Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home or Draw |
81.2%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
66.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.1%
|
- |
Nottingham Forest
Burnley
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Nottingham Forest
47 matches
Burnley
34 matches
| Nottingham Forest | Statistic | Burnley |
|---|---|---|
| 15 | Wins | 5 |
| 13 | Draws | 8 |
| 19 | Losses | 21 |
| 58 | Goals For | 39 |
| 59 | Goals Against | 66 |
| 1.23 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.15 |
| 1.26 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.94 |
| 20 | BTTS Yes | 20 |
| 36 | Over 1.5 | 30 |
| 25 | Over 2.5 | 18 |
| 10 | Over 3.5 | 13 |
| 14 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 17 | Failed To Score | 12 |
| 4.79 | Shots On Goal | 3.18 |
| 14.26 | Total Shots | 9.85 |
| 5.57 | Corners | 3.88 |
| 49.3% | Ball Possession | 42.9% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Nottingham Forest appear more affected by absences, and that imbalance in squad availability could shift some of the structural advantage toward Burnley. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Burnley. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Burnley arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.
Nottingham Forest approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 16 with 33 points from 32 matches. Across the season they have posted 8 wins, 9 draws, and 15 defeats, and the 32:44 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on M. Gibbs-White (9 goals), C. Hudson-Odoi (3 goals), Igor Jesus (3 goals), with creative support from C. Hudson-Odoi (4 assists), Igor Jesus (3 assists), Neco Williams (3 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with W. Boly, E. Anderson, John Victor unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
Burnley sit 19 with 20 points after 32 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 4 wins, 8 draws, and 20 defeats with a 33:63 goal balance points toward poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Going forward they depend heavily on Z. Flemming (8 goals), J. Anthony (7 goals), J. Cullen (3 goals), with creative support from Quilindschy Hartman (4 assists), Hannibal Mejbri (3 assists), M. Edwards (3 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 3 draws, and 11 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach. Although they are without Z. Amdouni, J. Beyer, J. Cullen, that absence is especially important because it affects one of their main scoring outlets.
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Nottingham Forest won 3 times, Burnley won 6 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:21 from Nottingham Forest's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.64 goals per game.
Nottingham Forest
4
3
4
0
2
1
Lineups
Nottingham Forest
Bournemouth
Nottingham Forest
Manchester United
Nottingham Forest
Newcastle
Nottingham Forest
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
Chelsea
Nottingham Forest
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
Sunderland
Nottingham Forest
FC Porto
Nottingham Forest
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
FC Porto
Nottingham Forest
Tottenham
Nottingham Forest
FC Midtjylland
Nottingham Forest
Fulham
Nottingham Forest
FC Midtjylland
Nottingham Forest
Manchester City
Nottingham Forest
Brighton
Nottingham Forest
Fenerbahçe
Nottingham Forest
Liverpool
Nottingham Forest
Fenerbahçe
Nottingham Forest
Wolves
Burnley
Real Salt Lake
Burnley
Columbus Crew
Burnley
FC Cincinnati
Burnley
Wolves
Burnley
Arsenal
Burnley
Aston Villa
Burnley
Leeds
Burnley
Manchester City
Burnley
Brighton
Burnley
Fulham
Burnley
Bournemouth
Burnley
Everton
Burnley
Brentford
Burnley
Chelsea
Burnley
Mansfield Town
Burnley
Crystal Palace
Burnley
West Ham
Burnley
Sunderland
Burnley
Tottenham
Burnley
Liverpool
Nottingham Forest
Bournemouth
Nottingham Forest
Newcastle
Nottingham Forest
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
FC Porto
Nottingham Forest
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
Fulham
Nottingham Forest
FC Midtjylland
Nottingham Forest
Fenerbahçe
Nottingham Forest
Liverpool
Nottingham Forest
Wolves
Nottingham Forest
Crystal Palace
Nottingham Forest
Ferencvarosi TC
Nottingham Forest
Arsenal
Nottingham Forest
Everton
Nottingham Forest
Manchester City
Nottingham Forest
Tottenham
Nottingham Forest
Brighton
Nottingham Forest
Malmo FF
Nottingham Forest
Leeds
Nottingham Forest
Manchester United
Burnley
Real Salt Lake
Burnley
Columbus Crew
Burnley
FC Cincinnati
Burnley
Arsenal
Burnley
Leeds
Burnley
Fulham
Burnley
Everton
Burnley
Chelsea
Burnley
Crystal Palace
Burnley
Sunderland
Burnley
Liverpool
Burnley
Brighton
Burnley
Bournemouth
Burnley
Newcastle
Burnley
Brentford
Burnley
West Ham
Burnley
Wolves
Burnley
Aston Villa
Burnley
Manchester City
Burnley
Manchester United
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 71:27 | 44 | 85 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 77:35 | 42 | 78 |
L
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 69:50 | 19 | 71 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 56:49 | 7 | 65 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 5 | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 63:53 | 10 | 60 |
D
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 58:54 | 4 | 57 |
D
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 42:48 | -6 | 54 |
W
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 52:46 | 6 | 53 |
L
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 55:52 | 3 | 53 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 58:52 | 6 | 52 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 47:51 | -4 | 52 |
W
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 53:55 | -2 | 49 |
L
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47:50 | -3 | 49 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 49:56 | -7 | 47 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 15 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:51 | -10 | 45 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 16 |
Nottingham Forest
Home
|
38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 48:51 | -3 | 44 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
| 17 | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48:57 | -9 | 41 |
W
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 18 | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 46:65 | -19 | 39 |
W
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 19 |
Burnley
Away
|
38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 38:75 | -37 | 22 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
| 20 | 38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 27:68 | -41 | 20 |
D
D
L
D
L
|