Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
73.1%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
52.7%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
52.3%
|
- |
Northampton
Doncaster
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Northampton
43 matches
Doncaster
45 matches
| Northampton | Statistic | Doncaster |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wins | 17 |
| 8 | Draws | 8 |
| 26 | Losses | 20 |
| 36 | Goals For | 49 |
| 65 | Goals Against | 69 |
| 0.84 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.09 |
| 1.51 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.53 |
| 20 | BTTS Yes | 23 |
| 30 | Over 1.5 | 32 |
| 20 | Over 2.5 | 24 |
| 10 | Over 3.5 | 9 |
| 10 | Clean Sheets | 11 |
| 18 | Failed To Score | 13 |
| 2.74 | Shots On Goal | 3.75 |
| 8.95 | Total Shots | 12.43 |
| 4.81 | Corners | 4.39 |
| 43.7% | Ball Possession | 49.9% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Doncaster carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 15 with 53 points while Northampton sit 24 on 35, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Doncaster. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Northampton have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Northampton expected to line up in 4-5-1 and Doncaster in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Doncaster having the stronger overall control.
With 35 points from 42 games and a place of 24, Northampton still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 9 wins, 8 draws, and 25 defeats with a 34:60 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on T. Eaves (8 goals), Cameron McGeehan (6 goals), S. Hoskins (6 goals), with creative support from D. Campbell (5 assists), Terry Taylor (3 assists), T. Eaves (2 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 6 wins, 4 draws, and 10 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Doncaster approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 53 points from 42 matches. The overall return of 15 wins, 8 draws, and 19 defeats with a 43:64 goal balance points toward good form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on O. Bailey (13 goals), L. Molyneux (8 goals), B. Hanlan (5 goals), with creative support from L. Molyneux (7 assists), O. Bailey (3 assists), J. Gibson (2 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 6 wins, 3 draws, and 12 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Northampton won 3 times, Doncaster won 4 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:10 from Northampton's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.
Northampton
2
6
2
10
3
3
Lineups
Northampton
Solihull Moors
Northampton
Cambridge United
Northampton
Southend
Northampton
Coventry
Northampton
Leicester
Northampton
Plymouth
Northampton
Barnsley
Northampton
Cardiff
Northampton
Luton
Northampton
Wigan
Northampton
Bradford
Northampton
Mansfield Town
Northampton
Stockport County
Northampton
Burton Albion
Northampton
AFC Wimbledon
Northampton
Peterborough
Northampton
Port Vale
Northampton
Leyton Orient
Northampton
Lincoln
Northampton
Exeter City
Doncaster
Lincoln
Doncaster
Wolves
Doncaster
Gainsborough Trinity
Doncaster
Harrogate Town
Doncaster
Linfield
Doncaster
Glenavon FC
Doncaster
St Patrick's Athl.
Doncaster
Peterborough
Doncaster
Stevenage
Doncaster
Lincoln
Doncaster
Reading
Doncaster
Exeter City
Doncaster
Mansfield Town
Doncaster
Port Vale
Doncaster
Barnsley
Doncaster
Bolton
Doncaster
Blackpool
Doncaster
Luton
Doncaster
Plymouth
Doncaster
Cardiff
Northampton
Coventry
Northampton
Plymouth
Northampton
Barnsley
Northampton
Wigan
Northampton
Burton Albion
Northampton
Peterborough
Northampton
Port Vale
Northampton
Leyton Orient
Northampton
Stevenage
Northampton
Reading
Northampton
Wycombe
Northampton
Stockport County
Northampton
AFC Wimbledon
Northampton
Huddersfield
Northampton
Cardiff
Northampton
Mansfield Town
Northampton
Luton
Northampton
Rotherham
Northampton
Bolton
Northampton
Blackpool
Doncaster
Gainsborough Trinity
Doncaster
Harrogate Town
Doncaster
Linfield
Doncaster
Glenavon FC
Doncaster
Peterborough
Doncaster
Exeter City
Doncaster
Barnsley
Doncaster
Bolton
Doncaster
Plymouth
Doncaster
Rotherham
Doncaster
Wycombe
Doncaster
Burton Albion
Doncaster
Bradford
Doncaster
AFC Wimbledon
Doncaster
Stockport County
Doncaster
Blackpool
Doncaster
Cardiff
Doncaster
Chesterfield
Doncaster
Stevenage
Doncaster
Lincoln
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 46 | 31 | 10 | 5 | 89:41 | 48 | 103 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 46 | 27 | 10 | 9 | 90:50 | 40 | 91 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 71:58 | 13 | 77 |
W
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 4 | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 58:51 | 7 | 77 |
W
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 5 | 46 | 19 | 18 | 9 | 70:52 | 18 | 75 |
L
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 49:46 | 3 | 75 |
W
D
W
D
L
|
|
| 7 | 46 | 21 | 11 | 14 | 68:56 | 12 | 74 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 46 | 22 | 7 | 17 | 75:63 | 12 | 73 |
W
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 46 | 18 | 13 | 15 | 74:64 | 10 | 67 |
W
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 10 | 46 | 16 | 17 | 13 | 62:50 | 12 | 65 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 69:58 | 11 | 63 |
W
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 12 | 46 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 64:60 | 4 | 63 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 54:65 | -11 | 60 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 14 |
Doncaster
Away
|
46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 50:69 | -19 | 60 |
W
D
L
W
W
|
| 15 | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 68:73 | -5 | 59 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 49:58 | -9 | 56 |
L
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 17 | 46 | 13 | 15 | 18 | 50:60 | -10 | 54 |
D
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 18 | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 64:68 | -4 | 53 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 19 | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 51:72 | -21 | 53 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 59:71 | -12 | 52 |
D
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 21 | 46 | 12 | 13 | 21 | 52:61 | -9 | 49 |
L
D
D
D
W
|
|
| 22 | 46 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 36:61 | -25 | 42 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 23 | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41:71 | -30 | 41 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 24 |
Northampton
Home
|
46 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 39:74 | -35 | 35 |
L
L
L
L
L
|