CHILE PRIMERA DIVISIóN
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio El Teniente
Referee: Francisco Gilabert, Chile
O'Higgins
Match Timeline
Everton de Vina
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
10'
L. Soto · Assist: N. Baeza
Everton de Vina
🟨
24'
Joaquín Moya
Everton de Vina
32'
F. Gonzalez · Assist: T. Vecino
O'Higgins
🟨
45+2'
Juan Leiva
O'Higgins
45'
T. Vecino
Everton de Vina
🔄
46'
J. Leiva ↔ M. Maturana
O'Higgins
🟨
59'
Felipe Faúndez
O'Higgins
🔄
59'
N. Montiel ↔ C. Palacios
Everton de Vina
🔄
64'
B. Yanez ↔ A. Castillo
O'Higgins
🔄
72'
O. Opazo Lara ↔ R. Gonzalez
Everton de Vina
🔄
72'
E. M. Ramos Aviles ↔ J. Alfaro
Everton de Vina
🟨
73'
Arnaldo Castillo
O'Higgins
🟨
75'
Julián Alfaro
Everton de Vina
🔄
77'
Felipe Ogaz ↔ J. Tapia
O'Higgins
🔄
83'
J. Moya ↔ D. Villalpando
Everton de Vina
🔄
83'
L. Soto ↔ B. Martinez
Everton de Vina
🔄
86'
L. Diaz ↔ L. Pavez
O'Higgins
90'
J. Alfaro · Assist: B. Martinez
Everton de Vina
90'
F. Gonzalez · Assist: Martin Sarrafiore
O'Higgins

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 82.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 35.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 53.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
82.9%
-
BTTS BTTS No
35.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
53.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
O'Higgins Win 50.7%
Draw 17.1%
Everton de Vina Win 32.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
O'Higgins1.21
Everton de Vina1.16
Recent Form (Last 5)
O'Higgins O'Higgins
WWDLW
23 GF / 22 GA
Everton de Vina Everton de Vina
WLDWL
15 GF / 14 GA
Key Stats
1.35
Average Goals Scored
1.07
1.29
Average Goals Conceded
1
8
BTTS Yes
4
8
Over 2.5
5
4.31
Shots on Goal
3.62

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

O'Higgins O'Higgins 17 matches
Everton de Vina Everton de Vina 14 matches
O'Higgins Statistic Everton de Vina
9 Wins 5
1 Draws 4
7 Losses 5
23 Goals For 15
22 Goals Against 14
1.35 Avg Goals Scored 1.07
1.29 Avg Goals Conceded 1
8 BTTS Yes 4
11 Over 1.5 8
8 Over 2.5 5
4 Over 3.5 3
5 Clean Sheets 5
4 Failed To Score 7
4.31 Shots On Goal 3.62
13.44 Total Shots 10.62
5.44 Corners 4.23
49.2% Ball Possession 47.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with Everton de Vina's more proactive style and O'Higgins's more cautious structure suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Everton de Vina. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with O'Higgins expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Everton de Vina in 4-4-1-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Everton de Vina having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

O'Higgins Analysis

From their first 12 matches, O'Higgins have collected 19 points and now occupy 10 place in the table. The record of 6 wins, 1 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 17:17 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Thiago Vecino (4 goals), A. Castillo (3 goals), F. Gonzalez (3 goals), with creative support from F. Gonzalez (4 assists), Bryan Rabello (2 assists), Felipe Ogaz (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 4 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Everton de Vina Analysis

Everton de Vina sit 9 with 19 points after 13 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, while the 15:11 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Alan Medina (3 goals), C. Palacios (3 goals), L. Soto (2 goals), with creative support from Emiliano Ramos (2 assists), Alan Medina (1 assists), L. Soto (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, O'Higgins won 9 times, Everton de Vina won 2 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:11 from O'Higgins's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.07 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (82.9%)
Predicted formations: O'Higgins 4-2-3-1 / Everton de Vina 4-4-1-1
H2H summary: O'Higgins wins 9, draws 4, Everton de Vina wins 2

Standings

Primera División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 21 17 1 3 47:21 26 52
W W D W W
2 21 11 3 7 46:31 15 36
W W L W L
3 21 10 6 5 28:17 11 36
L L W W W
4 21 9 6 6 34:23 11 33
W W D W L
5 21 10 3 8 32:29 3 33
L W W L W
6 20 8 8 4 26:24 2 32
L W W D W
7 21 9 3 9 24:24 0 30
W D W W W
8 20 8 3 9 38:34 4 27
L W L W L
9 21 6 9 6 32:34 -2 27
W D W D L
10 19 7 5 7 26:24 2 26
L D D L D
11 21 7 3 11 26:34 -8 24
L L D L W
12 20 7 3 10 29:39 -10 24
L L L L D
13 21 5 7 9 24:31 -7 22
L D D D W
14 20 6 4 10 16:34 -18 22
W L L L L
15 21 6 3 12 31:39 -8 21
W D L L W
16 21 3 5 13 17:38 -21 14
L D L L L