CHILE PRIMERA DIVISIóN
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Municipal Nelson Oyarzun Arenas
Referee: J. Lara
Nublense
Match Timeline
O'Higgins
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
13'
T. Vecino · Assist: F. Faundez
O'Higgins
34'
F. Gonzalez · Assist: B. Rabello
O'Higgins
🔄
46'
L. Molina Canto ↔ D. Cespedes
Nublense
🔄
46'
D. Sanhueza ↔ I. Tapia
Nublense
🟨
48'
Felipe Faúndez
O'Higgins
🟨
50'
Martín Maturana
O'Higgins
🟨
52'
Lorenzo Reyes
Nublense
🔄
65'
F. Campos Mosqueira ↔ F. Ovelar
Nublense
🔄
67'
I. Jeraldino ↔ F. Rami
Nublense
🔄
71'
T. Vecino ↔ A. Castillo
O'Higgins
🔄
71'
M. Maturana ↔ B. Rojas
O'Higgins
🔄
71'
B. Rabello ↔ G. Pinto
O'Higgins
🔄
76'
G. Graciani ↔ J. Gonzalez
Nublense
🔄
82'
J. Leiva ↔ B. Schamine
O'Higgins
🟨
83'
Matías Plaza
Nublense
🔄
87'
L. Diaz ↔ C. Morales
O'Higgins
🟥
90+4'
Sebastián Valencia
Nublense

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 54.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 70.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 71.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
54.3%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
70.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
71.1%
-
Probability Distribution
Nublense Win 54.3%
Draw 6.5%
O'Higgins Win 39.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Nublense1.22
O'Higgins1.12
Recent Form (Last 5)
Nublense Nublense
WWDLW
11 GF / 7 GA
O'Higgins O'Higgins
WLDWL
21 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
1.1
Average Goals Scored
1.4
0.7
Average Goals Conceded
1.4
5
BTTS Yes
8
2
Over 2.5
8
3.6
Shots on Goal
3.86

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Nublense Nublense 10 matches
O'Higgins O'Higgins 15 matches
Nublense Statistic O'Higgins
4 Wins 8
5 Draws 1
1 Losses 6
11 Goals For 21
7 Goals Against 21
1.1 Avg Goals Scored 1.4
0.7 Avg Goals Conceded 1.4
5 BTTS Yes 8
6 Over 1.5 10
2 Over 2.5 8
1 Over 3.5 4
5 Clean Sheets 4
1 Failed To Score 3
3.6 Shots On Goal 3.86
12.1 Total Shots 12.29
4.6 Corners 4.64
46.8% Ball Possession 48.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and Nublense's more proactive style and O'Higgins's more cautious structure points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward O'Higgins. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Nublense expected to line up in 3-4-3 and O'Higgins in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward O'Higgins having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Nublense Analysis

Nublense come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 5 with 17 points from 10 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 5 draws, and 1 losses, while the 10:6 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on I. Jeraldino (3 goals), Franco Rami (2 goals), D. Sanhueza (1 goals), with creative support from Gabriel Graciani (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

O'Higgins Analysis

From their first 10 matches, O'Higgins have collected 16 points and now occupy 7 place in the table. Their overall return of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 12:14 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by A. Castillo (3 goals), Thiago Vecino (3 goals), F. Gonzalez (2 goals), with creative support from F. Gonzalez (4 assists), Bryan Rabello (1 assists), Felipe Ogaz (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Nublense won 3 times, O'Higgins won 4 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:19 from Nublense's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.77 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.5%)
Predicted formations: Nublense 3-4-3 / O'Higgins 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Nublense wins 3, draws 6, O'Higgins wins 4
Stats
Nublense Nublense
O'Higgins O'Higgins
Shots on Goal
2
Shots on Goal
5
Shots off Goal
9
Shots off Goal
1
Blocked Shots
4
Blocked Shots
1
4 Corner Kicks 6
11 Fouls 11
4 Offsides 1
46% Ball Possession 54%
15 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Goal 5
9 Shots off Goal 1
4 Blocked Shots 1
14 Shots insidebox 5
1 Shots outsidebox 2
3 Goalkeeper Saves 2
396 Total passes 482
306 Passes accurate 394
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 1 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Nublense
Formation
O'Higgins
N. Perez
N. Perez
F. Campos Mosqueira
F. Campos Mosqueira
O. Bosso Torres
O. Bosso Torres
S. Valencia
S. Valencia
D. Sanhueza
D. Sanhueza
L. Reyes
L. Reyes
M. Plaza
M. Plaza
M. Rivera
M. Rivera
L. Molina Canto
L. Molina Canto
G. Graciani
G. Graciani
I. Jeraldino
I. Jeraldino
O. Carabali
O. Carabali
F. Faundez
🎯
F. Faundez
N. Garrido
N. Garrido
J. Movillo
J. Movillo
L. Diaz
L. Diaz
Felipe Ogaz
Felipe Ogaz
J. Leiva
J. Leiva
F. Gonzalez
F. Gonzalez
M. Maturana
M. Maturana
B. Rabello
🎯
B. Rabello
T. Vecino
T. Vecino
Nublense 3-5-2
Starting XI
1
N. Perez
G
5
F. Campos Mosqueira
↓ 65'
D
4
O. Bosso Torres
D
15
S. Valencia
16
D. Sanhueza
↓ 46'
M
21
L. Reyes
🟨 52'
M
10
M. Plaza
🟨 83'
M
28
M. Rivera
M
11
L. Molina Canto
↓ 46'
M
8
G. Graciani
↓ 76'
F
20
I. Jeraldino
↓ 67'
F
Substitutes
25
H. Munoz
G
7
F. Ovelar
↑ 65'
F
18
D. Cespedes
↑ 46'
M
29
G. Avalos
F
3
C. Salomon
D
19
I. Tapia
↑ 46'
M
23
J. Gonzalez
↑ 76'
F
22
A. Valdes
M
9
F. Rami
↑ 67'
F
O'Higgins 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
31
O. Carabali
G
3
F. Faundez
🎯 13' 🟨 48'
D
21
N. Garrido
27
J. Movillo
D
20
L. Diaz
↓ 87'
D
8
Felipe Ogaz
11
J. Leiva
↓ 82'
M
24
F. Gonzalez
⚽ 34'
M
14
M. Maturana
↓ 71' 🟨 50'
M
10
B. Rabello
🎯 34' ↓ 71'
M
32
T. Vecino
⚽ 13' ↓ 71'
F
Substitutes
1
Pena Jorge
G
7
Martin Sarrafiore
M
9
A. Castillo
↑ 71'
F
29
B. Yanez
F
15
B. Rojas
↑ 71'
D
2
C. Morales
↑ 87'
5
G. Pinto
↑ 71'
M
28
B. Schamine
↑ 82'
M
30
J. Tapia
F
Last matches: Nublense
29.05.26
Pri
Nublense
Cobresal
1
0
W
23.05.26
Pri
Nublense
Universidad de Concepcion
2
2
D
17.05.26
Pri
Nublense
Colo Colo
2
6
L
19.04.26
Pri
Nublense
Coquimbo Unido
1
1
D
12.04.26
Pri
Nublense
Universidad de Chile
1
0
W
04.04.26
Pri
Nublense
Everton de Vina
0
0
D
15.03.26
Pri
Nublense
D. La Serena
2
2
D
06.03.26
Pri
Nublense
Concepción
2
0
W
01.03.26
Pri
Nublense
U. Catolica
1
2
L
20.02.26
Pri
Nublense
Union La Calera
1
0
W
15.02.26
Pri
Nublense
A. Italiano
1
0
W
08.02.26
Pri
Nublense
Deportes Limache
1
1
D
01.02.26
Pri
Nublense
Palestino
1
1
D
Last matches: O'Higgins
31.05.26
Pri
O'Higgins
Everton de Vina
2
3
L
16.05.26
Pri
O'Higgins
Universidad de Concepcion
0
1
L
19.04.26
Pri
O'Higgins
Cobresal
3
2
W
11.04.26
Pri
O'Higgins
Huachipato
0
2
L
03.04.26
Pri
O'Higgins
A. Italiano
2
1
W
16.03.26
Pri
O'Higgins
Union La Calera
3
3
D
12.03.26
CON
O'Higgins
Deportes Tolima
0
2
L
07.03.26
Pri
O'Higgins
U. Catolica
1
0
W
05.03.26
CON
O'Higgins
Deportes Tolima
1
0
W
28.02.26
Pri
O'Higgins
Palestino
2
4
L
25.02.26
CON
O'Higgins
Bahia
1
2
L
21.02.26
Pri
O'Higgins
Colo Colo
0
1
L
18.02.26
CON
O'Higgins
Bahia
1
0
W
14.02.26
Pri
O'Higgins
Deportes Limache
1
2
L
07.02.26
Pri
O'Higgins
D. La Serena
1
0
W
02.02.26
Pri
O'Higgins
Concepción
2
1
W
24.01.26
Fri
O'Higgins
Magallanes
3
1
W
H2H: Nublense vs O'Higgins
25.04.26
H2H
Nublense
O'Higgins
0
2
L
08.11.25
H2H
O'Higgins
Nublense
4
2
L
25.05.25
H2H
Nublense
O'Higgins
0
1
L
19.10.24
H2H
O'Higgins
Nublense
1
3
W
19.05.24
H2H
Nublense
O'Higgins
2
2
D
28.07.23
H2H
O'Higgins
Nublense
1
2
W
31.03.23
H2H
Nublense
O'Higgins
2
1
W
02.10.22
H2H
Nublense
O'Higgins
2
2
D
24.04.22
H2H
O'Higgins
Nublense
1
0
L
07.11.21
H2H
O'Higgins
Nublense
1
1
D
02.08.21
H2H
Nublense
O'Higgins
0
0
D
04.07.21
H2H
O'Higgins
Nublense
2
2
D
01.07.21
H2H
Nublense
O'Higgins
1
1
D
Last matches: Nublense
23.05.26
Pri
Nublense
Universidad de Concepcion
2
2
D
12.04.26
Pri
Nublense
Universidad de Chile
1
0
W
15.03.26
Pri
Nublense
D. La Serena
2
2
D
01.03.26
Pri
Nublense
U. Catolica
1
2
L
15.02.26
Pri
Nublense
A. Italiano
1
0
W
08.02.26
Pri
Nublense
Deportes Limache
1
1
D
H2H at home: Nublense
25.04.26
H2H
Nublense
O'Higgins
0
2
L
25.05.25
H2H
Nublense
O'Higgins
0
1
L
19.05.24
H2H
Nublense
O'Higgins
2
2
D
31.03.23
H2H
Nublense
O'Higgins
2
1
W
02.10.22
H2H
Nublense
O'Higgins
2
2
D
02.08.21
H2H
Nublense
O'Higgins
0
0
D
01.07.21
H2H
Nublense
O'Higgins
1
1
D
Last matches: O'Higgins
19.04.26
Pri
O'Higgins
Cobresal
3
2
W
16.03.26
Pri
O'Higgins
Union La Calera
3
3
D
12.03.26
CON
O'Higgins
Deportes Tolima
0
2
L
28.02.26
Pri
O'Higgins
Palestino
2
4
L
25.02.26
CON
O'Higgins
Bahia
1
2
L
14.02.26
Pri
O'Higgins
Deportes Limache
1
2
L
H2H away: O'Higgins
25.04.26
H2H
Nublense
O'Higgins
0
2
W
25.05.25
H2H
Nublense
O'Higgins
0
1
W
19.05.24
H2H
Nublense
O'Higgins
2
2
D
31.03.23
H2H
Nublense
O'Higgins
2
1
L
02.10.22
H2H
Nublense
O'Higgins
2
2
D
02.08.21
H2H
Nublense
O'Higgins
0
0
D
01.07.21
H2H
Nublense
O'Higgins
1
1
D

Standings

# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 14 11 0 3 26:12 14 33
?
2 14 7 2 5 30:19 11 23
?
3 14 7 2 5 22:18 4 23
?
4 14 6 4 4 18:13 5 22
?
5 14 7 1 6 21:20 1 22
?
6 14 6 3 5 28:20 8 21
?
7 14 6 3 5 21:20 1 21
?
8 14 5 6 3 16:17 -1 21
?
9 13 5 5 3 13:8 5 20
?
10 13 6 1 6 19:20 -1 19
?
11 14 5 4 5 12:21 -9 19
?
12 14 4 5 5 20:24 -4 17
?
13 14 4 3 7 17:20 -3 15
?
14 14 4 1 9 19:26 -7 13
?
15 14 3 2 9 11:21 -10 11
?
16 14 3 2 9 12:26 -14 11
?