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ENGLAND › LEAGUE TWO
15.08.2026 14:00
Sixfields Stadium
Referee: S. Oldham
Northampton
Match Timeline
Swindon Town
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
37'
Mitchell Clark
Swindon Town
🔄
51'
L. Millard ↔ J. Hungbo
Swindon Town
🔄
67'
K. Majekodunmi ↔ R. Tafazolli
Swindon Town
🔄
67'
O. Clarke ↔ O. Palmer
Swindon Town
🔄
68'
B. Middlemas ↔ J. Pearman
Swindon Town
🔄
71'
L. Evans ↔ J. Perkins
Northampton
🔄
71'
M. Warhurst ↔ H. Saunders
Northampton
🟨
73'
Tom Nichols
Swindon Town
🔄
90+2'
C. Lemonheigh-Evans ↔ K. Swyer
Northampton
🔄
90+1'
L. Briggs ↔ E. List
Northampton
🔄
90+1'
T. Nichols ↔ L. Griffiths-Brown
Swindon Town

Northampton vs Swindon Town Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 53.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
53.9%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
78.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Northampton Win 32.2%
Draw 13.9%
Swindon Town Win 53.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Northampton1.57
Swindon Town1.68
Recent Form (Last 5)
Northampton Northampton
WWDLW
7 GF / 6 GA
Swindon Town Swindon Town
WLDWL
12 GF / 11 GA
Key Stats
1.4
Average Goals Scored
2
1.2
Average Goals Conceded
1.83
2
BTTS Yes
4
3
Over 2.5
5
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Northampton Northampton 5 matches
Swindon Town Swindon Town 6 matches
Northampton Statistic Swindon Town
2 Wins 3
2 Draws 0
1 Losses 3
7 Goals For 12
6 Goals Against 11
1.4 Avg Goals Scored 2
1.2 Avg Goals Conceded 1.83
2 BTTS Yes 4
3 Over 1.5 5
3 Over 2.5 5
2 Over 3.5 4
2 Clean Sheets 1
3 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Northampton won 5 times, Swindon Town won 6 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:20 from Northampton's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 2.53 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.1%)
Predicted formations: Northampton 4-4-2 / Swindon Town 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Northampton wins 5, draws 4, Swindon Town wins 6

Standings

League Two
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 11 7 1 3 17:11 6 22
W W W W W
2 9 6 3 0 22:12 10 21
W W W W D
3 11 5 6 0 15:9 6 21
W W W D D
4 10 4 4 2 18:12 6 16
D D W L W
5 10 3 7 0 13:7 6 16
D D D W D
6 11 4 4 3 16:13 3 16
L W D L W
7 11 4 3 4 17:15 2 15
L D W L W
8 11 4 3 4 17:20 -3 15
L L L W D
9 11 5 0 6 15:18 -3 15
L L L W L
10 11 3 5 3 16:15 1 14
W D W D D
11 11 3 5 3 14:13 1 14
D W D W D
12 11 3 5 3 12:11 1 14
W D L L L
13 11 4 2 5 13:15 -2 14
L D W W W
14 11 4 2 5 10:15 -5 14
W L W D D
15 11 3 4 4 13:13 0 13
L L L L W
16 11 3 4 4 6:6 0 13
D W W L D
17 11 2 6 3 14:15 -1 12
L D L D D
18 11 3 3 5 10:15 -5 12
D L L D L
19 10 3 2 5 13:14 -1 11
W D L L L
20 10 2 5 3 10:13 -3 11
D L D D D
21 9 3 2 4 5:9 -4 11
W W L W L
22 9 2 4 3 6:7 -1 10
W D L L W
23 11 2 4 5 12:18 -6 10
L L L D W
24 9 1 2 6 9:17 -8 5
L D L L L
Promotion - League One
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Relegation - National League