Sportivo Ameliano
G. Olveira
G. Olveira
R. Caceres
R. Caceres
G. Vargas
G. Vargas
M. Gamarra
M. Gamarra
A. F. Rodriguez Armoa
A. F. Rodriguez Armoa
J. F. Alfaro
J. F. Alfaro
E. Delmas
E. Delmas
R. Sanchez
R. Sanchez
H. Quintana
H. Quintana
R. Benitez
R. Benitez
S. Ferreira
S. Ferreira
M. Martinez
M. Martinez
F. Franco
F. Franco
J. Gonzalez
J. Gonzalez
A. Falabella
A. Falabella
A. Paredes
A. Paredes
J. Benitez
🎯
J. Benitez
S. Aranda
S. Aranda
V. Larralde
V. Larralde
R. Cabral
R. Cabral
E. Vera
E. Vera
J. Sanguina
J. Sanguina
Olimpia 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
1
G. Olveira
G
27
R. Caceres
D
14
G. Vargas
D
15
M. Gamarra
D
30
A. F. Rodriguez Armoa
D
5
J. F. Alfaro
M
20
E. Delmas
↓ 61'
M
26
R. Sanchez
↓ 43'
M
28
H. Quintana
↓ 46'
M
37
R. Benitez
↓ 84' 🟨 73'
M
11
S. Ferreira
↓ 61'
F
Substitutes
25
S. Lentinelly
G
3
A. Silva
⚽ 67' ↑ 61'
M
2
B. Bentaberry
D
9
H. Sandoval
↑ 61' 🟨 90+2'
F
17
A. Alcaraz
↑ 46'
F
8
A. F. Franco Zayas
↑ 84'
M
19
R. Lezcano
↑ 43'
M
7
F. Cardozo
F
22
J. Vera
D
23
R. Perez
M
4
L. Morales
M
29
I. Leguizamon
M
Sportivo Ameliano 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
23
M. Martinez
🟨 66'
G
21
F. Franco
D
26
J. Gonzalez
D
22
A. Falabella
🟨 70'
D
19
A. Paredes
D
6
J. Benitez
🎯 28' ↓ 86'
M
11
S. Aranda
↓ 61'
M
20
V. Larralde
↓ 61'
M
30
R. Cabral
M
10
E. Vera
⚽ 28' ↓ 72' 🟨 28'
M
28
J. Sanguina
↓ 46'
F
Substitutes
35
A. Sanchez
G
34
M. Benitez
D
27
M. Jacquet
D
8
E. Moreira
↑ 86'
M
5
H. Benitez
D
24
L. Ayala
↑ 46'
M
17
C. Favero
↑ 61'
F
40
A. Contrera
M
15
W. Rodriguez
M
9
C. Ocampos
↑ 72'
F
36
M. Leon
↑ 61'
F
38
F. Portillo
M
Last matches: Olimpia
23.05.26
Div
Olimpia
Sportivo Luqueno
2
1
W
15.05.26
Div
Olimpia
Deportivo Recoleta
3
2
W
10.05.26
Div
Olimpia
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
0
1
L
25.04.26
Div
Olimpia
Libertad Asuncion
2
3
L
12.04.26
Div
Olimpia
Rubio NU
2
0
W
04.04.26
Div
Olimpia
Nacional Asuncion
3
0
W
01.04.26
Div
Olimpia
Sportivo Trinidense
1
2
L
28.03.26
Div
Olimpia
2 de Mayo
4
1
W
21.03.26
Div
Olimpia
Club Guarani
2
0
W
17.03.26
Div
Olimpia
Sportivo Luqueno
1
0
W
14.03.26
Div
Olimpia
Deportivo Recoleta
1
0
W
08.03.26
Div
Olimpia
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
1
1
D
28.02.26
Div
Olimpia
Sportivo Ameliano
1
0
W
25.02.26
Div
Olimpia
Libertad Asuncion
1
0
W
21.02.26
Div
Olimpia
Cerro Porteno
1
0
W
14.02.26
Div
Olimpia
Rubio NU
0
0
D
08.02.26
Div
Olimpia
Nacional Asuncion
2
1
W
01.02.26
Div
Olimpia
Sportivo Trinidense
3
2
W
28.01.26
Div
Olimpia
2 de Mayo
1
1
D
25.01.26
Div
Olimpia
Club Guarani
2
1
W
Last matches: Sportivo Ameliano
24.05.26
Div
Sportivo Ameliano
Sportivo Trinidense
1
2
L
16.05.26
Div
Sportivo Ameliano
Club Guarani
0
1
L
11.05.26
Div
Sportivo Ameliano
Deportivo Recoleta
3
2
W
24.04.26
Div
Sportivo Ameliano
Cerro Porteno
1
1
D
20.04.26
Div
Sportivo Ameliano
Nacional Asuncion
1
1
D
10.04.26
Div
Sportivo Ameliano
2 de Mayo
2
1
W
05.04.26
Div
Sportivo Ameliano
Sportivo Luqueno
2
2
D
31.03.26
Div
Sportivo Ameliano
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
2
1
W
27.03.26
Div
Sportivo Ameliano
Libertad Asuncion
2
0
W
23.03.26
Div
Sportivo Ameliano
Rubio NU
2
1
W
19.03.26
Div
Sportivo Ameliano
Sportivo Trinidense
1
1
D
15.03.26
Div
Sportivo Ameliano
Club Guarani
0
0
D
09.03.26
Div
Sportivo Ameliano
Deportivo Recoleta
1
1
D
28.02.26
Div
Sportivo Ameliano
Olimpia
0
1
L
25.02.26
Div
Sportivo Ameliano
Cerro Porteno
0
1
L
19.02.26
Div
Sportivo Ameliano
Nacional Asuncion
1
1
D
14.02.26
Div
Sportivo Ameliano
2 de Mayo
3
0
W
06.02.26
Div
Sportivo Ameliano
Sportivo Luqueno
1
0
W
31.01.26
Div
Sportivo Ameliano
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
1
0
W
28.01.26
Div
Sportivo Ameliano
Libertad Asuncion
0
1
L
H2H: Olimpia vs Sportivo Ameliano
03.05.26
H2H
Olimpia
Sportivo Ameliano
1
1
D
28.02.26
H2H
Sportivo Ameliano
Olimpia
0
1
W
04.10.25
H2H
Olimpia
Sportivo Ameliano
2
1
W
27.07.25
H2H
Sportivo Ameliano
Olimpia
1
1
D
13.04.25
H2H
Olimpia
Sportivo Ameliano
0
0
D
30.01.25
H2H
Sportivo Ameliano
Olimpia
2
2
D
03.11.24
H2H
Sportivo Ameliano
Olimpia
1
0
L
25.08.24
H2H
Olimpia
Sportivo Ameliano
1
0
W
29.04.24
H2H
Olimpia
Sportivo Ameliano
0
1
L
08.03.24
H2H
Sportivo Ameliano
Olimpia
2
0
L
04.02.24
H2H
Sportivo Ameliano
Olimpia
2
1
L
11.11.23
H2H
Sportivo Ameliano
Olimpia
1
0
L
20.09.23
H2H
Olimpia
Sportivo Ameliano
4
0
W
30.05.23
H2H
Olimpia
Sportivo Ameliano
1
3
L
25.03.23
H2H
Sportivo Ameliano
Olimpia
2
2
D
Last matches: Olimpia
15.05.26
Div
Olimpia
Deportivo Recoleta
3
2
W
04.04.26
Div
Olimpia
Nacional Asuncion
3
0
W
28.03.26
Div
Olimpia
2 de Mayo
4
1
W
17.03.26
Div
Olimpia
Sportivo Luqueno
1
0
W
08.03.26
Div
Olimpia
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
1
1
D
25.02.26
Div
Olimpia
Libertad Asuncion
1
0
W
14.02.26
Div
Olimpia
Rubio NU
0
0
D
01.02.26
Div
Olimpia
Sportivo Trinidense
3
2
W
25.01.26
Div
Olimpia
Club Guarani
2
1
W
H2H at home: Olimpia
03.05.26
H2H
Olimpia
Sportivo Ameliano
1
1
D
04.10.25
H2H
Olimpia
Sportivo Ameliano
2
1
W
13.04.25
H2H
Olimpia
Sportivo Ameliano
0
0
D
25.08.24
H2H
Olimpia
Sportivo Ameliano
1
0
W
29.04.24
H2H
Olimpia
Sportivo Ameliano
0
1
L
20.09.23
H2H
Olimpia
Sportivo Ameliano
4
0
W
30.05.23
H2H
Olimpia
Sportivo Ameliano
1
3
L
Last matches: Sportivo Ameliano
16.05.26
Div
Sportivo Ameliano
Club Guarani
0
1
L
24.04.26
Div
Sportivo Ameliano
Cerro Porteno
1
1
D
10.04.26
Div
Sportivo Ameliano
2 de Mayo
2
1
W
31.03.26
Div
Sportivo Ameliano
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
2
1
W
23.03.26
Div
Sportivo Ameliano
Rubio NU
2
1
W
19.03.26
Div
Sportivo Ameliano
Sportivo Trinidense
1
1
D
09.03.26
Div
Sportivo Ameliano
Deportivo Recoleta
1
1
D
19.02.26
Div
Sportivo Ameliano
Nacional Asuncion
1
1
D
06.02.26
Div
Sportivo Ameliano
Sportivo Luqueno
1
0
W
28.01.26
Div
Sportivo Ameliano
Libertad Asuncion
0
1
L
H2H away: Sportivo Ameliano
03.05.26
H2H
Olimpia
Sportivo Ameliano
1
1
D
04.10.25
H2H
Olimpia
Sportivo Ameliano
2
1
L
13.04.25
H2H
Olimpia
Sportivo Ameliano
0
0
D
25.08.24
H2H
Olimpia
Sportivo Ameliano
1
0
L
29.04.24
H2H
Olimpia
Sportivo Ameliano
0
1
W
20.09.23
H2H
Olimpia
Sportivo Ameliano
4
0
L
30.05.23
H2H
Olimpia
Sportivo Ameliano
1
3
W

Standings

Primera Division: Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 15 4 3 37:17 20 49
W W L D L
2 22 10 9 3 31:22 9 39
W D W W W
3 22 11 5 6 30:22 8 38
W L D L D
4 22 8 9 5 27:21 6 33
L L W D D
5 22 8 8 6 30:24 6 32
W W L L L
6 22 9 4 9 34:26 8 31
L D W W W
7 22 7 8 7 27:23 4 29
L W D L D
8 22 8 4 10 35:32 3 28
W L L W L
9 22 6 5 11 15:26 -11 23
L D L D W
10 22 5 7 10 18:35 -17 22
L D W W D
11 22 5 5 12 24:33 -9 20
L D L D W
12 22 3 6 13 14:41 -27 15
W D W L L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)