SERBIA › SUPER LIGA
17.05.2026 15:00
Gradski Stadion
Referee: A. Stojanovic
Novi Pazar
Match Timeline
Železničar Pančevo
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
9'
D. Camaj · Assist: M. Petkovic
Novi Pazar
🔄
46'
I. Davidovic ↔ S. Togbe
Novi Pazar
VAR
49'
Mihajlo Petković
Novi Pazar
⚽
58'
Z. Alilovic · Assist: M. Petkovic
Novi Pazar
🔄
64'
A. Kuljanin ↔ N. Jovanovic
Železničar Pančevo
🔄
64'
B. Knezevic ↔ S. Mitrovic
Železničar Pančevo
🔄
64'
D. Tosic ↔ K. Sekularac
Železničar Pančevo
🔄
64'
D. Jovanovic ↔ S. Wasiu
Železničar Pančevo
🟨
68'
Mihajlo Petković
Novi Pazar
🔄
75'
J. Marinkovic ↔ A. Abdullahi
Novi Pazar
⚽
76'
J. Jevremovic · Assist: S. Wasiu
Železničar Pančevo
🔄
80'
M. Petkovic ↔ E. Mavric
Novi Pazar
🔄
80'
D. Camaj ↔ D. Johnson Agwom
Novi Pazar
🟥
90+4'
Ensar Brunčević
Novi Pazar
VAR
90+4'
Ensar Brunčević
Novi Pazar
🔄
90+4'
Z. Alilovic ↔ B. Bilalovic
Novi Pazar
⚽
90'
N. Jovanovic
Železničar Pančevo

Novi Pazar vs Železničar Pančevo Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 81.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 13.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 24.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
81.4%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
13.3%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
24.1%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
71.3%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Novi Pazar Win 37.3%
Draw 18.6%
Železničar Pančevo Win 44.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Novi Pazar1.14
Železničar Pančevo1.41
Recent Form (Last 5)
Novi Pazar Novi Pazar
WWDLW
46 GF / 54 GA
Železničar Pančevo Železničar Pančevo
WLDWL
48 GF / 35 GA
Key Stats
1.24
Average Goals Scored
1.37
1.46
Average Goals Conceded
1
20
BTTS Yes
15
18
Over 2.5
15
4.27
Shots on Goal
3.91

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Novi Pazar Novi Pazar 37 matches
Železničar Pančevo Železničar Pančevo 35 matches
Novi Pazar Statistic Železničar Pančevo
14 Wins 16
9 Draws 9
14 Losses 10
46 Goals For 48
54 Goals Against 35
1.24 Avg Goals Scored 1.37
1.46 Avg Goals Conceded 1
20 BTTS Yes 15
29 Over 1.5 23
18 Over 2.5 15
10 Over 3.5 7
11 Clean Sheets 16
8 Failed To Score 8
4.27 Shots On Goal 3.91
11.62 Total Shots 11.03
4.19 Corners 4.66
42.6% Ball Possession 52.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Novi Pazar have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Novi Pazar expected to line up in 5-4-1 and Železničar Pančevo in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Železničar Pančevo having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Železničar Pančevo. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Novi Pazar Analysis

Novi Pazar approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 5 with 47 points from 30 matches. Across the season they have posted 13 wins, 8 draws, and 9 defeats, and the 38:37 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on S. Stanisavljevic (8 goals), D. Camaj (6 goals), Dominic Sadi (5 goals), with creative support from Dominic Sadi (4 assists), I. Davidovic (4 assists), Nemanja Miletić (4 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, they have managed 8 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

Železničar Pančevo Analysis

Železničar Pančevo come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 4 with 51 points from 30 matches. The record of 15 wins, 6 draws, and 9 defeats, together with a 42:30 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through K. Karikari (9 goals), S. Jasper (7 goals), S. Petrov (5 goals), with creative support from A. Kuljanin (6 assists), S. Jasper (3 assists), Stefan Pirgić (3 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Novi Pazar won 5 times, Železničar Pančevo won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:10 from Novi Pazar's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.44 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (81.4%)
Predicted formations: Novi Pazar 5-4-1 / Železničar Pančevo 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Novi Pazar wins 5, draws 2, Železničar Pančevo wins 2

Standings

Superliga , Championship Round
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 37 27 5 5 100:31 69 86
L D L W W
2 37 23 7 7 66:35 31 76
W W W W D
3 37 22 7 8 72:45 27 73
W D D W L
4 37 16 11 10 50:37 13 59
D D D W D
5 37 14 10 13 46:54 -8 52
L D W L D
6 37 12 13 12 49:47 2 49
W L D L D
7 37 11 13 13 44:48 -4 46
L D D L D
8 37 10 15 12 47:50 -3 45
D D L L D
Champions League Qualification
UEFA Europa League Qualification
Conference League Qualification