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ENGLAND › CHAMPIONSHIP
--.--.---- --:--
Norwich
FT
1 - 1
Swansea
Carrow Road
Referee: T. Parsons
Norwich
Match Timeline
Swansea
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
25'
Marko Stamenić
Swansea
🟨
43'
Ji-sung Eom
Swansea
⚽
53'
Z. Vipotnik
Swansea
🟨
59'
Pelle Mattsson
Norwich
🔄
60'
Z. Vipotnik ↔ A. Idah
Swansea
🔄
60'
J. Ward ↔ J. Key
Swansea
🔄
62'
A. Slimane ↔ A. Ahmed
Norwich
🟨
64'
Kellen Fisher
Norwich
🟨
67'
Josh Tymon
Swansea
🔄
68'
G. Franco ↔ L. Cullen
Swansea
🟨
69'
Ali Ahmed
Norwich
🔄
74'
M. Yalcouye ↔ M. Widell
Swansea
🔄
74'
J. Eom ↔ L. Walta
Swansea
🔄
77'
P. Maghoma ↔ J. Wright
Norwich
🟨
78'
Melker Widell
Swansea
🔄
78'
M. Toure ↔ M. Kvistgaarden
Norwich
🟨
81'
Lawrence Vigouroux
Swansea
⚽
83'
K. McLean
Norwich
🔄
90'
L. Gibbs ↔ A. Forson
Norwich

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 88.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 86.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
88.6%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
86.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.5%
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Norwich Win 43.9%
Draw 11.4%
Swansea Win 44.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Norwich1.4
Swansea1.21
Recent Form (Last 5)
Norwich Norwich
WWDLW
69 GF / 58 GA
Swansea Swansea
WLDWL
54 GF / 58 GA
Key Stats
1.47
Average Goals Scored
1.2
1.23
Average Goals Conceded
1.29
28
BTTS Yes
24
24
Over 2.5
22
4.64
Shots on Goal
3.91

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Norwich Norwich 47 matches
Swansea Swansea 45 matches
Norwich Statistic Swansea
21 Wins 17
7 Draws 10
19 Losses 18
69 Goals For 54
58 Goals Against 58
1.47 Avg Goals Scored 1.2
1.23 Avg Goals Conceded 1.29
28 BTTS Yes 24
39 Over 1.5 34
24 Over 2.5 22
9 Over 3.5 8
9 Clean Sheets 12
10 Failed To Score 10
4.64 Shots On Goal 3.91
12.81 Total Shots 12.47
5.45 Corners 4.67
53.9% Ball Possession 54.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Norwich won 6 times, Swansea won 7 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:19 from Norwich's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.47 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.6%)
Predicted formations: Norwich 4-2-3-1 / Swansea 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Norwich 10, Swansea 4
H2H summary: Norwich wins 6, draws 2, Swansea wins 7
Stats
Norwich Norwich
Swansea Swansea
Shots on Goal
8
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
5
Shots off Goal
3
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
3
5 Corner Kicks 2
13 Fouls 9
0 Offsides 2
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Goal 2
5 Shots off Goal 3
3 Blocked Shots 3
11 Shots insidebox 5
5 Shots outsidebox 3
1 Goalkeeper Saves 8
432 Total passes 424
335 Passes accurate 324
1.71 expected_goals 1.20
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 5 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Norwich
Formation
Swansea
V. Kovacevic
V. Kovacevic
J. Stacey
J. Stacey
H. Darling
H. Darling
J. Cordoba
J. Cordoba
K. Fisher
K. Fisher
P. Mattsson
P. Mattsson
K. McLean
⚽
K. McLean
P. Maghoma
↓
P. Maghoma
A. Slimane
↓
A. Slimane
L. Gibbs
↓
L. Gibbs
M. Toure
↓
M. Toure
L. Vigouroux
L. Vigouroux
J. Ward
↓
J. Ward
B. Cabango
B. Cabango
C. Burgess
C. Burgess
J. Tymon
J. Tymon
M. Yalcouye
↓
M. Yalcouye
M. Stamenic
M. Stamenic
Ronald
Ronald
G. Franco
↓
G. Franco
J. Eom
↓
J. Eom
Z. Vipotnik
⚽ ↓
Z. Vipotnik
Norwich 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
V. Kovacevic
G
3
J. Stacey
D
6
H. Darling
D
33
J. Cordoba
D
35
K. Fisher
🟨 64'
D
7
P. Mattsson
🟨 59'
M
23
K. McLean
⚽ 83'
M
25
P. Maghoma
↓ 77'
M
20
A. Slimane
↓ 62'
M
8
L. Gibbs
↓ 90'
M
37
M. Toure
↓ 78'
F
Substitutes
32
D. Grimshaw
G
27
J. Schlupp
M
18
A. Forson
↑ 90'
M
30
M. Kvistgaarden
↑ 78'
F
16
J. Wright
↑ 77'
M
26
S. Field
M
15
R. McConville
D
21
A. Ahmed
↑ 62' 🟨 69'
D
46
E. Mundle Smith
F
Swansea 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
22
L. Vigouroux
🟨 81'
G
25
J. Ward
↓ 60'
D
5
B. Cabango
D
15
C. Burgess
D
14
J. Tymon
🟨 67'
D
8
M. Yalcouye
↓ 74'
M
6
M. Stamenic
🟨 25'
M
35
Ronald
M
17
G. Franco
↓ 68'
M
10
J. Eom
↓ 74' 🟨 43'
M
9
Z. Vipotnik
⚽ 53' ↓ 60'
F
Substitutes
1
A. Fisher
G
33
A. Idah
↑ 60'
F
7
M. Widell
↑ 74' 🟨 78'
M
4
J. Fulton
M
20
L. Cullen
↑ 68'
F
23
R. Santos
D
2
J. Key
↑ 60'
D
31
O. Cooper
M
21
L. Walta
↑ 74'
M
Last matches: Norwich
02.05.26
Cha
Norwich
Hull City
1
2
L
21.04.26
Cha
Norwich
Derby
2
1
W
18.04.26
Cha
Norwich
Bristol City
4
2
W
11.04.26
Cha
Norwich
Ipswich
0
2
L
06.04.26
Cha
Norwich
Millwall
2
1
W
03.04.26
Cha
Norwich
Portsmouth
1
1
D
21.03.26
Cha
Norwich
Charlton
1
0
W
18.03.26
Cha
Norwich
Southampton
0
1
L
14.03.26
Cha
Norwich
Preston
2
0
W
11.03.26
Cha
Norwich
Sheffield Utd
2
1
W
08.03.26
FA
Norwich
Leeds
0
3
L
28.02.26
Cha
Norwich
Leicester
2
0
W
25.02.26
Cha
Norwich
Sheffield Wednesday
2
0
W
21.02.26
Cha
Norwich
Birmingham
1
2
L
14.02.26
FA
Norwich
West Brom
3
1
W
10.02.26
Cha
Norwich
Oxford United
3
0
W
07.02.26
Cha
Norwich
Blackburn
2
0
W
31.01.26
Cha
Norwich
Middlesbrough
0
1
L
26.01.26
Cha
Norwich
Coventry
2
1
W
20.01.26
Cha
Norwich
West Brom
5
0
W
Last matches: Swansea
02.05.26
Cha
Swansea
Charlton
3
1
W
21.04.26
Cha
Swansea
QPR
2
1
W
18.04.26
Cha
Swansea
Southampton
1
2
L
11.04.26
Cha
Swansea
Leicester
1
0
W
06.04.26
Cha
Swansea
Middlesbrough
2
2
D
03.04.26
Cha
Swansea
Sheffield Utd
3
3
D
21.03.26
Cha
Swansea
Coventry
0
3
L
13.03.26
Cha
Swansea
Wrexham
0
2
L
10.03.26
Cha
Swansea
Portsmouth
2
1
W
07.03.26
Cha
Swansea
Stoke City
2
0
W
28.02.26
Cha
Swansea
Ipswich
0
3
L
24.02.26
Cha
Swansea
Preston
1
1
D
21.02.26
Cha
Swansea
Bristol City
1
0
W
14.02.26
Cha
Swansea
Derby
0
2
L
08.02.26
Cha
Swansea
Sheffield Wednesday
4
0
W
31.01.26
Cha
Swansea
Watford
2
0
W
24.01.26
Cha
Swansea
Hull City
1
2
L
20.01.26
Cha
Swansea
Blackburn
3
1
W
17.01.26
Cha
Swansea
Birmingham
1
1
D
11.01.26
FA
Swansea
West Brom
1
1
D
H2H: Norwich vs Swansea
25.04.26
H2H
Norwich
Swansea
1
1
D
25.10.25
H2H
Swansea
Norwich
2
1
L
25.01.25
H2H
Norwich
Swansea
5
1
W
14.09.24
H2H
Swansea
Norwich
1
0
L
27.04.24
H2H
Norwich
Swansea
2
2
D
04.10.23
H2H
Swansea
Norwich
2
1
L
22.04.23
H2H
Norwich
Swansea
0
3
L
10.12.22
H2H
Swansea
Norwich
0
1
W
05.02.21
H2H
Swansea
Norwich
2
0
L
07.11.20
H2H
Norwich
Swansea
1
0
W
08.03.19
H2H
Norwich
Swansea
1
0
W
24.11.18
H2H
Swansea
Norwich
1
4
W
05.03.16
H2H
Swansea
Norwich
1
0
L
07.11.15
H2H
Norwich
Swansea
1
0
W
29.03.14
H2H
Swansea
Norwich
3
0
L
Last matches: Norwich
21.04.26
Cha
Norwich
Derby
2
1
W
11.04.26
Cha
Norwich
Ipswich
0
2
L
03.04.26
Cha
Norwich
Portsmouth
1
1
D
14.03.26
Cha
Norwich
Preston
2
0
W
11.03.26
Cha
Norwich
Sheffield Utd
2
1
W
25.02.26
Cha
Norwich
Sheffield Wednesday
2
0
W
21.02.26
Cha
Norwich
Birmingham
1
2
L
14.02.26
FA
Norwich
West Brom
3
1
W
07.02.26
Cha
Norwich
Blackburn
2
0
W
26.01.26
Cha
Norwich
Coventry
2
1
W
11.01.26
FA
Norwich
Walsall
5
1
W
04.01.26
Cha
Norwich
Stoke City
0
2
L
29.12.25
Cha
Norwich
Watford
0
1
L
26.12.25
Cha
Norwich
Charlton
1
0
W
13.12.25
Cha
Norwich
Southampton
2
1
W
29.11.25
Cha
Norwich
QPR
3
1
W
25.11.25
Cha
Norwich
Oxford United
1
1
D
08.11.25
Cha
Norwich
Leicester
1
2
L
01.11.25
Cha
Norwich
Hull City
0
2
L
18.10.25
Cha
Norwich
Bristol City
0
1
L
H2H at home: Norwich
25.04.26
H2H
Norwich
Swansea
1
1
D
25.01.25
H2H
Norwich
Swansea
5
1
W
27.04.24
H2H
Norwich
Swansea
2
2
D
22.04.23
H2H
Norwich
Swansea
0
3
L
07.11.20
H2H
Norwich
Swansea
1
0
W
08.03.19
H2H
Norwich
Swansea
1
0
W
07.11.15
H2H
Norwich
Swansea
1
0
W
Last matches: Swansea
21.04.26
Cha
Swansea
QPR
2
1
W
11.04.26
Cha
Swansea
Leicester
1
0
W
03.04.26
Cha
Swansea
Sheffield Utd
3
3
D
13.03.26
Cha
Swansea
Wrexham
0
2
L
10.03.26
Cha
Swansea
Portsmouth
2
1
W
28.02.26
Cha
Swansea
Ipswich
0
3
L
14.02.26
Cha
Swansea
Derby
0
2
L
31.01.26
Cha
Swansea
Watford
2
0
W
24.01.26
Cha
Swansea
Hull City
1
2
L
04.01.26
Cha
Swansea
Millwall
1
2
L
29.12.25
Cha
Swansea
Oxford United
1
0
W
26.12.25
Cha
Swansea
Coventry
0
1
L
13.12.25
Cha
Swansea
Stoke City
1
2
L
29.11.25
Cha
Swansea
West Brom
2
3
L
22.11.25
Cha
Swansea
Bristol City
0
3
L
05.11.25
Cha
Swansea
Preston
1
2
L
01.11.25
Cha
Swansea
Charlton
1
1
D
18.10.25
Cha
Swansea
Southampton
0
0
D
30.09.25
Cha
Swansea
Blackburn
2
1
W
20.09.25
Cha
Swansea
Birmingham
0
1
L
H2H away: Swansea
25.04.26
H2H
Norwich
Swansea
1
1
D
25.01.25
H2H
Norwich
Swansea
5
1
L
27.04.24
H2H
Norwich
Swansea
2
2
D
22.04.23
H2H
Norwich
Swansea
0
3
W
07.11.20
H2H
Norwich
Swansea
1
0
L
08.03.19
H2H
Norwich
Swansea
1
0
L
07.11.15
H2H
Norwich
Swansea
1
0
L

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Coventry
46 28 11 7 97:45 52 95
W W W D D
2
Ipswich
46 23 15 8 80:47 33 84
W D D W D
3
Millwall
46 24 11 11 64:49 15 83
L D W D W
4
Southampton
46 22 14 10 82:56 26 80
W D W D D
5
Middlesbrough
46 22 14 10 72:47 25 80
L L D D W
6
Hull City
46 21 10 15 70:66 4 73
W W D W L
7
Wrexham
46 19 14 13 69:65 4 71
D L W W L
8
Derby
46 20 9 17 67:59 8 69
L W L W L
9
Norwich Home
46 19 8 19 63:56 7 65
L D W W L
10
Birmingham
46 17 13 16 57:56 1 64
D W W D W
11
Swansea Away
46 18 10 18 57:59 -2 64
W D W L W
12
Bristol City
46 17 11 18 59:59 0 62
W L D L D
13
Sheffield Utd
46 18 6 22 66:66 0 60
W L L W W
14
Preston
46 15 15 16 55:62 -7 60
L W L L W
15
QPR
46 16 10 20 61:73 -12 58
L L L L D
16
Watford
46 14 15 17 53:65 -12 57
L L L L L
17
Stoke City
46 15 10 21 51:56 -5 55
L L L L D
18
Portsmouth
46 14 13 19 49:64 -15 55
D W L W W
19
Charlton
46 13 14 19 44:58 -14 53
L W L D L
20
Blackburn
46 13 13 20 42:56 -14 52
L W D L D
21
West Brom
46 13 14 19 48:58 -10 51
L D W W D
22
Oxford United
46 11 14 21 45:59 -14 47
L W L L W
23
Leicester
46 12 16 18 58:68 -10 46
W D D L L
24
Sheffield Wednesday
46 2 12 32 29:89 -60 0
W L L D D
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation

Missing Players

Norwich 10 missing
-
H. Amass
Missing Fixture Hamstring Injury
OUT
-
A. Crnac
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
P. A. Diallo
Missing Fixture Muscle Injury
OUT
-
S. Duffy
Questionable Hamstring Injury
OUT
-
G. Forsyth
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
M. Jurasek
Missing Fixture Foot Injury
OUT
-
L. Mahovo
Missing Fixture Hamstring Injury
OUT
-
J. Makama
Missing Fixture Foot Injury
OUT
-
M. Topic
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
B. Chrisene
Missing Fixture Inactive
OUT
Swansea 4 missing
-
Z. Inoussa
Questionable Back Injury
OUT
-
J. Key
Missing Fixture Inactive
OUT
-
E. Galbraith
Missing Fixture Inactive
OUT
-
I. Samuels-Smith
Missing Fixture Inactive
OUT