Novorizontino vs Sport Recife Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
59.7%
|
1.70 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
67.1%
|
2.00 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
55.6%
|
2.11 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
84.2%
|
2.10 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
2.75 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
8.50 |
Novorizontino
Sport Recife
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Novorizontino
24 matches
Sport Recife
24 matches
| Novorizontino | Statistic | Sport Recife |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Wins | 9 |
| 7 | Draws | 11 |
| 6 | Losses | 4 |
| 39 | Goals For | 32 |
| 21 | Goals Against | 22 |
| 1.63 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.33 |
| 0.88 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.92 |
| 11 | BTTS Yes | 14 |
| 16 | Over 1.5 | 17 |
| 13 | Over 2.5 | 10 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 9 | Clean Sheets | 9 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 4.88 | Shots On Goal | 4.33 |
| 14.25 | Total Shots | 13.71 |
| 5.88 | Corners | 4.75 |
| 48% | Ball Possession | 53.9% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Sport Recife. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Novorizontino have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.
Novorizontino approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 7 with 34 points from 22 matches. Their record of 9 wins, 7 draws, and 6 losses, together with goals at 32:20, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Robson (6 goals), Rômulo (3 goals), Tavinho (2 goals), with creative support from Rômulo (6 assists), Robson (3 assists), Juninho (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.
Sport Recife sit 6 with 35 points after 23 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 8 wins, 11 draws, and 4 losses, while the 29:22 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Chrystian Barletta (6 goals), Perotti (6 goals), Biel Fonseca (1 goals), with creative support from Chrystian Barletta (3 assists), Biel Fonseca (3 assists), Carlos De Pena (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Novorizontino won 1 times, Sport Recife won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:7 from Novorizontino's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 1.43 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Novorizontino
Home
|
28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 48:25 | 23 | 50 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
| 2 | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 30:17 | 13 | 50 |
L
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 31:23 | 8 | 48 |
D
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 39:30 | 9 | 47 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 28:25 | 3 | 47 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 6 | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 36:26 | 10 | 46 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 36:33 | 3 | 43 |
W
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 40:39 | 1 | 42 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 9 |
Sport Recife
Away
|
27 | 10 | 11 | 6 | 36:26 | 10 | 41 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
| 10 | 28 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 33:30 | 3 | 40 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 28 | 9 | 13 | 6 | 27:22 | 5 | 40 |
D
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 12 | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 32:30 | 2 | 37 |
L
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 13 | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 25:33 | -8 | 36 |
L
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 37:31 | 6 | 35 |
L
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 15 | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 29:36 | -7 | 32 |
D
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 16 | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 30:32 | -2 | 31 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 17 | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 28:35 | -7 | 29 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 18 | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 32:39 | -7 | 25 |
W
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 19 | 27 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 21:46 | -25 | 17 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 27 | 2 | 4 | 21 | 16:56 | -40 | 10 |
L
L
L
L
L
|