CHILE PRIMERA DIVISIóN
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Municipal Nelson Oyarzún Arenas
Referee: Juan Ignacio Lara Luco, Chile
Nublense
Match Timeline
Palestino
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
21'
Enzo Roco
Palestino
23'
S. Valencia · Assist: M. Plaza
Nublense
🟨
43'
Nelson Da Silva
Palestino
44'
L. Molina Canto · Assist: M. Plaza
Nublense
🔄
46'
I. A. Garguez Gomez ↔ J. Benitez
Palestino
🔄
46'
B. Carrasco ↔ M. Eggel
Palestino
🟨
61'
Marcelo Eggel
Palestino
🟨
64'
Jonathan Benítez
Palestino
🔄
64'
N. Meza ↔ I. Alegria
Palestino
🔄
65'
G. Tapia Paez ↔ J. Abrigo
Palestino
🔄
65'
N. Da Silva ↔ R. Fernandez
Palestino
🟨
68'
Osvaldo Bosso
Nublense
🔄
76'
G. Graciani ↔ F. Campos Mosqueira
Nublense
🔄
76'
L. Molina Canto ↔ A. Valdes
Nublense
🔄
76'
M. Plaza ↔ C. Mansilla
Nublense
🔄
88'
L. Reyes ↔ C. Salomon
Nublense
🔄
90+3'
D. Sanhueza ↔ B. Munoz
Nublense

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 58.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
58.3%
-
BTTS Yes
78.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Nublense Win 36.8%
Draw 5%
Palestino Win 58.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Nublense1.35
Palestino1.48
Recent Form (Last 5)
Nublense Nublense
WWDLW
26 GF / 24 GA
Palestino Palestino
WLDWL
35 GF / 30 GA
Key Stats
1.3
Average Goals Scored
1.67
1.2
Average Goals Conceded
1.43
10
BTTS Yes
14
7
Over 2.5
13
3.8
Shots on Goal
4.73

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Nublense Nublense 20 matches
Palestino Palestino 21 matches
Nublense Statistic Palestino
8 Wins 10
8 Draws 4
4 Losses 7
26 Goals For 35
24 Goals Against 30
1.3 Avg Goals Scored 1.67
1.2 Avg Goals Conceded 1.43
10 BTTS Yes 14
12 Over 1.5 14
7 Over 2.5 13
6 Over 3.5 8
8 Clean Sheets 5
3 Failed To Score 5
3.8 Shots On Goal 4.73
12.27 Total Shots 14.67
4.67 Corners 4.33
44.5% Ball Possession 48.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with Palestino's more proactive style and Nublense's more cautious structure suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Palestino. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Palestino having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Nublense Analysis

Nublense sit 8 with 22 points after 15 league matches. The record of 5 wins, 7 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 18:19 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through I. Jeraldino (4 goals), Franco Rami (3 goals), D. Sanhueza (2 goals), with creative support from Gabriel Graciani (2 assists), Ignacio Tapia (1 assists), Matías Plaza (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Palestino Analysis

Operating from 5 place with 24 points from 15 games, Palestino bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 7 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, with a 23:21 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on N. Da Silva (7 goals), Bryan Carrasco (3 goals), C. Munder (3 goals), with creative support from Julián Fernández (3 assists), N. Da Silva (2 assists), C. Munder (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Nublense won 5 times, Palestino won 2 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:12 from Nublense's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.42 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95%)
Predicted formations: Nublense 4-4-2 / Palestino 4-3-3
H2H summary: Nublense wins 5, draws 5, Palestino wins 2
Stats
Nublense Nublense
Palestino Palestino
Shots on Goal
7
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
9
Shots off Goal
5
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
3
2 Corner Kicks 4
18 Fouls 11
2 Offsides 1
53% Ball Possession 47%
18 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Goal 4
9 Shots off Goal 5
2 Blocked Shots 3
13 Shots insidebox 6
5 Shots outsidebox 6
4 Goalkeeper Saves 4
420 Total passes 351
302 Passes accurate 211
1.29 expected_goals 1.72
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 4 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Nublense
Formation
Palestino
N. Perez
N. Perez
D. Sanhueza
D. Sanhueza
P. Calderon
P. Calderon
O. Bosso Torres
O. Bosso Torres
S. Valencia
S. Valencia
M. Plaza
🎯
M. Plaza
L. Reyes
L. Reyes
M. Rivera
M. Rivera
J. Campusano
J. Campusano
G. Graciani
G. Graciani
L. Molina Canto
L. Molina Canto
S. A. Perez Kirby
S. A. Perez Kirby
I. A. Garguez Gomez
I. A. Garguez Gomez
V. A. Espinoza Hevia
V. A. Espinoza Hevia
E. Roco
E. Roco
D. Zuniga
D. Zuniga
S. Gallegos
S. Gallegos
G. Tapia Paez
G. Tapia Paez
N. Meza
N. Meza
B. Carrasco
B. Carrasco
N. Da Silva
N. Da Silva
C. Munder
C. Munder
Nublense 4-4-2
Starting XI
1
N. Perez
G
16
D. Sanhueza
↓ 90+3'
D
6
P. Calderon
D
4
O. Bosso Torres
🟨 68'
D
15
S. Valencia
⚽ 23'
10
M. Plaza
🎯 23' 🎯 44' ↓ 76'
M
21
L. Reyes
↓ 88'
M
28
M. Rivera
M
14
J. Campusano
M
8
G. Graciani
↓ 76'
F
11
L. Molina Canto
⚽ 44' ↓ 76'
F
Substitutes
25
H. Munoz
G
5
F. Campos Mosqueira
↑ 76'
D
13
D. Saavedra
27
V. Guzman
D
3
C. Salomon
↑ 88'
D
36
B. Munoz
↑ 90+3'
22
A. Valdes
↑ 76'
M
31
J. Poblete
M
35
C. Mansilla
↑ 76'
Palestino 4-3-3
Starting XI
25
S. A. Perez Kirby
G
29
I. A. Garguez Gomez
↓ 46'
D
2
V. A. Espinoza Hevia
3
E. Roco
🟨 21'
D
28
D. Zuniga
D
18
S. Gallegos
M
20
G. Tapia Paez
↓ 65'
M
8
N. Meza
↓ 64'
M
7
B. Carrasco
↓ 46'
F
19
N. Da Silva
↓ 65' 🟨 43'
F
27
C. Munder
F
Substitutes
12
R. Canto
G
14
J. Abrigo
↑ 65'
M
9
R. Fernandez
↑ 65'
F
11
J. Benitez
↑ 46' 🟨 64'
F
17
M. Eggel
↑ 46' 🟨 61'
M
16
J. Bizama
D
4
A. A. Ceza Gavilan
D
24
D. Salgado
30
I. Alegria
↑ 64'
F
Last matches: Nublense
16.08.26
Pri
Nublense
Union La Calera
2
1
W
11.08.26
Pri
Nublense
A. Italiano
2
2
D
04.08.26
Cop
Nublense
Rangers de Talca
1
0
W
05.07.26
Cop
Nublense
Curico Unido
2
2
D
01.07.26
Cop
Nublense
Universidad de Concepcion
1
0
W
28.06.26
Cop
Nublense
Rangers de Talca
1
0
W
25.06.26
Cop
Nublense
Universidad de Concepcion
4
2
W
21.06.26
Cop
Nublense
Curico Unido
0
1
L
14.06.26
Pri
Nublense
Huachipato
2
2
D
29.05.26
Pri
Nublense
Cobresal
1
0
W
23.05.26
Pri
Nublense
Universidad de Concepcion
2
2
D
17.05.26
Pri
Nublense
Colo Colo
2
6
L
25.04.26
Pri
Nublense
O'Higgins
0
2
L
19.04.26
Pri
Nublense
Coquimbo Unido
1
1
D
12.04.26
Pri
Nublense
Universidad de Chile
1
0
W
04.04.26
Pri
Nublense
Everton de Vina
0
0
D
15.03.26
Pri
Nublense
D. La Serena
2
2
D
06.03.26
Pri
Nublense
Concepción
2
0
W
01.03.26
Pri
Nublense
U. Catolica
1
2
L
20.02.26
Pri
Nublense
Union La Calera
1
0
W
Last matches: Palestino
18.08.26
Pri
Palestino
Huachipato
5
1
W
10.08.26
Pri
Palestino
Universidad de Chile
1
2
L
01.08.26
Pri
Palestino
Coquimbo Unido
2
1
W
11.07.26
Cop
Palestino
Deportes Santa Cruz
3
2
W
04.07.26
Cop
Palestino
Magallanes
2
1
W
30.06.26
Cop
Palestino
A. Italiano
2
3
L
27.06.26
Cop
Palestino
Deportes Santa Cruz
0
0
D
24.06.26
Cop
Palestino
A. Italiano
1
2
L
20.06.26
Cop
Palestino
Magallanes
4
1
W
13.06.26
Pri
Palestino
Everton de Vina
2
1
W
01.06.26
Pri
Palestino
A. Italiano
0
0
D
24.05.26
Pri
Palestino
Union La Calera
2
1
W
16.05.26
Pri
Palestino
D. La Serena
5
1
W
24.04.26
Pri
Palestino
Concepción
0
1
L
19.04.26
Pri
Palestino
Colo Colo
1
0
W
12.04.26
Pri
Palestino
Deportes Limache
1
0
W
02.04.26
Pri
Palestino
U. Catolica
1
6
L
15.03.26
Pri
Palestino
Universidad de Concepcion
0
1
L
08.03.26
Pri
Palestino
Cobresal
4
2
W
28.02.26
Pri
Palestino
O'Higgins
4
2
W
H2H: Nublense vs Palestino
26.07.26
H2H
Nublense
Palestino
2
0
W
01.02.26
H2H
Palestino
Nublense
1
1
D
16.08.25
H2H
Nublense
Palestino
1
0
W
16.03.25
H2H
Palestino
Nublense
2
0
L
01.09.24
H2H
Palestino
Nublense
1
1
D
14.04.24
H2H
Nublense
Palestino
0
2
L
12.11.23
H2H
Nublense
Palestino
1
1
D
29.04.23
H2H
Palestino
Nublense
1
2
W
10.09.22
H2H
Nublense
Palestino
2
0
W
10.04.22
H2H
Palestino
Nublense
1
1
D
04.12.21
H2H
Palestino
Nublense
1
4
W
21.08.21
H2H
Nublense
Palestino
2
2
D
Last matches: Nublense
16.08.26
Pri
Nublense
Union La Calera
2
1
W
04.08.26
Cop
Nublense
Rangers de Talca
1
0
W
05.07.26
Cop
Nublense
Curico Unido
2
2
D
25.06.26
Cop
Nublense
Universidad de Concepcion
4
2
W
14.06.26
Pri
Nublense
Huachipato
2
2
D
23.05.26
Pri
Nublense
Universidad de Concepcion
2
2
D
25.04.26
Pri
Nublense
O'Higgins
0
2
L
12.04.26
Pri
Nublense
Universidad de Chile
1
0
W
15.03.26
Pri
Nublense
D. La Serena
2
2
D
01.03.26
Pri
Nublense
U. Catolica
1
2
L
15.02.26
Pri
Nublense
A. Italiano
1
0
W
08.02.26
Pri
Nublense
Deportes Limache
1
1
D
13.07.25
Cop
Nublense
Huachipato
2
2
D
01.07.25
Cop
Nublense
Magallanes
2
0
W
05.04.25
Cop
Nublense
Universidad de Concepcion
2
0
W
08.02.25
Cop
Nublense
Deportes Santa Cruz
2
2
D
26.01.25
Cop
Nublense
Curico Unido
3
2
W
13.11.24
Cop
Nublense
Magallanes
2
1
W
29.10.24
Cop
Nublense
D. Puerto Montt
1
1
D
11.07.24
Cop
Nublense
Linares Unido
5
1
W
H2H at home: Nublense
26.07.26
H2H
Nublense
Palestino
2
0
W
16.08.25
H2H
Nublense
Palestino
1
0
W
14.04.24
H2H
Nublense
Palestino
0
2
L
12.11.23
H2H
Nublense
Palestino
1
1
D
10.09.22
H2H
Nublense
Palestino
2
0
W
21.08.21
H2H
Nublense
Palestino
2
2
D
Last matches: Palestino
10.08.26
Pri
Palestino
Universidad de Chile
1
2
L
04.07.26
Cop
Palestino
Magallanes
2
1
W
30.06.26
Cop
Palestino
A. Italiano
2
3
L
27.06.26
Cop
Palestino
Deportes Santa Cruz
0
0
D
13.06.26
Pri
Palestino
Everton de Vina
2
1
W
24.05.26
Pri
Palestino
Union La Calera
2
1
W
19.04.26
Pri
Palestino
Colo Colo
1
0
W
02.04.26
Pri
Palestino
U. Catolica
1
6
L
15.03.26
Pri
Palestino
Universidad de Concepcion
0
1
L
21.02.26
Pri
Palestino
Huachipato
1
2
L
07.02.26
Pri
Palestino
Coquimbo Unido
1
3
L
11.05.25
Cop
Palestino
A. Italiano
2
2
D
06.04.25
Cop
Palestino
Union Espanola
0
3
L
23.03.25
Cop
Palestino
Concepción
2
3
L
01.02.25
Cop
Palestino
Union Espanola
2
1
W
09.09.24
Cop
Palestino
Universidad de Chile
1
0
W
06.07.24
Cop
Palestino
Santiago Wanderers
2
2
D
23.06.24
Cop
Palestino
Barnechea
2
3
L
16.06.24
Cop
Palestino
Santiago City
4
0
W
02.08.23
Cop
Palestino
Colo Colo
0
1
L
H2H away: Palestino
26.07.26
H2H
Nublense
Palestino
2
0
L
16.08.25
H2H
Nublense
Palestino
1
0
L
14.04.24
H2H
Nublense
Palestino
0
2
W
12.11.23
H2H
Nublense
Palestino
1
1
D
10.09.22
H2H
Nublense
Palestino
2
0
L
21.08.21
H2H
Nublense
Palestino
2
2
D

Standings

Primera División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 15 1 3 40:19 21 46
D W W W W
2 19 10 6 3 26:13 13 36
W W W W W
3 18 9 3 6 40:26 14 30
W L D W W
4 19 9 3 7 31:27 4 30
W L W L W
5 18 7 8 3 24:22 2 29
W D W D W
6 19 7 6 6 28:22 6 27
D W L D L
7 19 8 2 9 22:23 -1 26
W W W W W
8 17 7 4 6 24:21 3 25
D L D W D
9 18 7 3 8 35:30 5 24
L W L L L
10 19 7 3 9 24:30 -6 24
D L W L L
11 19 7 3 9 28:36 -8 24
L L L D D
12 19 5 8 6 28:31 -3 23
W D L D D
13 19 5 6 8 23:26 -3 21
D D W L D
14 18 5 4 9 13:30 -17 19
L L L L D
15 19 5 2 12 26:36 -10 17
L L W D L
16 19 3 4 12 17:37 -20 13
L L L D D