Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
69.5%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
83.4%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
63.6%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
87.8%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Oldham
Accrington ST
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Oldham
47 matches
Accrington ST
47 matches
| Oldham | Statistic | Accrington ST |
|---|---|---|
| 18 | Wins | 15 |
| 14 | Draws | 12 |
| 15 | Losses | 20 |
| 61 | Goals For | 50 |
| 48 | Goals Against | 57 |
| 1.3 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.06 |
| 1.02 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.21 |
| 22 | BTTS Yes | 21 |
| 31 | Over 1.5 | 32 |
| 23 | Over 2.5 | 17 |
| 11 | Over 3.5 | 9 |
| 18 | Clean Sheets | 12 |
| 13 | Failed To Score | 17 |
| 4.38 | Shots On Goal | 3.89 |
| 12.47 | Total Shots | 11.72 |
| 4.98 | Corners | 4.23 |
| 45.7% | Ball Possession | 47.1% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Oldham's more proactive style and Accrington ST's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Accrington ST. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Oldham expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Accrington ST in 3-4-1-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Accrington ST having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances.
With 65 points from 45 games and a place of 11, Oldham still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 17 wins, 14 draws, and 14 defeats, and the 57:44 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on Mike Fondop (8 goals), K. Drummond (7 goals), M. Mellon (7 goals), with creative support from J. Robson (5 assists), Ryan Woods (5 assists), Mike Fondop (4 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 9 wins, 8 draws, and 5 losses, a return that supports a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.
Accrington ST approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 16 with 53 points from 45 matches. Their record of 14 wins, 11 draws, and 20 losses, together with goals at 47:55, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Isaac Sinclair (6 goals), P. Madden (6 goals), J. Woods (5 goals), with creative support from S. Whalley (10 assists), Isaac Sinclair (4 assists), I. Heath (4 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 5 wins, 6 draws, and 11 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Oldham won 1 times, Accrington ST won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:7 from Oldham's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.
Oldham
5
4
3
3
1
0
Lineups
Oldham
Newport County
Oldham
Salford City
Oldham
Barrow
Oldham
Shrewsbury
Oldham
Milton Keynes Dons
Oldham
Colchester
Oldham
Crewe
Oldham
Notts County
Oldham
Harrogate Town
Oldham
Chesterfield
Oldham
Grimsby
Oldham
Tranmere
Oldham
Bromley
Oldham
Crawley Town
Oldham
Gillingham
Oldham
Bristol Rovers
Oldham
Fleetwood Town
Oldham
Swindon Town
Oldham
Cambridge United
Oldham
Barnet
Accrington ST
Crawley Town
Accrington ST
Swindon Town
Accrington ST
Colchester
Accrington ST
Fleetwood Town
Accrington ST
Gillingham
Accrington ST
Crewe
Accrington ST
Bristol Rovers
Accrington ST
Chesterfield
Accrington ST
Notts County
Accrington ST
Barrow
Accrington ST
Cambridge United
Accrington ST
Bromley
Accrington ST
Barnet
Accrington ST
Shrewsbury
Accrington ST
Tranmere
Accrington ST
Grimsby
Accrington ST
Salford City
Accrington ST
Cheltenham
Accrington ST
Newport County
Accrington ST
Walsall
Oldham
Salford City
Oldham
Milton Keynes Dons
Oldham
Notts County
Oldham
Harrogate Town
Oldham
Grimsby
Oldham
Crawley Town
Oldham
Bristol Rovers
Oldham
Fleetwood Town
Oldham
Cambridge United
Oldham
Cheltenham
Oldham
Chesterfield
Oldham
Tranmere
Oldham
Walsall
Oldham
Newport County
Oldham
Crewe
Oldham
Northampton
Oldham
Shrewsbury
Oldham
Barrow
Oldham
Barnet
Oldham
Bromley
Accrington ST
Swindon Town
Accrington ST
Colchester
Accrington ST
Gillingham
Accrington ST
Bristol Rovers
Accrington ST
Barrow
Accrington ST
Bromley
Accrington ST
Tranmere
Accrington ST
Grimsby
Accrington ST
Newport County
Accrington ST
Walsall
Accrington ST
Notts County
Accrington ST
Cambridge United
Accrington ST
Harrogate Town
Accrington ST
Crawley Town
Accrington ST
Chesterfield
Accrington ST
Gainsborough Trinity
Accrington ST
Fleetwood Town
Accrington ST
Barnet
Accrington ST
Milton Keynes Dons
Accrington ST
Cheltenham
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 46 | 24 | 15 | 7 | 71:46 | 25 | 87 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 2 | 46 | 24 | 14 | 8 | 86:45 | 41 | 86 |
D
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 46 | 22 | 16 | 8 | 66:33 | 33 | 82 |
D
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 46 | 25 | 6 | 15 | 61:51 | 10 | 81 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 46 | 24 | 8 | 14 | 74:52 | 22 | 80 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 46 | 21 | 16 | 9 | 71:56 | 15 | 79 |
D
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 46 | 22 | 12 | 12 | 74:50 | 24 | 78 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 70:53 | 17 | 76 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 70:59 | 11 | 75 |
L
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 10 |
Oldham
Home
|
46 | 18 | 14 | 14 | 60:44 | 16 | 68 |
W
L
L
L
L
|
| 11 | 46 | 19 | 10 | 17 | 64:58 | 6 | 67 |
D
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 62:49 | 13 | 66 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 13 | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 56:56 | 0 | 65 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 46 | 19 | 5 | 22 | 56:65 | -9 | 62 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 15 | 46 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 57:58 | -1 | 61 |
D
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 16 |
Accrington ST
Away
|
46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47:58 | -11 | 53 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
| 17 | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 53:72 | -19 | 53 |
W
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 18 | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 53:79 | -26 | 52 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 19 | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 42:69 | -27 | 49 |
L
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 20 | 46 | 12 | 7 | 27 | 48:77 | -29 | 43 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 21 | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 54:79 | -25 | 41 |
D
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 22 | 46 | 8 | 16 | 22 | 44:68 | -24 | 40 |
D
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 23 | 46 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 39:68 | -29 | 39 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 24 | 46 | 9 | 9 | 28 | 45:78 | -33 | 36 |
L
L
L
W
L
|