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14.11.2026 19:45
Windsor Park

Northern Ireland vs Ukraine Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Draw
Probability 34.4%
Odds 3.00
BTTS
No
Probability 50.8%
Odds 1.67
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.7%
Odds 1.50
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Draw
34.4%
3.00 ▥
BTTS No
50.8%
1.67 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.7%
1.50 ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
77.7%
1.11 ▥
HT / FT Draw / Draw
-
4.33 ▥
Correct Score 0-0
-
6.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
Northern Ireland Win 32.7%
Draw 34.4%
Ukraine Win 33%
Expected Goals (xG)
Northern Ireland1
Ukraine0.74
Recent Form (Last 5)
Northern Ireland Northern Ireland
D W D W L
5 GF / 3 GA
Ukraine Ukraine
L L D W L
3 GF / 7 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
0.86
0.57
Average Goals Conceded
1
2
BTTS Yes
2
2
Over 2.5
3
3.71
Shots on Goal
1.57

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland 7 matches
Ukraine Ukraine 7 matches
Northern Ireland Statistic Ukraine
3 Wins 3
3 Draws 1
1 Losses 3
7 Goals For 6
4 Goals Against 7
1 Avg Goals Scored 0.86
0.57 Avg Goals Conceded 1
2 BTTS Yes 2
3 Over 1.5 4
2 Over 2.5 3
1 Over 3.5 0
5 Clean Sheets 4
2 Failed To Score 2
3.71 Shots On Goal 1.57
10 Total Shots 6.86
2.43 Corners 2.29
34.3% Ball Possession 37.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Northern Ireland won 1 times, Ukraine won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:1 from Northern Ireland's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 1.5 goals per game.

1X2: Draw
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (67.4%)
Predicted formations: Northern Ireland 5-4-1 / Ukraine 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Northern Ireland wins 1, draws 0, Ukraine wins 1

Standings

League B - Group B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 4 2 2 0 4:0 4 8
D W D W
2 4 2 1 1 3:2 1 7
W W D L
3 4 1 1 2 2:5 -3 4
L L D W
4 4 0 2 2 0:2 -2 2
D L D L
Promotion
Promotion Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs