ENGLAND LEAGUE TWO
--.--.---- --:--
Boundary Park
Referee: W. Finnie
Oldham
Match Timeline
Salford City
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
3'
Ryan Woods
Oldham
4'
A. Oluwo · Assist: L. Garbutt
Salford City
45'
D. Udoh · Assist: R. Graydon
Salford City
🔄
46'
O. Hammond ↔ J. Garner
Oldham
61'
J. Hawkes · Assist: T. Pett
Oldham
🟨
63'
Joe Garner
Oldham
🟨
75'
Mike Fondop
Oldham
🔄
80'
R. Longelo-Mbule ↔ A. Dorrington
Salford City
🟨
83'
Haji Mnoga
Salford City
🔄
87'
M. Fondop-Talum ↔ J. Leake
Oldham
🟨
90'
Ryan Graydon
Salford City
🔄
90+2'
R. Graydon ↔ P. Ehibhatiomhan
Salford City

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 52.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 57.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 55.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
52.5%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
57.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
55.5%
-
Probability Distribution
Oldham Win 52.5%
Draw 0%
Salford City Win 47.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Oldham1.24
Salford City1.21
Recent Form (Last 5)
Oldham Oldham
WWDLW
58 GF / 43 GA
Salford City Salford City
WLDWL
65 GF / 55 GA
Key Stats
1.29
Average Goals Scored
1.38
0.96
Average Goals Conceded
1.17
20
BTTS Yes
23
21
Over 2.5
21
4.4
Shots on Goal
4.54

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Oldham Oldham 45 matches
Salford City Salford City 47 matches
Oldham Statistic Salford City
18 Wins 25
14 Draws 6
13 Losses 16
58 Goals For 65
43 Goals Against 55
1.29 Avg Goals Scored 1.38
0.96 Avg Goals Conceded 1.17
20 BTTS Yes 23
29 Over 1.5 31
21 Over 2.5 21
10 Over 3.5 14
18 Clean Sheets 14
13 Failed To Score 13
4.4 Shots On Goal 4.54
12.49 Total Shots 13.57
4.96 Corners 5.48
45.6% Ball Possession 49.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Oldham expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Salford City in 5-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Salford City having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Salford City. Oldham have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Oldham Analysis

Oldham approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 11 with 65 points from 43 matches. The overall return of 17 wins, 14 draws, and 12 defeats with a 52:36 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Mike Fondop (8 goals), K. Drummond (7 goals), M. Mellon (7 goals), with creative support from J. Robson (5 assists), Mike Fondop (4 assists), J. Stevens (4 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, the split record of 9 wins, 8 draws, and 4 losses points to a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

Salford City Analysis

So far, Salford City have built a campaign that leaves them 6 in the table on 74 points from 43 matches. Their overall return of 23 wins, 5 draws, and 15 losses with goals at 57:50 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by D. Udoh (8 goals), A. Oluwo (5 goals), K. N'Mai (5 goals), with creative support from D. Udoh (7 assists), K. N'Mai (4 assists), K. Cesay (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, their split return of 10 wins, 1 draws, and 10 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Oldham won 2 times, Salford City won 6 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:15 from Oldham's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.44 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Oldham 4-4-2 / Salford City 5-3-2
H2H summary: Oldham wins 2, draws 1, Salford City wins 6
Stats
Oldham Oldham
Salford City Salford City
Shots on Goal
2
Shots on Goal
5
Shots off Goal
6
Shots off Goal
6
Blocked Shots
4
Blocked Shots
3
7 Corner Kicks 4
13 Fouls 15
3 Offsides 2
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Goal 5
6 Shots off Goal 6
4 Blocked Shots 3
8 Shots insidebox 12
4 Shots outsidebox 2
3 Goalkeeper Saves 1
340 Total passes 311
218 Passes accurate 202
0.53 expected_goals 2.73
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Oldham
Formation
Salford City
M. Hudson
M. Hudson
W. Sutton
W. Sutton
D. Simeu
D. Simeu
M. Monthe
M. Monthe
J. Robson
J. Robson
K. Taylor
K. Taylor
T. Pett
🎯
T. Pett
R. Woods
R. Woods
J. Hawkes
J. Hawkes
O. Hammond
O. Hammond
M. Fondop-Talum
M. Fondop-Talum
M. Young
M. Young
H. Mnoga
H. Mnoga
A. Oluwo
A. Oluwo
B. Cooper
B. Cooper
L. Garbutt
🎯
L. Garbutt
R. Longelo-Mbule
R. Longelo-Mbule
M. Butcher
M. Butcher
J. Austerfield
J. Austerfield
J. Grant
J. Grant
R. Graydon
🎯
R. Graydon
D. Udoh
D. Udoh
Oldham 4-4-2
Starting XI
1
M. Hudson
G
16
W. Sutton
D
40
D. Simeu
D
6
M. Monthe
D
24
J. Robson
D
7
K. Taylor
M
4
T. Pett
🎯 61'
M
8
R. Woods
🟨 3'
M
21
J. Hawkes
⚽ 61'
M
27
O. Hammond
↓ 46'
F
9
M. Fondop-Talum
↓ 87' 🟨 75'
F
Substitutes
31
T. Donaghy
G
14
J. Garner
↑ 46' 🟨 63'
F
3
J. Leake
↑ 87'
D
22
F. Jalo
F
38
F. McMahon-Brown
M
Salford City 4-4-2
Starting XI
1
M. Young
G
19
H. Mnoga
🟨 83'
D
22
A. Oluwo
⚽ 4'
D
15
B. Cooper
D
29
L. Garbutt
🎯 4'
D
45
R. Longelo-Mbule
↓ 80'
M
18
M. Butcher
M
17
J. Austerfield
M
8
J. Grant
M
26
R. Graydon
🎯 45' ↓ 90+2' 🟨 90'
F
23
D. Udoh
⚽ 45'
F
Substitutes
33
M. Howard
G
9
C. Stockton
F
24
A. Dorrington
↑ 80'
D
25
P. Ehibhatiomhan
↑ 90+2'
F
30
K. Malcolm
M
6
O. Turton
D
27
N. Siri
F
Last matches: Oldham
02.05.26
Lea
Oldham
Accrington ST
3
0
W
25.04.26
Lea
Oldham
Newport County
2
3
L
14.04.26
Lea
Oldham
Barrow
2
3
L
11.04.26
Lea
Oldham
Shrewsbury
0
1
L
06.04.26
Lea
Oldham
Milton Keynes Dons
1
1
D
03.04.26
Lea
Oldham
Colchester
3
1
W
28.03.26
Lea
Oldham
Crewe
1
2
L
24.03.26
Lea
Oldham
Notts County
3
0
W
21.03.26
Lea
Oldham
Harrogate Town
1
0
W
17.03.26
Lea
Oldham
Chesterfield
3
0
W
14.03.26
Lea
Oldham
Grimsby
1
0
W
07.03.26
Lea
Oldham
Tranmere
3
1
W
03.03.26
Lea
Oldham
Bromley
0
0
D
28.02.26
Lea
Oldham
Crawley Town
2
0
W
21.02.26
Lea
Oldham
Gillingham
3
0
W
17.02.26
Lea
Oldham
Bristol Rovers
2
0
W
14.02.26
Lea
Oldham
Fleetwood Town
1
1
D
07.02.26
Lea
Oldham
Swindon Town
0
3
L
31.01.26
Lea
Oldham
Cambridge United
0
3
L
24.01.26
Lea
Oldham
Barnet
2
3
L
Last matches: Salford City
25.05.26
Lea
Salford City
Notts County
0
3
L
15.05.26
Lea
Salford City
Grimsby
2
2
D
10.05.26
Lea
Salford City
Grimsby
2
1
W
02.05.26
Lea
Salford City
Crawley Town
0
0
D
23.04.26
Lea
Salford City
Bromley
2
0
W
11.04.26
Lea
Salford City
Gillingham
0
0
D
06.04.26
Lea
Salford City
Crewe
0
1
L
03.04.26
Lea
Salford City
Notts County
2
1
W
28.03.26
Lea
Salford City
Milton Keynes Dons
1
0
W
21.03.26
Lea
Salford City
Cambridge United
0
1
L
17.03.26
Lea
Salford City
Barrow
3
1
W
14.03.26
Lea
Salford City
Harrogate Town
1
0
W
10.03.26
Lea
Salford City
Walsall
1
0
W
07.03.26
Lea
Salford City
Barnet
2
0
W
03.03.26
Lea
Salford City
Grimsby
1
3
L
28.02.26
Lea
Salford City
Colchester
1
0
W
24.02.26
Lea
Salford City
Shrewsbury
1
2
L
21.02.26
Lea
Salford City
Cheltenham
2
3
L
17.02.26
Lea
Salford City
Newport County
1
3
L
14.02.26
FA
Salford City
Manchester City
0
2
L
H2H: Oldham vs Salford City
18.04.26
H2H
Oldham
Salford City
1
2
L
18.10.25
H2H
Salford City
Oldham
1
0
L
23.04.22
H2H
Oldham
Salford City
1
2
L
27.11.21
H2H
Salford City
Oldham
2
0
L
31.08.21
H2H
Oldham
Salford City
1
0
W
30.01.21
H2H
Oldham
Salford City
2
1
W
31.10.20
H2H
Salford City
Oldham
2
0
L
25.01.20
H2H
Salford City
Oldham
1
1
D
29.12.19
H2H
Oldham
Salford City
1
4
L
Last matches: Oldham
02.05.26
Lea
Oldham
Accrington ST
3
0
W
06.04.26
Lea
Oldham
Milton Keynes Dons
1
1
D
24.03.26
Lea
Oldham
Notts County
3
0
W
21.03.26
Lea
Oldham
Harrogate Town
1
0
W
14.03.26
Lea
Oldham
Grimsby
1
0
W
28.02.26
Lea
Oldham
Crawley Town
2
0
W
17.02.26
Lea
Oldham
Bristol Rovers
2
0
W
14.02.26
Lea
Oldham
Fleetwood Town
1
1
D
31.01.26
Lea
Oldham
Cambridge United
0
3
L
17.01.26
Lea
Oldham
Cheltenham
2
1
W
01.01.26
Lea
Oldham
Chesterfield
1
1
D
20.12.25
Lea
Oldham
Tranmere
3
1
W
10.12.25
Lea
Oldham
Walsall
0
1
L
22.11.25
Lea
Oldham
Newport County
3
0
W
15.11.25
Lea
Oldham
Crewe
0
0
D
01.11.25
FA
Oldham
Northampton
3
1
W
25.10.25
Lea
Oldham
Shrewsbury
2
2
D
11.10.25
Lea
Oldham
Barrow
0
0
D
27.09.25
Lea
Oldham
Barnet
1
1
D
13.09.25
Lea
Oldham
Bromley
1
0
W
H2H at home: Oldham
18.04.26
H2H
Oldham
Salford City
1
2
L
23.04.22
H2H
Oldham
Salford City
1
2
L
31.08.21
H2H
Oldham
Salford City
1
0
W
30.01.21
H2H
Oldham
Salford City
2
1
W
29.12.19
H2H
Oldham
Salford City
1
4
L
Last matches: Salford City
25.05.26
Lea
Salford City
Notts County
0
3
L
10.05.26
Lea
Salford City
Grimsby
2
1
W
02.05.26
Lea
Salford City
Crawley Town
0
0
D
06.04.26
Lea
Salford City
Crewe
0
1
L
21.03.26
Lea
Salford City
Cambridge United
0
1
L
14.03.26
Lea
Salford City
Harrogate Town
1
0
W
03.03.26
Lea
Salford City
Grimsby
1
3
L
28.02.26
Lea
Salford City
Colchester
1
0
W
21.02.26
Lea
Salford City
Cheltenham
2
3
L
14.02.26
FA
Salford City
Manchester City
0
2
L
05.02.26
Lea
Salford City
Accrington ST
0
1
L
31.01.26
Lea
Salford City
Tranmere
2
0
W
17.01.26
Lea
Salford City
Swindon Town
3
2
W
01.01.26
Lea
Salford City
Barrow
2
1
W
20.12.25
Lea
Salford City
Barnet
3
1
W
09.12.25
Lea
Salford City
Fleetwood Town
1
1
D
22.11.25
Lea
Salford City
Bromley
0
2
L
15.11.25
Lea
Salford City
Milton Keynes Dons
0
2
L
25.10.25
Lea
Salford City
Gillingham
2
1
W
11.10.25
Lea
Salford City
Chesterfield
0
2
L
H2H away: Salford City
18.04.26
H2H
Oldham
Salford City
1
2
W
23.04.22
H2H
Oldham
Salford City
1
2
W
31.08.21
H2H
Oldham
Salford City
1
0
L
30.01.21
H2H
Oldham
Salford City
2
1
L
29.12.19
H2H
Oldham
Salford City
1
4
W

Standings

League Two
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 46 24 15 7 71:46 25 87
W L D L W
2 46 24 14 8 86:45 41 86
D W W W D
3 46 22 16 8 66:33 33 82
D W L D W
4 46 25 6 15 61:51 10 81
L D W D W
5 46 24 8 14 74:52 22 80
W D W D W
6 46 21 16 9 71:56 15 79
D L W W D
7 46 22 12 12 74:50 24 78
D L D W W
8 46 21 13 12 70:53 17 76
W W W W W
9 46 22 9 15 70:59 11 75
L L D L W
10 46 18 14 14 60:44 16 68
W L L L L
11 46 19 10 17 64:58 6 67
D L L L W
12 46 18 12 16 62:49 13 66
W L L W W
13 46 18 11 17 56:56 0 65
L L W L L
14 46 19 5 22 56:65 -9 62
D W W W W
15 46 15 16 15 57:58 -1 61
D D D W L
16 46 14 11 21 47:58 -11 53
L D D L L
17 46 13 14 19 53:72 -19 53
W L L L D
18 46 14 10 22 53:79 -26 52
L L L W W
19 46 13 10 23 42:69 -27 49
L D D W L
20 46 12 7 27 48:77 -29 43
W W L W L
21 46 10 11 25 54:79 -25 41
D L W L D
22 46 8 16 22 44:68 -24 40
D D D L L
23 46 10 9 27 39:68 -29 39
L W W L L
24 46 9 9 28 45:78 -33 36
L L L W L
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation