ENGLAND LEAGUE TWO
18.04.2026 14:00
Boundary Park
Referee: W. Finnie
Oldham
Match Timeline
Salford City
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
3'
Ryan Woods
Oldham
4'
A. Oluwo · Assist: L. Garbutt
Salford City
45'
D. Udoh · Assist: R. Graydon
Salford City
🔄
46'
O. Hammond ↔ J. Garner
Oldham
61'
J. Hawkes · Assist: T. Pett
Oldham
🟨
63'
Joe Garner
Oldham
🟨
75'
Mike Fondop
Oldham
🔄
80'
R. Longelo-Mbule ↔ A. Dorrington
Salford City
🟨
83'
Haji Mnoga
Salford City
🔄
87'
M. Fondop-Talum ↔ J. Leake
Oldham
🟨
90'
Ryan Graydon
Salford City
🔄
90+2'
R. Graydon ↔ P. Ehibhatiomhan
Salford City

Oldham vs Salford City Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 52.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 57.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 55.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
52.5%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
57.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
55.5%
-
Probability Distribution
Oldham Win 52.5%
Draw 0%
Salford City Win 47.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Oldham1.24
Salford City1.21
Recent Form (Last 5)
Oldham Oldham
WWDLW
58 GF / 43 GA
Salford City Salford City
WLDWL
65 GF / 55 GA
Key Stats
1.29
Average Goals Scored
1.38
0.96
Average Goals Conceded
1.17
20
BTTS Yes
23
21
Over 2.5
21
4.4
Shots on Goal
4.54

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Oldham Oldham 45 matches
Salford City Salford City 47 matches
Oldham Statistic Salford City
18 Wins 25
14 Draws 6
13 Losses 16
58 Goals For 65
43 Goals Against 55
1.29 Avg Goals Scored 1.38
0.96 Avg Goals Conceded 1.17
20 BTTS Yes 23
29 Over 1.5 31
21 Over 2.5 21
10 Over 3.5 14
18 Clean Sheets 14
13 Failed To Score 13
4.4 Shots On Goal 4.54
12.49 Total Shots 13.57
4.96 Corners 5.48
45.6% Ball Possession 49.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Oldham expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Salford City in 5-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Salford City having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Salford City. Oldham have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Oldham Analysis

Oldham approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 11 with 65 points from 43 matches. The overall return of 17 wins, 14 draws, and 12 defeats with a 52:36 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Mike Fondop (8 goals), K. Drummond (7 goals), M. Mellon (7 goals), with creative support from J. Robson (5 assists), Mike Fondop (4 assists), J. Stevens (4 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, the split record of 9 wins, 8 draws, and 4 losses points to a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

Salford City Analysis

So far, Salford City have built a campaign that leaves them 6 in the table on 74 points from 43 matches. Their overall return of 23 wins, 5 draws, and 15 losses with goals at 57:50 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by D. Udoh (8 goals), A. Oluwo (5 goals), K. N'Mai (5 goals), with creative support from D. Udoh (7 assists), K. N'Mai (4 assists), K. Cesay (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, their split return of 10 wins, 1 draws, and 10 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Oldham won 2 times, Salford City won 6 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:15 from Oldham's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.44 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Oldham 4-4-2 / Salford City 5-3-2
H2H summary: Oldham wins 2, draws 1, Salford City wins 6

Standings

League Two
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 46 24 15 7 71:46 25 87
W L D L W
2 46 24 14 8 86:45 41 86
D W W W D
3 46 22 16 8 66:33 33 82
D W L D W
4 46 25 6 15 61:51 10 81
L D W D W
5 46 24 8 14 74:52 22 80
W D W D W
6 46 21 16 9 71:56 15 79
D L W W D
7 46 22 12 12 74:50 24 78
D L D W W
8 46 21 13 12 70:53 17 76
W W W W W
9 46 22 9 15 70:59 11 75
L L D L W
10 46 18 14 14 60:44 16 68
W L L L L
11 46 19 10 17 64:58 6 67
D L L L W
12 46 18 12 16 62:49 13 66
W L L W W
13 46 18 11 17 56:56 0 65
L L W L L
14 46 19 5 22 56:65 -9 62
D W W W W
15 46 15 16 15 57:58 -1 61
D D D W L
16 46 14 11 21 47:58 -11 53
L D D L L
17 46 13 14 19 53:72 -19 53
W L L L D
18 46 14 10 22 53:79 -26 52
L L L W W
19 46 13 10 23 42:69 -27 49
L D D W L
20 46 12 7 27 48:77 -29 43
W W L W L
21 46 10 11 25 54:79 -25 41
D L W L D
22 46 8 16 22 44:68 -24 40
D D D L L
23 46 10 9 27 39:68 -29 39
L W W L L
24 46 9 9 28 45:78 -33 36
L L L W L
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