ARGENTINA PRIMERA NACIONAL
07.09.2026 20:00
Estadio Nueva Chicago
Nueva Chicago
Match Timeline
Quilmes
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
9'
T. Ocampo · Assist: M. Perez
Nueva Chicago
🟨
16'
L. Romeo
Quilmes
🔄
46'
G. Vega ↔ R. Martinez
Quilmes
🔄
61'
E. Cardozo ↔ M. Bergara
Nueva Chicago
🔄
64'
A. Ortega ↔ M. Vallejos
Quilmes
🔄
64'
T. Ortega ↔ N. Colazo
Quilmes
🔄
71'
D. Arroyo ↔ I. Antunes
Nueva Chicago
🔄
71'
M. Perez ↔ M. Rogoski
Nueva Chicago
🔄
71'
L. Ambrogio ↔ F. Castro
Nueva Chicago
🟨
74'
T. Ocampo
Nueva Chicago
🔄
74'
F. Yozwiak ↔ P. Bonacci
Quilmes
🔄
75'
T. Ocampo ↔ R. E. Zalazar
Nueva Chicago
🔄
83'
L. Romeo ↔ J. Coronel
Quilmes
🟨
90+2'
D. Gissi
Nueva Chicago
🟨
90+2'
A. Kippes
Quilmes

Nueva Chicago vs Quilmes Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 59.2%
Odds 3.03
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.2%
Odds 2.20
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 48.9%
Odds 2.71
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
59.2%
3.03
BTTS Yes
58.2%
2.20
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
48.9%
2.71
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.63
HT / FT Home / Home
-
4.33
Correct Score 2-1
-
11.00
Probability Distribution
Nueva Chicago Win 59.2%
Draw 12.5%
Quilmes Win 28.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Nueva Chicago0.78
Quilmes1
Recent Form (Last 5)
Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago
WWDLW
20 GF / 27 GA
Quilmes Quilmes
WLDWL
27 GF / 23 GA
Key Stats
0.74
Average Goals Scored
1
1
Average Goals Conceded
0.85
8
BTTS Yes
7
7
Over 2.5
9
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago 27 matches
Quilmes Quilmes 27 matches
Nueva Chicago Statistic Quilmes
7 Wins 8
8 Draws 8
12 Losses 11
20 Goals For 27
27 Goals Against 23
0.74 Avg Goals Scored 1
1 Avg Goals Conceded 0.85
8 BTTS Yes 7
15 Over 1.5 12
7 Over 2.5 9
3 Over 3.5 3
9 Clean Sheets 11
15 Failed To Score 14
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with Quilmes's more proactive style and Nueva Chicago's more cautious structure likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Quilmes. Nueva Chicago have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Quilmes having the stronger overall control.

Nueva Chicago Analysis

Nueva Chicago approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 29 points from 26 matches. Their record of 7 wins, 8 draws, and 11 losses, together with goals at 20:25, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 4 wins, 7 draws, and 2 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Quilmes Analysis

Quilmes sit 11 with 32 points after 26 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 8 wins, 8 draws, and 10 losses, while the 27:22 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses fits a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Nueva Chicago won 3 times, Quilmes won 2 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:10 from Nueva Chicago's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.22 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.5%)
Predicted formations: Nueva Chicago 4-1-4-1 / Quilmes -
H2H summary: Nueva Chicago wins 3, draws 4, Quilmes wins 2

Standings

Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 29 14 11 4 31:15 16 53
D D W L W
2 30 14 11 5 36:24 12 53
W D W W W
3 30 15 8 7 45:36 9 53
D W W D D
4 29 15 3 11 34:28 6 48
W W L L W
5 30 13 8 9 34:25 9 47
W W L L W
6 30 12 9 9 33:27 6 45
W D L W W
7 30 12 9 9 31:27 4 45
L D W W L
8 30 11 9 10 25:26 -1 42
W L L W D
9 30 11 8 11 37:31 6 41
D D D L W
10 30 11 7 12 29:30 -1 40
L W L W W
11 30 9 12 9 32:30 2 39
L W L D W
12 30 9 9 12 26:34 -8 36
W L W D L
13 30 9 8 13 28:27 1 35
L W L L L
14 30 9 8 13 26:36 -10 35
L D L W D
15 29 8 8 13 21:28 -7 32
L W L L L
16 29 5 15 9 23:30 -7 30
D D L W D
17 30 8 6 16 22:31 -9 30
W L L L L
18 30 5 8 17 23:51 -28 23
L L L D D
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation