SERBIA SUPER LIGA
18.04.2026 15:00
Gradski Stadion
Referee: P. Janjus
Novi Pazar
Match Timeline
OFK Beograd
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
5'
Filip Halabrin
OFK Beograd
23'
S. Despotovski · Assist: T. Wouter
OFK Beograd
38'
B. Omoregbe · Assist: D. Camaj
Novi Pazar
🟨
40'
Jovan Manev
Novi Pazar
🔄
46'
S. Togbe ↔ Z. Alilovic
Novi Pazar
🟨
48'
Zoran Alilović
Novi Pazar
51'
D. Y. Silue
OFK Beograd
🟨
52'
Stefan Despotovski
OFK Beograd
🔄
63'
D. Y. Silue ↔ E. Hoard
OFK Beograd
🔄
64'
T. Wouter ↔ E. Prutsev
OFK Beograd
🔄
64'
F. Halabrin ↔ I. Dembele
OFK Beograd
68'
A. Cvetkovic · Assist: E. Prutsev
OFK Beograd
🔄
70'
↔ A. Rusevic
Novi Pazar
🔄
70'
B. Omoregbe ↔ D. Johnson Agwom
Novi Pazar
🔄
83'
A. Cvetkovic ↔ M. Gobeljic
OFK Beograd
85'
E. Prutsev · Assist: M. Gobeljic
OFK Beograd
87'
M. Gobeljic · Assist: I. Dembele
OFK Beograd
🔄
88'
D. Camaj ↔ L. Bijelovic
Novi Pazar
🔄
88'
V. Mirosavic ↔ S. Alic
Novi Pazar
🔄
88'
E. Addo ↔ J. Mrvaljevic
OFK Beograd
🟨
89'
Aleksej Vukičević
OFK Beograd

Novi Pazar vs OFK Beograd Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 57.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 77.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 63.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
57.9%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
77.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
63.9%
-
Probability Distribution
Novi Pazar Win 57.9%
Draw 10%
OFK Beograd Win 32.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Novi Pazar1.27
OFK Beograd1.3
Recent Form (Last 5)
Novi Pazar Novi Pazar
WWDLW
40 GF / 42 GA
OFK Beograd OFK Beograd
WLDWL
39 GF / 39 GA
Key Stats
1.25
Average Goals Scored
1.3
1.31
Average Goals Conceded
1.3
16
BTTS Yes
15
14
Over 2.5
14
4.28
Shots on Goal
3.7

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Novi Pazar Novi Pazar 32 matches
OFK Beograd OFK Beograd 30 matches
Novi Pazar Statistic OFK Beograd
13 Wins 10
8 Draws 10
11 Losses 10
40 Goals For 39
42 Goals Against 39
1.25 Avg Goals Scored 1.3
1.31 Avg Goals Conceded 1.3
16 BTTS Yes 15
24 Over 1.5 20
14 Over 2.5 14
8 Over 3.5 10
11 Clean Sheets 10
7 Failed To Score 10
4.28 Shots On Goal 3.7
11.94 Total Shots 11.13
4.34 Corners 4.17
43.2% Ball Possession 52.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with Novi Pazar's more proactive style and OFK Beograd's more cautious structure likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward OFK Beograd. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Novi Pazar expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and OFK Beograd in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward OFK Beograd having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Novi Pazar Analysis

Novi Pazar arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 5 place with 47 points after 30 matches. Their overall return of 13 wins, 8 draws, and 9 losses with goals at 38:37 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by S. Stanisavljevic (8 goals), D. Camaj (6 goals), Dominic Sadi (4 goals), with creative support from I. Davidovic (4 assists), Dominic Sadi (3 assists), Matija Malekinušić (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, their split return of 8 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses fits a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

OFK Beograd Analysis

From their first 30 matches, OFK Beograd have collected 40 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. Their overall return of 10 wins, 10 draws, and 10 losses with goals at 39:39 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by J. Enem (13 goals), P. Petrovic (6 goals), D. Y. Silue (3 goals), with creative support from Diogo Bezerra (8 assists), E. Prutsev (4 assists), A. Cvetkovic (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 7 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Novi Pazar won 3 times, OFK Beograd won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:13 from Novi Pazar's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 3.29 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90%)
Predicted formations: Novi Pazar 4-2-3-1 / OFK Beograd 3-4-3
H2H summary: Novi Pazar wins 3, draws 2, OFK Beograd wins 2

Standings

Superliga , Championship Round
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 37 27 5 5 100:31 69 86
L D L W W
2 37 23 7 7 66:35 31 76
W W W W D
3 37 22 7 8 72:45 27 73
W D D W L
4 37 16 11 10 50:37 13 59
D D D W D
5 37 14 10 13 46:54 -8 52
L D W L D
6 37 12 13 12 49:47 2 49
W L D L D
7 37 11 13 13 44:48 -4 46
L D D L D
8 37 10 15 12 47:50 -3 45
D D L L D
Champions League Qualification
UEFA Europa League Qualification
Conference League Qualification