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ENGLAND › LEAGUE TWO
10.10.2026 11:30
Boundary Park
Oldham
Match Timeline
Accrington ST
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
8'
Joseph Anderson
Accrington ST
🟨
11'
Lewis Temple
Oldham
🔄
15'
S. Conneely ↔ A. Borland
Accrington ST
🔄
46'
A. Henderson ↔ C. Grant
Accrington ST
🔄
56'
L. Temple ↔ W. Sutton
Oldham
🔄
56'
O. Hammond ↔ K. Drummond
Oldham
🟨
75'
Kane Drummond
Oldham
🔄
76'
T. Pett ↔ M. Fondop
Oldham
🟨
80'
David Tutonda
Accrington ST
🟨
83'
Jamie Robson
Oldham

Oldham vs Accrington ST Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 57.6%
Odds 1.83
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds 1.67
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds 1.84
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
57.6%
1.83 ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
1.67 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
1.84 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.20 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.62 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
Oldham Win 57.6%
Draw 5.4%
Accrington ST Win 37%
Expected Goals (xG)
Oldham1.15
Accrington ST1.44
Recent Form (Last 5)
Oldham Oldham
WWDLW
15 GF / 20 GA
Accrington ST Accrington ST
WLDWL
18 GF / 14 GA
Key Stats
1.25
Average Goals Scored
1.29
1.67
Average Goals Conceded
1
6
BTTS Yes
6
7
Over 2.5
6
4.13
Shots on Goal
4.89

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Oldham Oldham 12 matches
Accrington ST Accrington ST 14 matches
Oldham Statistic Accrington ST
3 Wins 5
1 Draws 6
8 Losses 3
15 Goals For 18
20 Goals Against 14
1.25 Avg Goals Scored 1.29
1.67 Avg Goals Conceded 1
6 BTTS Yes 6
11 Over 1.5 9
7 Over 2.5 6
4 Over 3.5 4
3 Clean Sheets 7
3 Failed To Score 4
4.13 Shots On Goal 4.89
15.13 Total Shots 14.44
6.13 Corners 4.44
45.9% Ball Possession 46.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Oldham have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Accrington ST. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Oldham expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Accrington ST in 3-1-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Accrington ST having the stronger overall control.

Oldham Analysis

Oldham sit 21 with 7 points after 8 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 1 draws, and 5 defeats, and the 9:13 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on C. Kavanagh (2 goals), K. Appiah-Forson (1 goals), M. Fondop-Talum (1 goals), with creative support from C. Kavanagh (2 assists), J. Robson (2 assists), K. Appiah-Forson (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Accrington ST Analysis

Accrington ST approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 16 with 10 points from 9 matches. The overall return of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 3 defeats with a 13:14 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on C. Caton (3 goals), J. Woods (2 goals), C. Warren (2 goals), with creative support from J. Woods (1 assists), Stefan Mols (1 assists), C. O'Brien (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Oldham won 1 times, Accrington ST won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:7 from Oldham's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.7%)
Predicted formations: Oldham 4-2-3-1 / Accrington ST 3-1-4-2
H2H summary: Oldham wins 1, draws 1, Accrington ST wins 3

Standings

League Two
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 1 3 15:10 5 19
W W W W D
2 8 5 3 0 20:11 9 18
W W W D D
3 10 4 6 0 12:7 5 18
W W D D D
4 10 4 4 2 15:10 5 16
W D L W W
5 9 4 3 2 17:11 6 15
D W L W D
6 9 3 6 0 12:6 6 15
D D W D D
7 10 4 3 3 17:14 3 15
D W L W W
8 10 4 3 3 16:16 0 15
L L W D W
9 10 5 0 5 15:17 -2 15
L L W L L
10 10 4 2 4 11:12 -1 14
D W W W D
11 10 3 4 3 13:11 2 13
L L L W W
12 10 3 4 3 13:12 1 13
W D W D D
13 10 2 6 2 13:13 0 12
D L D D L
14 10 3 3 4 6:6 0 12
W W L D L
15 10 2 5 3 13:14 -1 11
D W D D L
16 10 2 5 3 10:11 -1 11
D L L L D
17 10 3 2 5 9:14 -5 11
L L D L L
18 10 3 2 5 9:15 -6 11
L W D D W
19 9 2 4 3 10:13 -3 10
L D D D L
20 10 2 4 4 12:16 -4 10
L L D W D
21 9 2 2 5 9:13 -4 8
D L L L L
22 8 2 2 4 4:9 -5 8
W L W L L
23 8 1 4 3 4:7 -3 7
D L L W D
24 8 1 2 5 8:15 -7 5
D L L L D
Promotion - League One
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Relegation - National League