ENGLAND › LEAGUE TWO

15.08.2026 14:00

Northampton

0 - 0

Swindon Town

Sixfields Stadium

Referee: S. Oldham

Northampton

Match Timeline

Swindon Town

0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'

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Northampton vs Swindon Town Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2

Away Win

Probability 53.9%

Odds -

BTTS

Yes

Probability 78.8%

Odds -

Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

Probability 77.2%

Odds -

All Markets

Market	Option	Probability	Odds	Stats & Analysis
1X2	Away Win	53.9%	-	▥
BTTS	Yes	78.8%	-	▥
Over / Under 2.5	Over 2.5	77.2%	-	▥
Corners O/U	Over 7.5 Corners	87.7%	-	▥
HT / FT	Draw / Away	-	-	▥
Correct Score	1-2	-	-	▥

Probability Distribution

Northampton Win 32.2%

Draw 13.9%

Swindon Town Win 53.9%

Expected Goals (xG)

Northampton1.57

Swindon Town1.68

Recent Form (Last 5)

Northampton

WWDLW

7 GF / 6 GA

Swindon Town

WLDWL

12 GF / 11 GA

Key Stats

1.4

Average Goals Scored

1.2

Average Goals Conceded

1.83

BTTS Yes

Over 2.5

Shots on Goal

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Northampton 5 matches

Swindon Town 6 matches

Northampton	Statistic	Swindon Town
2	Wins	3
2	Draws	0
1	Losses	3
7	Goals For	12
6	Goals Against	11
1.4	Avg Goals Scored	2
1.2	Avg Goals Conceded	1.83
2	BTTS Yes	4
3	Over 1.5	5
3	Over 2.5	5
2	Over 3.5	4
2	Clean Sheets	1
3	Failed To Score	1
0	Shots On Goal	0
0	Total Shots	0
0	Corners	0
0%	Ball Possession	0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Northampton won 5 times, Swindon Town won 6 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:20 from Northampton's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 2.53 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win

BTTS: Yes

Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5

Highest model probability: 12 (86.1%)

Predicted formations: Northampton 4-4-2 / Swindon Town 4-1-4-1

H2H summary: Northampton wins 5, draws 4, Swindon Town wins 6

Standings

League Two

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	Bristol Rovers	5	4	0	1	12:6	6	12	W W W W L
2	Swindon Town Away	5	3	1	1	8:6	2	10	W W L W D
3	Barnet	5	2	3	0	12:8	4	9	D D D W W
4	Tranmere	5	2	3	0	9:5	4	9	W D D D W
5	Walsall	5	2	3	0	8:4	4	9	D D W D W
6	Fleetwood Town	5	2	3	0	6:3	3	9	W D D D W
7	Crewe	5	2	3	0	5:3	2	9	D D D W W
8	Cheltenham	5	2	2	1	10:9	1	8	D W D L W
9	York	5	2	2	1	9:8	1	8	D L W D W
10	Oldham	5	2	1	2	7:5	2	7	L D W L W
11	Grimsby	5	1	4	0	7:6	1	7	D D D D W
12	Colchester	5	2	1	2	6:8	-2	7	L L W W D
13	Gillingham	5	1	3	1	6:6	0	6	W D D D L
14	Northampton Home	5	1	3	1	3:3	0	6	W D D L D
15	Salford City	5	2	0	3	4:6	-2	6	W W L L L
16	Exeter City	5	1	2	2	4:4	0	5	D D L W L
17	Chesterfield	5	1	2	2	6:7	-1	5	D D L W L
18	Rotherham	5	1	2	2	6:7	-1	5	L D W D L
19	Accrington ST	5	1	2	2	9:11	-2	5	W D L L D
20	Newport County	5	1	1	3	9:10	-1	4	L L D L W
21	Crawley Town	5	1	1	3	5:8	-3	4	L D L W L
22	Rochdale	5	1	0	4	5:10	-5	3	L W L L L
23	Shrewsbury	5	1	0	4	2:10	-8	3	L L W L L
24	Port Vale	5	0	2	3	2:7	-5	2	L L D D L

Promotion - League One

Promotion - League Two (Play Offs: Semi-finals)

Relegation - National League