ENGLAND LEAGUE TWO
--.--.---- --:--
Boundary Park
Referee: J. Oldham
Oldham
Match Timeline
Accrington ST
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
26'
D. Simeu · Assist: K. Taylor
Oldham
🔄
54'
J. Garner ↔ R. Ogle
Oldham
🔄
61'
I. Sinclair ↔ C. Grant
Accrington ST
64'
K. Taylor · Assist: T. Pett
Oldham
🔄
70'
T. Walton ↔ P. Madden
Accrington ST
🔄
72'
D. Matthews ↔ J. Smith
Accrington ST
🔄
74'
J. Hawkes ↔ J. Leake
Oldham
🔄
74'
K. Payne ↔ O. Hammond
Oldham
75'
J. Leake
Oldham
🔄
87'
L. Butterfield ↔ C. Brown
Accrington ST
🟨
90+9'
Charlie Brown
Accrington ST
🔄
90+8'
J. Robson ↔ F. McMahon-Brown
Oldham
🔄
90+8'
K. Taylor ↔ I. Anderson
Oldham

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 69.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 83.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 63.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
69.5%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
83.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
63.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.8%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Oldham Win 69.5%
Draw 6.4%
Accrington ST Win 24%
Expected Goals (xG)
Oldham1.26
Accrington ST1.04
Recent Form (Last 5)
Oldham Oldham
WWDLW
61 GF / 48 GA
Accrington ST Accrington ST
WLDWL
50 GF / 57 GA
Key Stats
1.3
Average Goals Scored
1.06
1.02
Average Goals Conceded
1.21
22
BTTS Yes
21
23
Over 2.5
17
4.38
Shots on Goal
3.89

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Oldham Oldham 47 matches
Accrington ST Accrington ST 47 matches
Oldham Statistic Accrington ST
18 Wins 15
14 Draws 12
15 Losses 20
61 Goals For 50
48 Goals Against 57
1.3 Avg Goals Scored 1.06
1.02 Avg Goals Conceded 1.21
22 BTTS Yes 21
31 Over 1.5 32
23 Over 2.5 17
11 Over 3.5 9
18 Clean Sheets 12
13 Failed To Score 17
4.38 Shots On Goal 3.89
12.47 Total Shots 11.72
4.98 Corners 4.23
45.7% Ball Possession 47.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Oldham's more proactive style and Accrington ST's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Accrington ST. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Oldham expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Accrington ST in 3-4-1-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Accrington ST having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances.

Oldham Analysis

With 65 points from 45 games and a place of 11, Oldham still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 17 wins, 14 draws, and 14 defeats, and the 57:44 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on Mike Fondop (8 goals), K. Drummond (7 goals), M. Mellon (7 goals), with creative support from J. Robson (5 assists), Ryan Woods (5 assists), Mike Fondop (4 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 9 wins, 8 draws, and 5 losses, a return that supports a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

Accrington ST Analysis

Accrington ST approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 16 with 53 points from 45 matches. Their record of 14 wins, 11 draws, and 20 losses, together with goals at 47:55, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Isaac Sinclair (6 goals), P. Madden (6 goals), J. Woods (5 goals), with creative support from S. Whalley (10 assists), Isaac Sinclair (4 assists), I. Heath (4 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 5 wins, 6 draws, and 11 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Oldham won 1 times, Accrington ST won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:7 from Oldham's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.6%)
Predicted formations: Oldham 4-4-2 / Accrington ST 3-4-1-2
H2H summary: Oldham wins 1, draws 1, Accrington ST wins 3
Stats
Oldham Oldham
Accrington ST Accrington ST
Shots on Goal
5
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
3
Shots off Goal
3
Blocked Shots
1
Blocked Shots
0
5 Corner Kicks 0
14 Fouls 11
5 Offsides 2
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Goal 4
3 Shots off Goal 3
1 Blocked Shots 0
8 Shots insidebox 3
1 Shots outsidebox 4
4 Goalkeeper Saves 2
349 Total passes 390
216 Passes accurate 256
1.34 expected_goals 0.71
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Oldham
Formation
Accrington ST
M. Hudson
M. Hudson
W. Sutton
W. Sutton
D. Simeu
D. Simeu
M. Monthe
M. Monthe
J. Robson
J. Robson
K. Taylor
🎯
K. Taylor
R. Woods
R. Woods
T. Pett
🎯
T. Pett
J. Hawkes
J. Hawkes
K. Payne
K. Payne
J. Garner
J. Garner
O. Wright
O. Wright
C. O'Brien
C. O'Brien
S. Conneely
S. Conneely
D. Matthews
D. Matthews
S. Whalley
S. Whalley
L. Coyle
L. Coyle
L. Butterfield
L. Butterfield
D. Love
D. Love
I. Sinclair
I. Sinclair
T. Walton
T. Walton
J. Woods
J. Woods
Oldham 4-4-2
Starting XI
1
M. Hudson
G
16
W. Sutton
D
40
D. Simeu
⚽ 26'
D
6
M. Monthe
D
24
J. Robson
↓ 90+8'
D
7
K. Taylor
⚽ 64' 🎯 26' ↓ 90+8'
M
8
R. Woods
M
4
T. Pett
🎯 64'
M
21
J. Hawkes
↓ 74'
M
26
K. Payne
↓ 74'
F
14
J. Garner
↓ 54'
F
Substitutes
31
T. Donaghy
G
2
R. Ogle
↑ 54'
D
3
J. Leake
⚽ 75' ↑ 74'
D
27
O. Hammond
↑ 74'
M
22
F. Jalo
F
38
F. McMahon-Brown
↑ 90+8'
M
39
I. Anderson
↑ 90+8'
D
Accrington ST 3-4-1-2
Starting XI
13
O. Wright
38
C. O'Brien
D
28
S. Conneely
D
17
D. Matthews
↓ 72'
7
S. Whalley
M
6
L. Coyle
M
24
L. Butterfield
↓ 87'
M
2
D. Love
M
11
I. Sinclair
↓ 61'
F
23
T. Walton
↓ 70'
F
39
J. Woods
F
Substitutes
1
M. Kelly
G
8
P. Madden
↑ 70'
F
4
C. Grant
↑ 61'
M
20
C. Brown
↑ 87' 🟨 90+9'
F
22
D. Martin
M
25
J. Smith
↑ 72'
D
27
D. Abimbola
Last matches: Oldham
25.04.26
Lea
Oldham
Newport County
2
3
L
18.04.26
Lea
Oldham
Salford City
1
2
L
14.04.26
Lea
Oldham
Barrow
2
3
L
11.04.26
Lea
Oldham
Shrewsbury
0
1
L
06.04.26
Lea
Oldham
Milton Keynes Dons
1
1
D
03.04.26
Lea
Oldham
Colchester
3
1
W
28.03.26
Lea
Oldham
Crewe
1
2
L
24.03.26
Lea
Oldham
Notts County
3
0
W
21.03.26
Lea
Oldham
Harrogate Town
1
0
W
17.03.26
Lea
Oldham
Chesterfield
3
0
W
14.03.26
Lea
Oldham
Grimsby
1
0
W
07.03.26
Lea
Oldham
Tranmere
3
1
W
03.03.26
Lea
Oldham
Bromley
0
0
D
28.02.26
Lea
Oldham
Crawley Town
2
0
W
21.02.26
Lea
Oldham
Gillingham
3
0
W
17.02.26
Lea
Oldham
Bristol Rovers
2
0
W
14.02.26
Lea
Oldham
Fleetwood Town
1
1
D
07.02.26
Lea
Oldham
Swindon Town
0
3
L
31.01.26
Lea
Oldham
Cambridge United
0
3
L
24.01.26
Lea
Oldham
Barnet
2
3
L
Last matches: Accrington ST
25.04.26
Lea
Accrington ST
Crawley Town
3
3
D
18.04.26
Lea
Accrington ST
Swindon Town
2
2
D
14.04.26
Lea
Accrington ST
Colchester
1
2
L
11.04.26
Lea
Accrington ST
Fleetwood Town
1
2
L
06.04.26
Lea
Accrington ST
Gillingham
0
2
L
03.04.26
Lea
Accrington ST
Crewe
2
0
W
28.03.26
Lea
Accrington ST
Bristol Rovers
0
2
L
21.03.26
Lea
Accrington ST
Chesterfield
0
1
L
17.03.26
Lea
Accrington ST
Notts County
0
4
L
14.03.26
Lea
Accrington ST
Barrow
0
0
D
07.03.26
Lea
Accrington ST
Cambridge United
1
1
D
28.02.26
Lea
Accrington ST
Bromley
1
2
L
24.02.26
Lea
Accrington ST
Barnet
0
1
L
21.02.26
Lea
Accrington ST
Shrewsbury
0
2
L
17.02.26
Lea
Accrington ST
Tranmere
1
0
W
11.02.26
Lea
Accrington ST
Grimsby
0
1
L
05.02.26
Lea
Accrington ST
Salford City
1
0
W
31.01.26
Lea
Accrington ST
Cheltenham
3
1
W
27.01.26
Lea
Accrington ST
Newport County
4
1
W
24.01.26
Lea
Accrington ST
Walsall
0
0
D
H2H: Oldham vs Accrington ST
02.05.26
H2H
Oldham
Accrington ST
3
0
W
29.11.25
H2H
Accrington ST
Oldham
1
0
L
05.08.25
H2H
Accrington ST
Oldham
3
1
L
24.08.21
H2H
Oldham
Accrington ST
0
0
D
15.08.20
H2H
Oldham
Accrington ST
0
0
D
08.10.19
H2H
Oldham
Accrington ST
0
3
L
Last matches: Oldham
18.04.26
Lea
Oldham
Salford City
1
2
L
06.04.26
Lea
Oldham
Milton Keynes Dons
1
1
D
24.03.26
Lea
Oldham
Notts County
3
0
W
21.03.26
Lea
Oldham
Harrogate Town
1
0
W
14.03.26
Lea
Oldham
Grimsby
1
0
W
28.02.26
Lea
Oldham
Crawley Town
2
0
W
17.02.26
Lea
Oldham
Bristol Rovers
2
0
W
14.02.26
Lea
Oldham
Fleetwood Town
1
1
D
31.01.26
Lea
Oldham
Cambridge United
0
3
L
17.01.26
Lea
Oldham
Cheltenham
2
1
W
01.01.26
Lea
Oldham
Chesterfield
1
1
D
20.12.25
Lea
Oldham
Tranmere
3
1
W
10.12.25
Lea
Oldham
Walsall
0
1
L
22.11.25
Lea
Oldham
Newport County
3
0
W
15.11.25
Lea
Oldham
Crewe
0
0
D
01.11.25
FA
Oldham
Northampton
3
1
W
25.10.25
Lea
Oldham
Shrewsbury
2
2
D
11.10.25
Lea
Oldham
Barrow
0
0
D
27.09.25
Lea
Oldham
Barnet
1
1
D
13.09.25
Lea
Oldham
Bromley
1
0
W
H2H at home: Oldham
02.05.26
H2H
Oldham
Accrington ST
3
0
W
24.08.21
H2H
Oldham
Accrington ST
0
0
D
15.08.20
H2H
Oldham
Accrington ST
0
0
D
08.10.19
H2H
Oldham
Accrington ST
0
3
L
Last matches: Accrington ST
18.04.26
Lea
Accrington ST
Swindon Town
2
2
D
14.04.26
Lea
Accrington ST
Colchester
1
2
L
06.04.26
Lea
Accrington ST
Gillingham
0
2
L
28.03.26
Lea
Accrington ST
Bristol Rovers
0
2
L
14.03.26
Lea
Accrington ST
Barrow
0
0
D
28.02.26
Lea
Accrington ST
Bromley
1
2
L
17.02.26
Lea
Accrington ST
Tranmere
1
0
W
11.02.26
Lea
Accrington ST
Grimsby
0
1
L
27.01.26
Lea
Accrington ST
Newport County
4
1
W
24.01.26
Lea
Accrington ST
Walsall
0
0
D
01.01.26
Lea
Accrington ST
Notts County
1
0
W
19.12.25
Lea
Accrington ST
Cambridge United
0
2
L
09.12.25
Lea
Accrington ST
Harrogate Town
2
0
W
22.11.25
Lea
Accrington ST
Crawley Town
1
1
D
08.11.25
Lea
Accrington ST
Chesterfield
3
3
D
02.11.25
FA
Accrington ST
Gainsborough Trinity
2
1
W
25.10.25
Lea
Accrington ST
Fleetwood Town
1
2
L
04.10.25
Lea
Accrington ST
Barnet
0
2
L
20.09.25
Lea
Accrington ST
Milton Keynes Dons
2
1
W
06.09.25
Lea
Accrington ST
Cheltenham
0
1
L
H2H away: Accrington ST
02.05.26
H2H
Oldham
Accrington ST
3
0
L
24.08.21
H2H
Oldham
Accrington ST
0
0
D
15.08.20
H2H
Oldham
Accrington ST
0
0
D
08.10.19
H2H
Oldham
Accrington ST
0
3
W

Standings

League Two
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 46 24 15 7 71:46 25 87
W L D L W
2 46 24 14 8 86:45 41 86
D W W W D
3 46 22 16 8 66:33 33 82
D W L D W
4 46 25 6 15 61:51 10 81
L D W D W
5 46 24 8 14 74:52 22 80
W D W D W
6 46 21 16 9 71:56 15 79
D L W W D
7 46 22 12 12 74:50 24 78
D L D W W
8 46 21 13 12 70:53 17 76
W W W W W
9 46 22 9 15 70:59 11 75
L L D L W
10 46 18 14 14 60:44 16 68
W L L L L
11 46 19 10 17 64:58 6 67
D L L L W
12 46 18 12 16 62:49 13 66
W L L W W
13 46 18 11 17 56:56 0 65
L L W L L
14 46 19 5 22 56:65 -9 62
D W W W W
15 46 15 16 15 57:58 -1 61
D D D W L
16 46 14 11 21 47:58 -11 53
L D D L L
17 46 13 14 19 53:72 -19 53
W L L L D
18 46 14 10 22 53:79 -26 52
L L L W W
19 46 13 10 23 42:69 -27 49
L D D W L
20 46 12 7 27 48:77 -29 43
W W L W L
21 46 10 11 25 54:79 -25 41
D L W L D
22 46 8 16 22 44:68 -24 40
D D D L L
23 46 10 9 27 39:68 -29 39
L W W L L
24 46 9 9 28 45:78 -33 36
L L L W L
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation