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21.11.2026 03:00
Estadio Olímpico Benito Juárez

FC Juarez vs Atlas Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 67.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
67.5%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
75%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
FC Juarez Win 32.5%
Draw 24.3%
Atlas Win 43.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
FC Juarez1.41
Atlas1.61
Recent Form (Last 5)
FC Juarez FC Juarez
W W D L L
5 GF / 8 GA
Atlas Atlas
L W W L W
10 GF / 12 GA
Key Stats
1.19
Average Goals Scored
1.41
1.9
Average Goals Conceded
1.73
12
BTTS Yes
13
11
Over 2.5
10
2.88
Shots on Goal
4.19

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FC Juarez FC Juarez 21 matches
Atlas Atlas 22 matches
FC Juarez Statistic Atlas
6 Wins 8
4 Draws 5
11 Losses 9
25 Goals For 31
40 Goals Against 38
1.19 Avg Goals Scored 1.41
1.9 Avg Goals Conceded 1.73
12 BTTS Yes 13
17 Over 1.5 16
11 Over 2.5 10
8 Over 3.5 8
3 Clean Sheets 6
6 Failed To Score 5
2.88 Shots On Goal 4.19
10.81 Total Shots 13.06
4.06 Corners 5.88
46.3% Ball Possession 52.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Atlas. Atlas carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 5 with 27 points while FC Juarez sit 18 on 11, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with FC Juarez expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Atlas in 4-2-2-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Atlas having the stronger overall control.

FC Juarez Analysis

With 11 points from 16 games and a place of 18, FC Juarez still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 11 losses, together with goals at 13:34, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Ó. Estupiñán (6 goals), J. Rodríguez (2 goals), Madson (1 goals), with creative support from D. Piña (2 assists), J. Rodríguez (1 assists), D. García (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, the split record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Atlas Analysis

Atlas approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 5 on 27 points after 16 outings. They have recorded 8 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, with a 27:30 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on F. Monzón (4 goals), Luís Esteves (3 goals), K. Zenón (2 goals), with creative support from Luís Esteves (3 assists), K. Zenón (3 assists), F. Monzón (1 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 6 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, FC Juarez won 2 times, Atlas won 8 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:20 from FC Juarez's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.46 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (75.7%)
Predicted formations: FC Juarez 4-2-3-1 / Atlas 4-2-2-2
H2H summary: FC Juarez wins 2, draws 3, Atlas wins 8

Standings

Liga MX: Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 10 2 4 37:26 11 32
W W W W W
2 16 8 6 2 38:23 15 30
D D D L W
3 16 8 6 2 26:15 11 30
D W W W D
4 16 7 6 3 35:21 14 27
W D D D D
5
Atlas Away
16 8 3 5 27:30 -3 27
L W W L W
6 16 8 1 7 23:20 3 25
W W L W W
7 16 7 3 6 27:25 2 24
W L D L W
8 16 6 5 5 23:21 2 23
D L D W L
9 16 6 4 6 29:20 9 22
W W W L L
10 16 5 7 4 25:22 3 22
L D D W D
11 16 5 6 5 24:26 -2 21
D W D L W
12 16 6 2 8 18:24 -6 20
L L L L L
13 16 5 4 7 19:23 -4 19
W L L L D
14 16 5 4 7 19:24 -5 19
L L W W D
15 16 3 6 7 17:25 -8 15
L L D L D
16 16 3 5 8 16:26 -10 14
L L L W L
17 16 3 4 9 17:28 -11 13
W L D L L
18 16 3 2 11 13:34 -21 11
W W D L L
Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs: Quarter-finals)