ENGLAND LEAGUE TWO
--.--.---- --:--
Sixfields Stadium
Referee: S. Oldham
Northampton
Match Timeline
Swindon Town
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
37'
M. Clark
Swindon Town
🔄
51'
L. Millard ↔ J. Hungbo
Swindon Town
🔄
67'
O. Clarke ↔ O. Palmer
Swindon Town
🔄
67'
K. Majekodunmi ↔ R. Tafazolli
Swindon Town
🔄
68'
B. Middlemas ↔ J. Pearman
Swindon Town
🔄
71'
M. Warhurst ↔ H. Saunders
Northampton
🔄
71'
L. Evans ↔ J. Perkins
Northampton
🟨
73'
T. Nichols
Swindon Town
🔄
90+1'
T. Nichols ↔ L. Griffiths-Brown
Swindon Town
🔄
90+1'
L. Briggs ↔ E. List
Northampton
🔄
90+2'
C. Lemonheigh-Evans ↔ K. Swyer
Northampton

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 53.9%
Odds 3.56
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds 1.73
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.93
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
53.9%
3.56
BTTS Yes
78.8%
1.73
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.93
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.18
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
7.50
Correct Score 1-2
-
12.00
Probability Distribution
Northampton Win 32.2%
Draw 13.9%
Swindon Town Win 53.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Northampton1.57
Swindon Town1.68
Recent Form (Last 5)
Northampton Northampton
WWDLW
7 GF / 6 GA
Swindon Town Swindon Town
WLDWL
12 GF / 11 GA
Key Stats
1.4
Average Goals Scored
2
1.2
Average Goals Conceded
1.83
2
BTTS Yes
4
3
Over 2.5
5
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Northampton Northampton 5 matches
Swindon Town Swindon Town 6 matches
Northampton Statistic Swindon Town
2 Wins 3
2 Draws 0
1 Losses 3
7 Goals For 12
6 Goals Against 11
1.4 Avg Goals Scored 2
1.2 Avg Goals Conceded 1.83
2 BTTS Yes 4
3 Over 1.5 5
3 Over 2.5 5
2 Over 3.5 4
2 Clean Sheets 1
3 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Northampton won 5 times, Swindon Town won 6 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:20 from Northampton's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 2.53 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.1%)
H2H summary: Northampton wins 5, draws 4, Swindon Town wins 6
Last matches: Northampton
01.08.26
Fri
Northampton
Solihull Moors
4
2
W
28.07.26
Fri
Northampton
Cambridge United
0
0
D
22.07.26
Fri
Northampton
Southend
3
1
W
18.07.26
Fri
Northampton
Coventry
0
0
D
11.07.26
Fri
Northampton
Leicester
0
3
L
02.05.26
Lea
Northampton
Plymouth
2
3
L
28.04.26
Lea
Northampton
Barnsley
0
1
L
25.04.26
Lea
Northampton
Cardiff
1
5
L
18.04.26
Lea
Northampton
Doncaster
1
3
L
15.04.26
Lea
Northampton
Luton
1
2
L
06.04.26
Lea
Northampton
Wigan
1
3
L
03.04.26
Lea
Northampton
Bradford
0
1
L
21.03.26
Lea
Northampton
Mansfield Town
1
4
L
17.03.26
Lea
Northampton
Stockport County
1
2
L
14.03.26
Lea
Northampton
Burton Albion
0
2
L
08.03.26
Lea
Northampton
AFC Wimbledon
0
1
L
28.02.26
Lea
Northampton
Peterborough
1
1
D
24.02.26
Lea
Northampton
Port Vale
0
1
L
21.02.26
Lea
Northampton
Leyton Orient
1
2
L
17.02.26
Lea
Northampton
Lincoln
0
4
L
Last matches: Swindon Town
01.08.26
Fri
Swindon Town
Forest Green
4
1
W
28.07.26
Fri
Swindon Town
Leyton Orient
2
1
W
25.07.26
Fri
Swindon Town
Bristol City
1
3
L
18.07.26
Fri
Swindon Town
Crystal Palace
1
5
L
14.07.26
Fri
Swindon Town
Chippenham Town
0
1
L
04.07.26
Fri
Swindon Town
Swindon Supermarine
4
0
W
02.05.26
Lea
Swindon Town
Chesterfield
1
2
L
25.04.26
Lea
Swindon Town
Grimsby
0
4
L
18.04.26
Lea
Swindon Town
Accrington ST
2
2
D
10.04.26
Lea
Swindon Town
Colchester
0
3
L
06.04.26
Lea
Swindon Town
Walsall
2
1
W
02.04.26
Lea
Swindon Town
Cambridge United
1
1
D
28.03.26
Lea
Swindon Town
Fleetwood Town
1
1
D
21.03.26
Lea
Swindon Town
Tranmere
1
0
W
17.03.26
Lea
Swindon Town
Gillingham
2
0
W
14.03.26
Lea
Swindon Town
Milton Keynes Dons
1
2
L
07.03.26
Lea
Swindon Town
Crawley Town
2
2
D
28.02.26
Lea
Swindon Town
Bristol Rovers
1
1
D
21.02.26
Lea
Swindon Town
Crewe
1
2
L
17.02.26
Lea
Swindon Town
Barnet
2
1
W
H2H: Northampton vs Swindon Town
15.08.26
H2H
Northampton
Swindon Town
0
0
D
29.12.22
H2H
Northampton
Swindon Town
1
2
L
01.10.22
H2H
Swindon Town
Northampton
1
2
W
01.01.22
H2H
Swindon Town
Northampton
5
2
L
18.09.21
H2H
Northampton
Swindon Town
1
1
D
27.02.21
H2H
Swindon Town
Northampton
2
1
L
20.10.20
H2H
Northampton
Swindon Town
2
1
W
11.02.20
H2H
Northampton
Swindon Town
0
1
L
20.08.19
H2H
Swindon Town
Northampton
0
1
W
26.12.18
H2H
Northampton
Swindon Town
1
1
D
06.10.18
H2H
Swindon Town
Northampton
1
1
D
14.02.17
H2H
Northampton
Swindon Town
2
1
W
27.09.16
H2H
Swindon Town
Northampton
1
3
W
09.04.12
H2H
Swindon Town
Northampton
1
0
L
31.12.11
H2H
Northampton
Swindon Town
1
2
L
Last matches: Northampton
18.07.26
Fri
Northampton
Coventry
0
0
D
02.05.26
Lea
Northampton
Plymouth
2
3
L
28.04.26
Lea
Northampton
Barnsley
0
1
L
18.04.26
Lea
Northampton
Doncaster
1
3
L
06.04.26
Lea
Northampton
Wigan
1
3
L
14.03.26
Lea
Northampton
Burton Albion
0
2
L
28.02.26
Lea
Northampton
Peterborough
1
1
D
24.02.26
Lea
Northampton
Port Vale
0
1
L
21.02.26
Lea
Northampton
Leyton Orient
1
2
L
07.02.26
Lea
Northampton
Stevenage
3
1
W
31.01.26
Lea
Northampton
Reading
0
2
L
17.01.26
Lea
Northampton
Wycombe
1
2
L
01.01.26
Lea
Northampton
Stockport County
0
0
D
19.12.25
Lea
Northampton
AFC Wimbledon
3
1
W
09.12.25
Lea
Northampton
Huddersfield
1
1
D
22.11.25
Lea
Northampton
Cardiff
1
3
L
08.11.25
Lea
Northampton
Mansfield Town
2
1
W
25.10.25
Lea
Northampton
Luton
0
1
L
11.10.25
Lea
Northampton
Rotherham
1
2
L
27.09.25
Lea
Northampton
Bolton
2
0
W
H2H at home: Northampton
15.08.26
H2H
Northampton
Swindon Town
0
0
D
29.12.22
H2H
Northampton
Swindon Town
1
2
L
18.09.21
H2H
Northampton
Swindon Town
1
1
D
20.10.20
H2H
Northampton
Swindon Town
2
1
W
11.02.20
H2H
Northampton
Swindon Town
0
1
L
26.12.18
H2H
Northampton
Swindon Town
1
1
D
14.02.17
H2H
Northampton
Swindon Town
2
1
W
31.12.11
H2H
Northampton
Swindon Town
1
2
L
Last matches: Swindon Town
01.08.26
Fri
Swindon Town
Forest Green
4
1
W
18.07.26
Fri
Swindon Town
Crystal Palace
1
5
L
25.04.26
Lea
Swindon Town
Grimsby
0
4
L
10.04.26
Lea
Swindon Town
Colchester
0
3
L
02.04.26
Lea
Swindon Town
Cambridge United
1
1
D
21.03.26
Lea
Swindon Town
Tranmere
1
0
W
17.03.26
Lea
Swindon Town
Gillingham
2
0
W
07.03.26
Lea
Swindon Town
Crawley Town
2
2
D
17.02.26
Lea
Swindon Town
Barnet
2
1
W
14.02.26
Lea
Swindon Town
Shrewsbury
1
3
L
03.02.26
Lea
Swindon Town
Harrogate Town
1
0
W
27.01.26
Lea
Swindon Town
Notts County
1
2
L
24.01.26
Lea
Swindon Town
Bromley
1
2
L
20.01.26
FA
Swindon Town
Salford City
2
3
L
29.12.25
Lea
Swindon Town
Cheltenham
2
0
W
26.12.25
Lea
Swindon Town
Milton Keynes Dons
0
1
L
13.12.25
Lea
Swindon Town
Bristol Rovers
3
0
W
29.11.25
Lea
Swindon Town
Chesterfield
2
1
W
15.11.25
Lea
Swindon Town
Fleetwood Town
1
1
D
01.11.25
FA
Swindon Town
Rotherham
2
1
W
H2H away: Swindon Town
15.08.26
H2H
Northampton
Swindon Town
0
0
D
29.12.22
H2H
Northampton
Swindon Town
1
2
W
18.09.21
H2H
Northampton
Swindon Town
1
1
D
20.10.20
H2H
Northampton
Swindon Town
2
1
L
11.02.20
H2H
Northampton
Swindon Town
0
1
W
26.12.18
H2H
Northampton
Swindon Town
1
1
D
14.02.17
H2H
Northampton
Swindon Town
2
1
L
31.12.11
H2H
Northampton
Swindon Town
1
2
W
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.56
Draw 3.43
Home 2.04
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.15
Draw 2.25
Home 2.62
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.28
Over 2.0 1.45
Over 2.25 1.68
Over 2.5 1.93
Over 2.75 2.17
Over 3.0 2.61
Over 3.5 3.24
Over 4.5 6.22
Under 1.5 3.56
Under 2.0 2.74
Under 2.25 2.17
Under 2.5 1.88
Under 2.75 1.68
Under 3.0 1.49
Under 3.5 1.33
Under 4.5 1.12
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.30
Draw 3.40
Home 2.10
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.75
Draw 2.20
Home 2.75
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.25
Draw 2.40
Home 2.50
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.06
Over 1.5 1.28
Over 2.5 1.95
Over 3.5 3.40
Over 4.5 6.50
Over 5.5 15.00
Over 6.5 29.00
Under 0.5 10.00
Under 1.5 3.50
Under 2.5 1.85
Under 3.5 1.30
Under 4.5 1.11
Under 5.5 1.03
Under 6.5 1.01
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.43
Draw 3.40
Home 2.05
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.18
Draw 2.08
Home 2.63
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.68
Draw 2.43
Home 2.40
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.01
Over 0.75 1.01
Over 1.0 1.01
Over 1.25 1.12
Over 1.5 1.24
Over 1.75 1.32
Over 2.0 1.41
Over 2.25 1.67
Over 2.5 1.89
Over 2.75 2.09
Over 3.0 2.52
Over 3.25 2.85
Over 3.5 3.14
Over 3.75 3.92
Over 4.0 5.45
Over 4.25 5.80
Over 4.5 6.25
Over 4.75 8.20
Over 5.5 13.00
Over 6.5 29.00
Under 0.5 9.70
Under 0.75 8.70
Under 1.0 8.50
Under 1.25 4.64
Under 1.5 3.34
Under 1.75 2.97
Under 2.0 2.59
Under 2.25 2.13
Under 2.5 1.86
Under 2.75 1.62
Under 3.0 1.43
Under 3.25 1.32
Under 3.5 1.27
Under 3.75 1.18
Under 4.0 1.08
Under 4.25 1.07
Under 4.5 1.06
Under 4.75 1.02
Under 5.5 1.03
Under 6.5 1.01
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.20
Draw 3.30
Home 2.12
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.70
Draw 2.25
Home 2.65
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.35
Draw 2.48
Home 2.45
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.26
Over 2.5 1.84
Over 3.0 2.50
Over 3.25 2.80
Over 3.5 3.10
Over 4.0 5.00
Over 4.25 5.30
Over 4.5 5.60
Over 5.0 10.50
Under 1.5 3.40
Under 2.5 1.83
Under 3.0 1.46
Under 3.25 1.37
Under 3.5 1.30
Under 4.0 1.12
Under 4.25 1.11
Under 4.5 1.10
Under 5.0 1.03

Standings

League Two
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 1 1 0 0 3:0 3 3
W
2 1 1 0 0 3:0 3 3
W
3 1 1 0 0 3:1 2 3
W
4 1 1 0 0 2:0 2 3
W
5 1 1 0 0 2:0 2 3
W
6 1 1 0 0 3:2 1 3
W
7 1 1 0 0 2:1 1 3
W
8 1 1 0 0 1:0 1 3
W
9 1 1 0 0 1:0 1 3
W
10 1 1 0 0 1:0 1 3
W
11 1 0 1 0 2:2 0 1
D
12 1 0 1 0 2:2 0 1
D
13 1 0 1 0 0:0 0 1
D
14 1 0 1 0 0:0 0 1
D
15 1 0 0 1 2:3 -1 0
L
16 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
L
17 1 0 0 1 0:1 -1 0
L
18 1 0 0 1 0:1 -1 0
L
19 1 0 0 1 0:1 -1 0
L
20 1 0 0 1 1:3 -2 0
L
21 1 0 0 1 0:2 -2 0
L
22 1 0 0 1 0:2 -2 0
L
23 1 0 0 1 0:3 -3 0
L
24 1 0 0 1 0:3 -3 0
L
Promotion - League One
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Relegation - National League