SERBIA SUPER LIGA
19.09.2026 16:00
Gradski Stadion

Novi Pazar vs Zemun Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 87%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 56%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 58.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
87%
-
BTTS No
56%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
58.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Novi Pazar Win 87%
Draw 6.5%
Zemun Win 6.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Novi Pazar1.26
Zemun0.9
Recent Form (Last 5)
Novi Pazar Novi Pazar
WWDLW
14 GF / 18 GA
Zemun Zemun
WLDWL
9 GF / 22 GA
Key Stats
0.88
Average Goals Scored
0.75
1.13
Average Goals Conceded
1.83
7
BTTS Yes
5
4
Over 2.5
6
4.89
Shots on Goal
2.25

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Novi Pazar Novi Pazar 16 matches
Zemun Zemun 12 matches
Novi Pazar Statistic Zemun
5 Wins 1
4 Draws 3
7 Losses 8
14 Goals For 9
18 Goals Against 22
0.88 Avg Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Avg Goals Conceded 1.83
7 BTTS Yes 5
10 Over 1.5 8
4 Over 2.5 6
2 Over 3.5 3
5 Clean Sheets 1
5 Failed To Score 6
4.89 Shots On Goal 2.25
14.33 Total Shots 8.75
4.44 Corners 3.38
47.8% Ball Possession 36.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Zemun. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Novi Pazar expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Zemun in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Zemun having the stronger overall control. Zemun arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Novi Pazar arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 8 with 11 points compared to Zemun in 14 on 1, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

Novi Pazar Analysis

So far, Novi Pazar have built a campaign that leaves them 8 in the table on 11 points from 8 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, while the 7:8 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on K. Dixon (2 goals), F. Mulić (1 goals), P. Gadio (1 goals), with creative support from K. Dixon (2 assists), D. Johnson Agwom (1 assists), Skima Togbe (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Zemun Analysis

Zemun approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 1 points from 8 matches. Across the season they have posted 0 wins, 1 draws, and 7 defeats, and the 3:16 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on M. Meskhi (1 goals), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Novi Pazar won 1 times, Zemun won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:2 from Novi Pazar's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (93.5%)
Predicted formations: Novi Pazar 4-2-3-1 / Zemun 4-4-2
H2H summary: Novi Pazar wins 1, draws 1, Zemun wins 0

Standings

Super Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 7 1 0 19:2 17 22
W D W W W
2 9 7 0 2 20:9 11 21
W W W W L
3 8 4 2 2 12:6 6 14
W D D W W
4 9 4 2 3 11:6 5 14
L D W L D
5 9 3 4 2 8:11 -3 13
L W L W W
6 8 3 3 2 9:10 -1 12
D W L W W
7 9 3 3 3 8:9 -1 12
D W D L W
8 7 3 2 2 11:7 4 11
W L W L D
9 9 3 2 4 11:16 -5 11
D L L L W
10 9 2 3 4 10:16 -6 9
L D L W L
11 8 2 2 4 6:8 -2 8
W L D L D
12 9 2 2 5 5:15 -10 8
L D D W L
13 8 2 1 5 13:15 -2 7
L L W L L
14
Zemun Away
8 0 1 7 3:16 -13 1
L L L L L
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