ENGLAND LEAGUE TWO
12.09.2026 14:00
Boundary Park

Oldham vs Chesterfield Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 68.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
68.3%
-
BTTS Yes
58.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
88.3%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Oldham Win 68.3%
Draw 4.8%
Chesterfield Win 27%
Expected Goals (xG)
Oldham1.42
Chesterfield1.21
Recent Form (Last 5)
Oldham Oldham
WWDLW
13 GF / 12 GA
Chesterfield Chesterfield
WLDWL
9 GF / 11 GA
Key Stats
1.44
Average Goals Scored
1.13
1.33
Average Goals Conceded
1.38
4
BTTS Yes
5
5
Over 2.5
3
4.25
Shots on Goal
4.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Oldham Oldham 9 matches
Chesterfield Chesterfield 8 matches
Oldham Statistic Chesterfield
3 Wins 1
1 Draws 4
5 Losses 3
13 Goals For 9
12 Goals Against 11
1.44 Avg Goals Scored 1.13
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 1.38
4 BTTS Yes 5
8 Over 1.5 5
5 Over 2.5 3
3 Over 3.5 2
3 Clean Sheets 2
2 Failed To Score 2
4.25 Shots On Goal 4.5
13.75 Total Shots 15
5.25 Corners 3.5
40.3% Ball Possession 58%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Oldham won 5 times, Chesterfield won 3 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:12 from Oldham's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 1.8 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.2%)
Predicted formations: Oldham 4-4-1-1 / Chesterfield 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Oldham wins 5, draws 7, Chesterfield wins 3

Standings

League Two
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 5 4 0 1 12:6 6 12
W W W W L
2 5 3 1 1 8:6 2 10
W W L W D
3 5 2 3 0 12:8 4 9
D D D W W
4 5 2 3 0 9:5 4 9
W D D D W
5 5 2 3 0 8:4 4 9
D D W D W
6 5 2 3 0 6:3 3 9
W D D D W
7 5 2 3 0 5:3 2 9
D D D W W
8 5 2 2 1 10:9 1 8
D W D L W
9 5 2 2 1 9:8 1 8
D L W D W
10 5 2 1 2 7:5 2 7
L D W L W
11 5 1 4 0 7:6 1 7
D D D D W
12 5 2 1 2 6:8 -2 7
L L W W D
13 5 1 3 1 6:6 0 6
W D D D L
14 5 1 3 1 3:3 0 6
W D D L D
15 5 2 0 3 4:6 -2 6
W W L L L
16 5 1 2 2 4:4 0 5
D D L W L
17 5 1 2 2 6:7 -1 5
D D L W L
18 5 1 2 2 6:7 -1 5
L D W D L
19 5 1 2 2 9:11 -2 5
W D L L D
20 5 1 1 3 9:10 -1 4
L L D L W
21 5 1 1 3 5:8 -3 4
L D L W L
22 5 1 0 4 5:10 -5 3
L W L L L
23 5 1 0 4 2:10 -8 3
L L W L L
24 5 0 2 3 2:7 -5 2
L L D D L
Promotion - League One
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Relegation - National League