AUSTRALIA VICTORIA NPL 2
--.--.---- --:--
John Cain Memorial Park
Northcote City
Match Timeline
Eltham Redbacks FC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
15'
A. Taylor
Northcote City

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 58.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
58.7%
-
BTTS Yes
82.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Northcote City Win 58.7%
Draw 10.4%
Eltham Redbacks FC Win 30.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Northcote City1.78
Eltham Redbacks FC1.77
Recent Form (Last 5)
Northcote City Northcote City
WWDLW
40 GF / 24 GA
Eltham Redbacks FC Eltham Redbacks FC
WLDWL
49 GF / 38 GA
Key Stats
1.82
Average Goals Scored
2.23
1.09
Average Goals Conceded
1.73
13
BTTS Yes
17
13
Over 2.5
17
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Northcote City Northcote City 22 matches
Eltham Redbacks FC Eltham Redbacks FC 22 matches
Northcote City Statistic Eltham Redbacks FC
13 Wins 9
4 Draws 5
5 Losses 8
40 Goals For 49
24 Goals Against 38
1.82 Avg Goals Scored 2.23
1.09 Avg Goals Conceded 1.73
13 BTTS Yes 17
17 Over 1.5 22
13 Over 2.5 17
7 Over 3.5 12
6 Clean Sheets 3
4 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Eltham Redbacks FC. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Eltham Redbacks FC having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Northcote City Analysis

Placed 3 with 43 points from 22 outings, Northcote City continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 13 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 40:24 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 6 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Eltham Redbacks FC Analysis

Eltham Redbacks FC sit 6 with 32 points after 22 league matches. Their overall return of 9 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses with goals at 49:38 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 6 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Northcote City won 1 times, Eltham Redbacks FC won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:1 from Northcote City's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89.6%)
H2H summary: Northcote City wins 1, draws 1, Eltham Redbacks FC wins 0
Last matches: Northcote City
25.07.26
Vic
Northcote City
Port Melbourne
3
1
W
17.07.26
Vic
Northcote City
Manningham United Blues
3
3
D
10.07.26
Vic
Northcote City
Melbourne Knights
0
1
L
03.07.26
Vic
Northcote City
Melbourne Srbija
2
3
L
20.06.26
Vic
Northcote City
North Sunshine Eagles
2
0
W
13.06.26
Vic
Northcote City
North Geelong Warriors
1
2
L
05.06.26
Vic
Northcote City
Langwarrin
3
1
W
31.05.26
Vic
Northcote City
Western United II
2
1
W
22.05.26
Vic
Northcote City
Brunswick City
1
0
W
15.05.26
Vic
Northcote City
Bulleen Lions
1
1
D
08.05.26
Vic
Northcote City
Brunswick Juventus FC
0
1
L
01.05.26
Vic
Northcote City
Melbourne Victory II
1
0
W
24.04.26
Vic
Northcote City
Eltham Redbacks FC
1
1
D
17.04.26
Vic
Northcote City
Port Melbourne
0
0
D
11.04.26
Vic
Northcote City
Manningham United Blues
2
0
W
27.03.26
Vic
Northcote City
Melbourne Knights
0
3
L
21.03.26
Vic
Northcote City
Melbourne Srbija
2
1
W
14.03.26
Vic
Northcote City
North Sunshine Eagles
2
1
W
06.03.26
Vic
Northcote City
North Geelong Warriors
3
0
W
27.02.26
Vic
Northcote City
Langwarrin
3
1
W
Last matches: Eltham Redbacks FC
14.08.26
Vic
Eltham Redbacks FC
Manningham United Blues
5
0
W
24.07.26
Vic
Eltham Redbacks FC
Melbourne Srbija
0
2
L
18.07.26
Vic
Eltham Redbacks FC
North Sunshine Eagles
1
1
D
11.07.26
Vic
Eltham Redbacks FC
North Geelong Warriors
3
1
W
04.07.26
Vic
Eltham Redbacks FC
Langwarrin
6
1
W
19.06.26
Vic
Eltham Redbacks FC
Western United II
3
4
L
12.06.26
Vic
Eltham Redbacks FC
Brunswick City
1
3
L
05.06.26
Vic
Eltham Redbacks FC
Bulleen Lions
2
2
D
30.05.26
Vic
Eltham Redbacks FC
Brunswick Juventus FC
1
2
L
22.05.26
Vic
Eltham Redbacks FC
Melbourne Victory II
3
3
D
15.05.26
Vic
Eltham Redbacks FC
Melbourne Knights
0
4
L
08.05.26
Vic
Eltham Redbacks FC
Port Melbourne
8
0
W
02.05.26
Vic
Eltham Redbacks FC
Manningham United Blues
1
2
L
24.04.26
Vic
Eltham Redbacks FC
Northcote City
1
1
D
18.04.26
Vic
Eltham Redbacks FC
Melbourne Srbija
2
1
W
11.04.26
Vic
Eltham Redbacks FC
North Sunshine Eagles
3
2
W
28.03.26
Vic
Eltham Redbacks FC
North Geelong Warriors
2
3
L
20.03.26
Vic
Eltham Redbacks FC
Langwarrin
2
1
W
15.03.26
Vic
Eltham Redbacks FC
Western United II
2
0
W
06.03.26
Vic
Eltham Redbacks FC
Brunswick City
2
2
D
H2H: Northcote City vs Eltham Redbacks FC
31.07.26
H2H
Northcote City
Eltham Redbacks FC
1
0
W
24.04.26
H2H
Eltham Redbacks FC
Northcote City
1
1
D
Last matches: Northcote City
17.07.26
Vic
Northcote City
Manningham United Blues
3
3
D
10.07.26
Vic
Northcote City
Melbourne Knights
0
1
L
03.07.26
Vic
Northcote City
Melbourne Srbija
2
3
L
05.06.26
Vic
Northcote City
Langwarrin
3
1
W
22.05.26
Vic
Northcote City
Brunswick City
1
0
W
15.05.26
Vic
Northcote City
Bulleen Lions
1
1
D
01.05.26
Vic
Northcote City
Melbourne Victory II
1
0
W
17.04.26
Vic
Northcote City
Port Melbourne
0
0
D
14.03.26
Vic
Northcote City
North Sunshine Eagles
2
1
W
06.03.26
Vic
Northcote City
North Geelong Warriors
3
0
W
20.02.26
Vic
Northcote City
Western United II
4
1
W
18.08.25
Vic
Northcote City
Manningham United Blues
1
2
L
25.07.25
Vic
Northcote City
Kingston City
7
1
W
04.07.25
Vic
Northcote City
Sunshine Georgies
1
2
L
20.06.25
Vic
Northcote City
Western United II
1
2
L
13.06.25
Vic
Northcote City
Melbourne Srbija
0
1
L
06.06.25
Vic
Northcote City
Eastern Lions
2
1
W
24.05.25
Vic
Northcote City
Moreland City
3
1
W
09.05.25
Vic
Northcote City
Bentleigh Greens
1
2
L
25.04.25
Vic
Northcote City
Brunswick City
4
1
W
H2H at home: Northcote City
31.07.26
H2H
Northcote City
Eltham Redbacks FC
1
0
W
Last matches: Eltham Redbacks FC
18.07.26
Vic
Eltham Redbacks FC
North Sunshine Eagles
1
1
D
04.07.26
Vic
Eltham Redbacks FC
Langwarrin
6
1
W
12.06.26
Vic
Eltham Redbacks FC
Brunswick City
1
3
L
30.05.26
Vic
Eltham Redbacks FC
Brunswick Juventus FC
1
2
L
15.05.26
Vic
Eltham Redbacks FC
Melbourne Knights
0
4
L
02.05.26
Vic
Eltham Redbacks FC
Manningham United Blues
1
2
L
18.04.26
Vic
Eltham Redbacks FC
Melbourne Srbija
2
1
W
28.03.26
Vic
Eltham Redbacks FC
North Geelong Warriors
2
3
L
15.03.26
Vic
Eltham Redbacks FC
Western United II
2
0
W
02.03.26
Vic
Eltham Redbacks FC
Bulleen Lions
3
1
W
16.02.26
Vic
Eltham Redbacks FC
Melbourne Victory II
1
2
L
H2H away: Eltham Redbacks FC
31.07.26
H2H
Northcote City
Eltham Redbacks FC
1
0
L