ENGLAND LEAGUE TWO
--.--.---- --:--
Meadow Lane
Referee: T. Reeves
Notts County
Match Timeline
Barnet
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
32'
K. Tshimanga · Assist: R. Glover
Barnet
36'
J. Jones
Notts County
🔄
60'
K. Bennetts ↔ Q. Kouhyar
Notts County
🔄
60'
M. Dennis ↔ J. Luker
Notts County
🔄
61'
I. Kanu ↔ K. Smith
Barnet
🔄
61'
N. Ofoborh ↔ P. Chinedu
Barnet
69'
K. Tshimanga · Assist: C. Stead
Barnet
🔄
75'
O. Norburn ↔ T. Hall
Notts County
🔄
80'
A. Hartigan ↔ B. Winterburn
Barnet
🔄
84'
J. Jones ↔ B. Enoru
Notts County
🔄
86'
R. Glover ↔ D. Jaiyesimi
Barnet
🟨
89'
Adam Senior
Barnet
🟨
90'
Tyrese Hall
Notts County

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 54.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 81.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
54.6%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
81.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.3%
-
Probability Distribution
Notts County Win 54.6%
Draw 11.8%
Barnet Win 33.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Notts County1.46
Barnet1.3
Recent Form (Last 5)
Notts County Notts County
WWDLW
73 GF / 51 GA
Barnet Barnet
WLDWL
61 GF / 51 GA
Key Stats
1.66
Average Goals Scored
1.39
1.16
Average Goals Conceded
1.16
25
BTTS Yes
24
26
Over 2.5
20
4.32
Shots on Goal
4.45

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Notts County Notts County 44 matches
Barnet Barnet 44 matches
Notts County Statistic Barnet
23 Wins 18
8 Draws 13
13 Losses 13
73 Goals For 61
51 Goals Against 51
1.66 Avg Goals Scored 1.39
1.16 Avg Goals Conceded 1.16
25 BTTS Yes 24
34 Over 1.5 33
26 Over 2.5 20
14 Over 3.5 13
12 Clean Sheets 15
8 Failed To Score 9
4.32 Shots On Goal 4.45
11.25 Total Shots 13.82
4.93 Corners 6.68
55.5% Ball Possession 55%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Barnet. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Barnet look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Barnet having the stronger overall control. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances.

Notts County Analysis

With 76 points from 43 games and a place of 4, Notts County still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 23 wins, 7 draws, and 13 defeats, and the 71:49 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on M. Dennis (15 goals), A. Jatta (14 goals), J. Jones (7 goals), with creative support from Tom Iorpenda (5 assists), N. Tsaroulla (5 assists), J. Jones (4 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 13 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, a return that supports a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

Barnet Analysis

From their first 43 matches, Barnet have collected 67 points and now occupy 9 place in the table. The record of 18 wins, 13 draws, and 12 defeats, together with a 60:49 goal balance, points toward very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking threat comes through Mark Shelton (8 goals), Adam Senior (7 goals), C. Stead (7 goals), with creative support from Mark Shelton (7 assists), I. Kanu (5 assists), Ryan Glover (4 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, their split return of 9 wins, 7 draws, and 5 losses fits a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Notts County won 9 times, Barnet won 4 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 34:15 from Notts County's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.2%)
Predicted formations: Notts County 3-4-2-1 / Barnet 5-4-1
H2H summary: Notts County wins 9, draws 1, Barnet wins 4
Stats
Notts County Notts County
Barnet Barnet
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
3
Shots off Goal
11
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
1
1 Corner Kicks 7
12 Fouls 16
2 Offsides 1
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Goal 2
3 Shots off Goal 11
2 Blocked Shots 1
4 Shots insidebox 10
5 Shots outsidebox 4
0 Goalkeeper Saves 3
416 Total passes 342
308 Passes accurate 234
1.28 expected_goals 2.25
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Barnet
Formation
Notts County
C. Slicker
C. Slicker
A. Senior
A. Senior
N. Tavares
N. Tavares
R. Crichlow-Noble
R. Crichlow-Noble
I. Kanu
I. Kanu
A. Hartigan
A. Hartigan
M. Shelton
M. Shelton
R. Glover
🎯
R. Glover
N. Ofoborh
N. Ofoborh
C. Stead
🎯
C. Stead
K. Tshimanga
⚽ 2
K. Tshimanga
J. Belshaw
J. Belshaw
L. Ness
L. Ness
R. McDonald
R. McDonald
J. Bedeau
J. Bedeau
K. Bennetts
K. Bennetts
O. Norburn
O. Norburn
M. Palmer
M. Palmer
J. Jones
J. Jones
M. Dennis
M. Dennis
T. Iorpenda
T. Iorpenda
L. Ndlovu
L. Ndlovu
Barnet 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
29
C. Slicker
G
5
A. Senior
🟨 89'
D
25
N. Tavares
D
24
R. Crichlow-Noble
D
11
I. Kanu
↓ 61'
M
18
A. Hartigan
↓ 80'
M
19
M. Shelton
M
15
R. Glover
🎯 32' ↓ 86'
M
28
N. Ofoborh
↓ 61'
F
10
C. Stead
🎯 69'
F
20
K. Tshimanga
⚽ 32' ⚽ 69'
F
Substitutes
13
O. Evans
G
12
O. Hawkins
F
23
K. Smith
↑ 61'
D
30
J. Kizzi
D
16
B. Winterburn
↑ 80'
M
7
D. Jaiyesimi
↑ 86'
M
22
P. Chinedu
↑ 61'
D
Notts County 3-4-3 (estimated)
Starting XI
31
J. Belshaw
G
12
L. Ness
D
3
R. McDonald
D
4
J. Bedeau
D
47
K. Bennetts
↓ 60'
M
8
O. Norburn
↓ 75'
M
18
M. Palmer
M
10
J. Jones
⚽ 36' ↓ 84'
M
19
M. Dennis
↓ 60'
F
14
T. Iorpenda
F
39
L. Ndlovu
F
Substitutes
21
H. Griffiths
G
17
Q. Kouhyar
↑ 60'
M
28
L. Macari
D
22
B. Enoru
↑ 84'
F
16
J. Luker
↑ 60'
M
11
C. Grant
M
26
T. Hall
↑ 75' 🟨 90'
M
Last matches: Notts County
01.08.26
Fri
Notts County
Walsall
0
0
D
18.07.26
Fri
Notts County
Nottingham Forest
0
2
L
14.07.26
Fri
Notts County
Randers FC
1
3
L
11.07.26
Fri
Notts County
Viborg
0
2
L
04.07.26
Fri
Notts County
Alfreton Town
5
0
W
25.05.26
Lea
Notts County
Salford City
3
0
W
15.05.26
Lea
Notts County
Chesterfield
0
0
D
10.05.26
Lea
Notts County
Chesterfield
1
0
W
02.05.26
Lea
Notts County
Bristol Rovers
1
1
D
25.04.26
Lea
Notts County
Colchester
1
0
W
11.04.26
Lea
Notts County
Cambridge United
0
4
L
06.04.26
Lea
Notts County
Newport County
3
1
W
03.04.26
Lea
Notts County
Salford City
1
2
L
28.03.26
Lea
Notts County
Harrogate Town
2
0
W
24.03.26
Lea
Notts County
Oldham
0
3
L
21.03.26
Lea
Notts County
Cheltenham
5
2
W
17.03.26
Lea
Notts County
Accrington ST
4
0
W
14.03.26
Lea
Notts County
Chesterfield
2
3
L
07.03.26
Lea
Notts County
Walsall
2
1
W
28.02.26
Lea
Notts County
Grimsby
0
1
L
Last matches: Barnet
01.08.26
Fri
Barnet
Bromley
1
1
D
28.07.26
Fri
Barnet
Milton Keynes Dons
0
0
D
25.07.26
Fri
Barnet
Oxford United
1
2
L
18.07.26
Fri
Barnet
Luton
2
2
D
14.07.26
Fri
Barnet
Watford
2
2
D
11.07.26
Fri
Barnet
Hemel Hempstead Town
2
1
W
07.07.26
Fri
Barnet
Hitchin Town
1
0
W
02.05.26
Lea
Barnet
Harrogate Town
2
1
W
25.04.26
Lea
Barnet
Gillingham
6
2
W
11.04.26
Lea
Barnet
Barrow
3
2
W
06.04.26
Lea
Barnet
Fleetwood Town
5
2
W
03.04.26
Lea
Barnet
Bromley
2
2
D
28.03.26
Lea
Barnet
Cambridge United
1
0
W
21.03.26
Lea
Barnet
Milton Keynes Dons
3
1
W
17.03.26
Lea
Barnet
Crawley Town
1
1
D
14.03.26
Lea
Barnet
Newport County
1
2
L
07.03.26
Lea
Barnet
Salford City
0
2
L
28.02.26
Lea
Barnet
Chesterfield
1
0
W
24.02.26
Lea
Barnet
Accrington ST
1
0
W
21.02.26
Lea
Barnet
Colchester
1
4
L
H2H: Notts County vs Barnet
18.04.26
H2H
Notts County
Barnet
1
2
L
18.10.25
H2H
Barnet
Notts County
0
1
W
18.03.23
H2H
Barnet
Notts County
1
1
D
14.02.23
H2H
Notts County
Barnet
4
1
W
08.02.22
H2H
Notts County
Barnet
6
1
W
21.08.21
H2H
Barnet
Notts County
0
5
W
08.05.21
H2H
Barnet
Notts County
1
4
W
10.10.20
H2H
Notts County
Barnet
4
2
W
25.07.20
H2H
Notts County
Barnet
2
0
W
04.04.20
H2H
Barnet
Notts County
0
0
D
10.08.19
H2H
Notts County
Barnet
1
2
L
10.02.18
H2H
Barnet
Notts County
1
0
L
14.10.17
H2H
Notts County
Barnet
2
1
W
19.03.17
H2H
Notts County
Barnet
1
0
W
26.11.16
H2H
Barnet
Notts County
3
2
L
Last matches: Notts County
18.07.26
Fri
Notts County
Nottingham Forest
0
2
L
25.05.26
Lea
Notts County
Salford City
3
0
W
15.05.26
Lea
Notts County
Chesterfield
0
0
D
02.05.26
Lea
Notts County
Bristol Rovers
1
1
D
06.04.26
Lea
Notts County
Newport County
3
1
W
21.03.26
Lea
Notts County
Cheltenham
5
2
W
14.03.26
Lea
Notts County
Chesterfield
2
3
L
28.02.26
Lea
Notts County
Grimsby
0
1
L
21.02.26
Lea
Notts County
Tranmere
5
0
W
07.02.26
Lea
Notts County
Barrow
2
1
W
03.02.26
Lea
Notts County
Gillingham
1
0
W
27.01.26
Lea
Notts County
Swindon Town
2
1
W
24.01.26
Lea
Notts County
Crewe
1
0
W
01.01.26
Lea
Notts County
Accrington ST
0
1
L
20.12.25
Lea
Notts County
Walsall
0
0
D
09.12.25
Lea
Notts County
Milton Keynes Dons
3
2
W
22.11.25
Lea
Notts County
Colchester
1
3
L
15.11.25
Lea
Notts County
Harrogate Town
1
1
D
25.10.25
Lea
Notts County
Cambridge United
2
0
W
04.10.25
Lea
Notts County
Oldham
3
1
W
H2H at home: Notts County
18.04.26
H2H
Notts County
Barnet
1
2
L
14.02.23
H2H
Notts County
Barnet
4
1
W
08.02.22
H2H
Notts County
Barnet
6
1
W
10.10.20
H2H
Notts County
Barnet
4
2
W
25.07.20
H2H
Notts County
Barnet
2
0
W
10.08.19
H2H
Notts County
Barnet
1
2
L
14.10.17
H2H
Notts County
Barnet
2
1
W
19.03.17
H2H
Notts County
Barnet
1
0
W
Last matches: Barnet
11.07.26
Fri
Barnet
Hemel Hempstead Town
2
1
W
07.07.26
Fri
Barnet
Hitchin Town
1
0
W
02.05.26
Lea
Barnet
Harrogate Town
2
1
W
06.04.26
Lea
Barnet
Fleetwood Town
5
2
W
21.03.26
Lea
Barnet
Milton Keynes Dons
3
1
W
17.03.26
Lea
Barnet
Crawley Town
1
1
D
07.03.26
Lea
Barnet
Salford City
0
2
L
24.02.26
Lea
Barnet
Accrington ST
1
0
W
21.02.26
Lea
Barnet
Colchester
1
4
L
07.02.26
Lea
Barnet
Walsall
3
1
W
31.01.26
Lea
Barnet
Shrewsbury
0
0
D
17.01.26
Lea
Barnet
Grimsby
0
1
L
29.12.25
Lea
Barnet
Bristol Rovers
2
0
W
26.12.25
Lea
Barnet
Newport County
0
0
D
13.12.25
Lea
Barnet
Chesterfield
1
3
L
22.11.25
Lea
Barnet
Gillingham
1
1
D
15.11.25
Lea
Barnet
Cambridge United
0
0
D
01.11.25
FA
Barnet
Fleetwood Town
1
2
L
25.10.25
Lea
Barnet
Barrow
2
2
D
11.10.25
Lea
Barnet
Tranmere
2
0
W
H2H away: Barnet
18.04.26
H2H
Notts County
Barnet
1
2
W
14.02.23
H2H
Notts County
Barnet
4
1
L
08.02.22
H2H
Notts County
Barnet
6
1
L
10.10.20
H2H
Notts County
Barnet
4
2
L
25.07.20
H2H
Notts County
Barnet
2
0
L
10.08.19
H2H
Notts County
Barnet
1
2
W
14.10.17
H2H
Notts County
Barnet
2
1
L
19.03.17
H2H
Notts County
Barnet
1
0
L

Standings

League Two
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 46 24 15 7 71:46 25 87
W L D L W
2 46 24 14 8 86:45 41 86
D W W W D
3 46 22 16 8 66:33 33 82
D W L D W
4 46 25 6 15 61:51 10 81
L D W D W
5 46 24 8 14 74:52 22 80
W D W D W
6 46 21 16 9 71:56 15 79
D L W W D
7 46 22 12 12 74:50 24 78
D L D W W
8 46 21 13 12 70:53 17 76
W W W W W
9 46 22 9 15 70:59 11 75
L L D L W
10 46 18 14 14 60:44 16 68
W L L L L
11 46 19 10 17 64:58 6 67
D L L L W
12 46 18 12 16 62:49 13 66
W L L W W
13 46 18 11 17 56:56 0 65
L L W L L
14 46 19 5 22 56:65 -9 62
D W W W W
15 46 15 16 15 57:58 -1 61
D D D W L
16 46 14 11 21 47:58 -11 53
L D D L L
17 46 13 14 19 53:72 -19 53
W L L L D
18 46 14 10 22 53:79 -26 52
L L L W W
19 46 13 10 23 42:69 -27 49
L D D W L
20 46 12 7 27 48:77 -29 43
W W L W L
21 46 10 11 25 54:79 -25 41
D L W L D
22 46 8 16 22 44:68 -24 40
D D D L L
23 46 10 9 27 39:68 -29 39
L W W L L
24 46 9 9 28 45:78 -33 36
L L L W L
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation