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AUSTRALIA › VICTORIA NPL
11.09.2026 09:30
Jack Edwards Reserve
Oakleigh Cannons
Match Timeline
South Melbourne
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
11'
Oakleigh Cannons
Oakleigh Cannons
⚽
28'
South Melbourne
South Melbourne
⚽
63'
J. Guest
Oakleigh Cannons

Oakleigh Cannons vs South Melbourne Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 94%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
94%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
67.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Oakleigh Cannons Win 47.5%
Draw 6%
South Melbourne Win 46.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Oakleigh Cannons1.84
South Melbourne1.28
Recent Form (Last 5)
Oakleigh Cannons Oakleigh Cannons
WWDLW
56 GF / 24 GA
South Melbourne South Melbourne
WLDWL
41 GF / 37 GA
Key Stats
2.15
Average Goals Scored
1.52
0.92
Average Goals Conceded
1.37
15
BTTS Yes
11
15
Over 2.5
18
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Oakleigh Cannons Oakleigh Cannons 26 matches
South Melbourne South Melbourne 27 matches
Oakleigh Cannons Statistic South Melbourne
16 Wins 14
6 Draws 2
4 Losses 11
56 Goals For 41
24 Goals Against 37
2.15 Avg Goals Scored 1.52
0.92 Avg Goals Conceded 1.37
15 BTTS Yes 11
22 Over 1.5 22
15 Over 2.5 18
12 Over 3.5 7
11 Clean Sheets 10
1 Failed To Score 7
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This tie brings together two sides with a fairly similar football identity, with the knockout context adding extra pressure to every phase of the game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. South Melbourne have the edge after taking the first leg 2-1, leaving Oakleigh Cannons needing to respond to a 1-goal deficit. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward South Melbourne having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors South Melbourne. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Oakleigh Cannons Analysis

Oakleigh Cannons enter this tie with a season profile built on 54 points from 26 matches, placing them 1 in their league. With 16 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses plus a goal ratio of 56:24, they bring mixed form over their recent run into this tie. Going forward they rely on their main attacking players, while defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 8 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, which supports a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In tactical terms they still look like a side built around balanced attacking football.

South Melbourne Analysis

South Melbourne enter this tie with a season profile built on 41 points from 26 matches, placing them 5 in their league. Their record of 13 wins, 2 draws, and 11 defeats with goals at 39:36 reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking weight falls on their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 9 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, which supports a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In tactical terms they still look like a side built around balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Oakleigh Cannons won 4 times, South Melbourne won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:3 from Oakleigh Cannons's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94%)
H2H summary: Oakleigh Cannons wins 4, draws 0, South Melbourne wins 1

Standings

Victoria NPL
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 16 6 4 56:24 32 54
L W L W W
2 26 15 6 5 41:19 22 51
L D D W W
3 26 15 4 7 51:36 15 49
L L W W W
4 26 15 2 9 65:34 31 47
W W W W W
5 26 13 2 11 39:36 3 41
L W L L W
6 26 11 7 8 42:34 8 40
L W W L L
7 26 9 11 6 35:34 1 38
W L W D D
8 26 10 7 9 35:31 4 37
W D W W D
9 26 9 7 10 36:43 -7 34
W W D L W
10 26 8 6 12 42:42 0 30
L L L L L
11 26 7 7 12 28:42 -14 28
D L L D W
12 26 6 6 14 27:51 -24 24
L W D D L
13 26 4 6 16 23:52 -29 18
W L L D D
14 26 4 3 19 23:65 -42 15
L L L L L