BRAZIL SERIE B
--.--.---- --:--
Estádio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi
Referee: Jonathan Benkenstein Pinheiro, Brazil
Novorizontino
Match Timeline
Ceara
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
7'
Matheus Bianqui · Assist: Rômulo
Novorizontino
🟨
27'
Júlio César
Ceara
44'
Melk · Assist: Fernandinho
Ceara
🔄
46'
Leo Naldi ↔ Juninho
Novorizontino
🔄
46'
Gustavo Prado ↔ Rafael Ramos
Ceara
🔄
46'
Fernando ↔ Sánchez
Ceara
🔄
65'
Matheus Araújo ↔ Matheusinho
Ceara
🔄
65'
Melk ↔ Wendel
Ceara
🔄
66'
Vinicius Paiva ↔ Ronald Barcellos
Novorizontino
🟨
67'
Nilson Castrillón
Novorizontino
🔄
75'
Tavinho ↔ Carlão
Novorizontino
🔄
75'
Dieguinho ↔ Juan Alano
Ceara
🔄
76'
Nilson Castrillón ↔ Alemão
Novorizontino
🟥
78'
Sánchez
Ceara
🟨
82'
Bruno Ferreira
Ceara
87'
Juninho
Novorizontino
🟨
90+5'
Rafael Ramos
Ceara

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 76.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 26.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 39.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
76.6%
-
BTTS BTTS No
26.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
39.8%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Novorizontino Win 46.8%
Draw 23.4%
Ceara Win 29.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Novorizontino1.13
Ceara1.07
Recent Form (Last 5)
Novorizontino Novorizontino
WWDLW
11 GF / 9 GA
Ceara Ceara
WLDWL
10 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
1.22
Average Goals Scored
1.11
1
Average Goals Conceded
1
4
BTTS Yes
4
4
Over 2.5
2
4.11
Shots on Goal
4.78

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Novorizontino Novorizontino 9 matches
Ceara Ceara 9 matches
Novorizontino Statistic Ceara
3 Wins 3
4 Draws 4
2 Losses 2
11 Goals For 10
9 Goals Against 9
1.22 Avg Goals Scored 1.11
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1
4 BTTS Yes 4
5 Over 1.5 6
4 Over 2.5 2
2 Over 3.5 1
4 Clean Sheets 3
3 Failed To Score 3
4.11 Shots On Goal 4.78
12.89 Total Shots 13.89
5.78 Corners 5.56
46.8% Ball Possession 49.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Ceara. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Ceara having the stronger overall control.

Novorizontino Analysis

From their first 9 matches, Novorizontino have collected 13 points and now occupy 7 place in the table. The record of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 11:9 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Robson (3 goals), Carlao (2 goals), Tavinho (2 goals), with creative support from Romulo (3 assists), Juninho (3 assists), Robson (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Ceara Analysis

Ceara are currently 9 in the standings with 13 points from 9 matches. Their overall return of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 10:9 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Juan Alano (2 goals), Matheus Araujo (2 goals), Fernandinho (1 goals), with creative support from Melk (2 assists), Enzo Lodovico (1 assists), Giulio (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Novorizontino won 3 times, Ceara won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:6 from Novorizontino's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (76.6%)
Predicted formations: Novorizontino 4-2-3-1 / Ceara 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Novorizontino wins 3, draws 0, Ceara wins 2
Stats
Novorizontino Novorizontino
Ceara Ceara
Shots on Goal
6
Shots on Goal
1
Shots off Goal
7
Shots off Goal
3
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
1
5 Corner Kicks 2
18 Fouls 12
2 Offsides 1
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Goal 1
7 Shots off Goal 3
2 Blocked Shots 1
6 Shots insidebox 3
9 Shots outsidebox 2
0 Goalkeeper Saves 4
360 Total passes 391
287 Passes accurate 322
0.81 expected_goals 0.41
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 1 🟥

Lineups

Novorizontino
Formation
Ceara
Jordi
Jordi
Nilson Castrillón
Nilson Castrillón
Carlinhos
Carlinhos
Patrick
Patrick
Maykon Jesus
Maykon Jesus
Matheus Bianqui
Matheus Bianqui
Leo Naldi
Leo Naldi
Tavinho
Tavinho
Rômulo
🎯
Rômulo
Vinicius Paiva
Vinicius Paiva
Robson
Robson
Bruno Ferreira
Bruno Ferreira
Júlio César
Júlio César
Éder
Éder
Luiz Otávio
Luiz Otávio
Fernando
Fernando
João Gabriel
João Gabriel
Dieguinho
Dieguinho
Gustavo Prado
Gustavo Prado
Melk
Melk
Matheus Araújo
Matheus Araújo
Fernandinho
🎯
Fernandinho
Novorizontino 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
93
Jordi
G
20
Nilson Castrillón
↓ 76' 🟨 67'
D
3
Carlinhos
D
4
Patrick
D
66
Maykon Jesus
D
17
Matheus Bianqui
⚽ 7'
M
18
Leo Naldi
↓ 46'
M
15
Tavinho
↓ 75'
M
10
Rômulo
🎯 7'
M
16
Vinicius Paiva
↓ 66'
M
11
Robson
F
Substitutes
50
Juninho
⚽ 87' ↑ 46'
M
7
Ronald Barcellos
↑ 66'
F
9
Carlão
↑ 75'
F
21
Alemão
↑ 76'
D
31
César
G
22
Alexis Alvarino
M
33
Renato Silveira
D
19
Diego Galo
M
28
Marlon
M
77
Hélio Borges
F
8
Christian Ortíz
F
40
Jardiel
M
Ceara 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
94
Bruno Ferreira
🟨 82'
G
18
Júlio César
🟨 27'
D
33
Éder
D
4
Luiz Otávio
D
17
Fernando
↓ 46'
D
81
João Gabriel
M
20
Dieguinho
↓ 75'
M
30
Gustavo Prado
↓ 46'
M
40
Melk
⚽ 44' ↓ 65'
M
8
Matheus Araújo
↓ 65'
M
11
Fernandinho
🎯 44'
F
Substitutes
12
Sánchez
↑ 46' 🟥 78'
D
2
Rafael Ramos
↑ 46' 🟨 90+5'
D
98
Matheusinho
↑ 65'
M
9
Wendel
↑ 65'
F
10
Juan Alano
↑ 75'
F
41
Gustavo Dias Martins
G
60
Enzo Valentim Lodovico
F
63
Pedro Gilmar
D
80
Pedro Esli da Silva
M
35
Giulio
F
31
Lucas Lima
M
Last matches: Novorizontino
09.08.26
Ser
Novorizontino
Juventude
0
1
L
26.07.26
Ser
Novorizontino
Londrina
4
1
W
21.07.26
Ser
Novorizontino
Criciuma
0
1
L
18.07.26
Ser
Novorizontino
Fortaleza EC
0
1
L
12.07.26
Ser
Novorizontino
Operario-PR
1
2
L
04.07.26
Ser
Novorizontino
Atletico Goianiense
3
0
W
26.06.26
Ser
Novorizontino
Vila Nova
2
1
W
22.06.26
Ser
Novorizontino
Ponte Preta
2
0
W
14.06.26
Ser
Novorizontino
Nautico Recife
2
2
D
10.06.26
Ser
Novorizontino
Goias
4
0
W
31.05.26
Ser
Novorizontino
São Bernardo
1
1
D
16.05.26
Ser
Novorizontino
Cuiaba
0
0
D
10.05.26
Ser
Novorizontino
Botafogo SP
1
0
W
03.05.26
Ser
Novorizontino
Avai
3
3
D
25.04.26
Ser
Novorizontino
Sport Recife
0
1
L
19.04.26
Ser
Novorizontino
Athletic Club
2
1
W
12.04.26
Ser
Novorizontino
America Mineiro
3
0
W
05.04.26
Ser
Novorizontino
CRB
1
1
D
31.03.26
Ser
Novorizontino
Juventude
0
0
D
22.03.26
Ser
Novorizontino
Londrina
1
3
L
Last matches: Ceara
07.08.26
Ser
Ceara
Ponte Preta
2
0
W
26.07.26
Ser
Ceara
São Bernardo
4
3
W
22.07.26
Ser
Ceara
CRB
0
1
L
17.07.26
Ser
Ceara
America Mineiro
1
1
D
13.07.26
Ser
Ceara
Athletic Club
0
0
D
04.07.26
Ser
Ceara
Goias
0
2
L
28.06.26
Ser
Ceara
Juventude
0
2
L
20.06.26
Ser
Ceara
Botafogo SP
0
1
L
16.06.26
Ser
Ceara
Criciuma
1
1
D
10.06.26
Ser
Ceara
Avai
2
1
W
31.05.26
Ser
Ceara
Operario-PR
1
2
L
17.05.26
Ser
Ceara
Fortaleza EC
2
1
W
09.05.26
Ser
Ceara
Atletico Goianiense
0
1
L
03.05.26
Ser
Ceara
Sport Recife
0
2
L
26.04.26
Ser
Ceara
Vila Nova
3
3
D
19.04.26
Ser
Ceara
Londrina
0
0
D
11.04.26
Ser
Ceara
Nautico Recife
1
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
Ceara
Cuiaba
2
0
W
02.04.26
Ser
Ceara
Ponte Preta
1
1
D
21.03.26
Ser
Ceara
São Bernardo
1
1
D
H2H: Novorizontino vs Ceara
23.05.26
H2H
Novorizontino
Ceara
2
1
W
27.08.24
H2H
Ceara
Novorizontino
1
0
L
10.05.24
H2H
Novorizontino
Ceara
0
3
L
19.09.23
H2H
Novorizontino
Ceara
4
1
W
28.05.23
H2H
Ceara
Novorizontino
0
3
W
Last matches: Novorizontino
09.08.26
Ser
Novorizontino
Juventude
0
1
L
21.07.26
Ser
Novorizontino
Criciuma
0
1
L
04.07.26
Ser
Novorizontino
Atletico Goianiense
3
0
W
26.06.26
Ser
Novorizontino
Vila Nova
2
1
W
14.06.26
Ser
Novorizontino
Nautico Recife
2
2
D
10.05.26
Ser
Novorizontino
Botafogo SP
1
0
W
19.04.26
Ser
Novorizontino
Athletic Club
2
1
W
05.04.26
Ser
Novorizontino
CRB
1
1
D
22.03.26
Ser
Novorizontino
Londrina
1
3
L
H2H at home: Novorizontino
23.05.26
H2H
Novorizontino
Ceara
2
1
W
10.05.24
H2H
Novorizontino
Ceara
0
3
L
19.09.23
H2H
Novorizontino
Ceara
4
1
W
Last matches: Ceara
26.07.26
Ser
Ceara
São Bernardo
4
3
W
17.07.26
Ser
Ceara
America Mineiro
1
1
D
04.07.26
Ser
Ceara
Goias
0
2
L
28.06.26
Ser
Ceara
Juventude
0
2
L
16.06.26
Ser
Ceara
Criciuma
1
1
D
03.05.26
Ser
Ceara
Sport Recife
0
2
L
19.04.26
Ser
Ceara
Londrina
0
0
D
04.04.26
Ser
Ceara
Cuiaba
2
0
W
02.04.26
Ser
Ceara
Ponte Preta
1
1
D
H2H away: Ceara
23.05.26
H2H
Novorizontino
Ceara
2
1
L
10.05.24
H2H
Novorizontino
Ceara
0
3
W
19.09.23
H2H
Novorizontino
Ceara
4
1
L