AUSTRALIA VICTORIA NPL 2
--.--.---- --:--
North Geelong Warriors
Match Timeline
Bulleen Lions
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
38'
C. Bell
Bulleen Lions
49'
Matheus Assumpcao
Bulleen Lions
52'
P. Harbinson
Bulleen Lions
68'
P. Harbinson
Bulleen Lions

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 52.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
52.8%
-
BTTS Yes
86%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
North Geelong Warriors Win 32.9%
Draw 14.2%
Bulleen Lions Win 52.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
North Geelong Warriors1.49
Bulleen Lions1.89
Recent Form (Last 5)
North Geelong Warriors North Geelong Warriors
WWDLW
33 GF / 42 GA
Bulleen Lions Bulleen Lions
WLDWL
40 GF / 30 GA
Key Stats
1.57
Average Goals Scored
1.82
2
Average Goals Conceded
1.36
13
BTTS Yes
15
16
Over 2.5
14
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

North Geelong Warriors North Geelong Warriors 21 matches
Bulleen Lions Bulleen Lions 22 matches
North Geelong Warriors Statistic Bulleen Lions
9 Wins 10
1 Draws 6
11 Losses 6
33 Goals For 40
42 Goals Against 30
1.57 Avg Goals Scored 1.82
2 Avg Goals Conceded 1.36
13 BTTS Yes 15
19 Over 1.5 19
16 Over 2.5 14
8 Over 3.5 10
4 Clean Sheets 7
4 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Bulleen Lions's more proactive style and North Geelong Warriors's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Bulleen Lions. North Geelong Warriors have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Bulleen Lions having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

North Geelong Warriors Analysis

With 28 points from 21 games and a place of 9, North Geelong Warriors still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 9 wins, 1 draws, and 11 defeats, and the 33:42 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 6 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Bulleen Lions Analysis

Bulleen Lions come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 5 place with 36 points after 22 matches. With 10 wins, 6 draws, and 6 defeats plus a goal balance of 40:30, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, their record of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, North Geelong Warriors won 2 times, Bulleen Lions won 5 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:16 from North Geelong Warriors's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 3.57 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.8%)
H2H summary: North Geelong Warriors wins 2, draws 0, Bulleen Lions wins 5
Last matches: North Geelong Warriors
15.08.26
Vic
North Geelong Warriors
Brunswick City
0
4
L
08.08.26
Vic
North Geelong Warriors
Melbourne Srbija
0
1
L
25.07.26
Vic
North Geelong Warriors
Brunswick Juventus FC
0
3
L
18.07.26
Vic
North Geelong Warriors
Melbourne Victory II
0
2
L
11.07.26
Vic
North Geelong Warriors
Eltham Redbacks FC
1
3
L
04.07.26
Vic
North Geelong Warriors
Port Melbourne
1
1
D
20.06.26
Vic
North Geelong Warriors
Manningham United Blues
3
2
W
13.06.26
Vic
North Geelong Warriors
Northcote City
2
1
W
30.05.26
Vic
North Geelong Warriors
North Sunshine Eagles
3
0
W
24.05.26
Vic
North Geelong Warriors
Melbourne Knights
1
2
L
16.05.26
Vic
North Geelong Warriors
Langwarrin
2
4
L
10.05.26
Vic
North Geelong Warriors
Western United II
2
3
L
02.05.26
Vic
North Geelong Warriors
Brunswick City
1
0
W
25.04.26
Vic
North Geelong Warriors
Bulleen Lions
0
3
L
18.04.26
Vic
North Geelong Warriors
Brunswick Juventus FC
3
4
L
11.04.26
Vic
North Geelong Warriors
Melbourne Victory II
1
2
L
28.03.26
Vic
North Geelong Warriors
Eltham Redbacks FC
3
2
W
21.03.26
Vic
North Geelong Warriors
Port Melbourne
2
0
W
14.03.26
Vic
North Geelong Warriors
Manningham United Blues
1
3
L
06.03.26
Vic
North Geelong Warriors
Northcote City
0
3
L
Last matches: Bulleen Lions
27.07.26
Vic
Bulleen Lions
Langwarrin
3
1
W
19.07.26
Vic
Bulleen Lions
Western United II
4
2
W
13.07.26
Vic
Bulleen Lions
Brunswick City
1
1
D
03.07.26
Vic
Bulleen Lions
Melbourne Knights
1
3
L
19.06.26
Vic
Bulleen Lions
Brunswick Juventus FC
5
1
W
13.06.26
Vic
Bulleen Lions
Melbourne Victory II
2
4
L
05.06.26
Vic
Bulleen Lions
Eltham Redbacks FC
2
2
D
01.06.26
Vic
Bulleen Lions
Port Melbourne
1
0
W
23.05.26
Vic
Bulleen Lions
Manningham United Blues
1
2
L
15.05.26
Vic
Bulleen Lions
Northcote City
1
1
D
09.05.26
Vic
Bulleen Lions
Melbourne Srbija
0
0
D
02.05.26
Vic
Bulleen Lions
North Sunshine Eagles
1
0
W
25.04.26
Vic
Bulleen Lions
North Geelong Warriors
3
0
W
17.04.26
Vic
Bulleen Lions
Langwarrin
2
2
D
11.04.26
Vic
Bulleen Lions
Western United II
2
0
W
27.03.26
Vic
Bulleen Lions
Brunswick City
2
0
W
21.03.26
Vic
Bulleen Lions
Melbourne Knights
2
0
W
16.03.26
Vic
Bulleen Lions
Brunswick Juventus FC
1
2
L
09.03.26
Vic
Bulleen Lions
Melbourne Victory II
2
2
D
02.03.26
Vic
Bulleen Lions
Eltham Redbacks FC
1
3
L
H2H: North Geelong Warriors vs Bulleen Lions
01.08.26
H2H
North Geelong Warriors
Bulleen Lions
0
4
L
25.04.26
H2H
Bulleen Lions
North Geelong Warriors
3
0
L
08.06.24
H2H
Bulleen Lions
North Geelong Warriors
1
0
L
02.03.24
H2H
North Geelong Warriors
Bulleen Lions
1
2
L
13.08.22
H2H
North Geelong Warriors
Bulleen Lions
3
0
W
21.05.22
H2H
Bulleen Lions
North Geelong Warriors
2
3
W
17.07.21
H2H
Bulleen Lions
North Geelong Warriors
0
0
D
24.04.21
H2H
North Geelong Warriors
Bulleen Lions
2
4
L
Last matches: North Geelong Warriors
18.07.26
Vic
North Geelong Warriors
Melbourne Victory II
0
2
L
04.07.26
Vic
North Geelong Warriors
Port Melbourne
1
1
D
13.06.26
Vic
North Geelong Warriors
Northcote City
2
1
W
30.05.26
Vic
North Geelong Warriors
North Sunshine Eagles
3
0
W
16.05.26
Vic
North Geelong Warriors
Langwarrin
2
4
L
02.05.26
Vic
North Geelong Warriors
Brunswick City
1
0
W
18.04.26
Vic
North Geelong Warriors
Brunswick Juventus FC
3
4
L
28.03.26
Vic
North Geelong Warriors
Eltham Redbacks FC
3
2
W
14.03.26
Vic
North Geelong Warriors
Manningham United Blues
1
3
L
28.02.26
Vic
North Geelong Warriors
Melbourne Srbija
2
1
W
14.02.26
Vic
North Geelong Warriors
Melbourne Knights
1
0
W
10.08.24
Vic
North Geelong Warriors
Sunshine Georgies
1
1
D
13.07.24
Vic
North Geelong Warriors
Bentleigh Greens
2
3
L
15.06.24
Vic
North Geelong Warriors
Melbourne Victory II
2
3
L
01.06.24
Vic
North Geelong Warriors
Langwarrin
1
0
W
18.05.24
Vic
North Geelong Warriors
Werribee City
1
2
L
11.05.24
Vic
North Geelong Warriors
Melbourne City II
0
3
L
27.04.24
Vic
North Geelong Warriors
Kingston City
2
1
W
20.04.24
Vic
North Geelong Warriors
Eastern Lions
1
1
D
06.04.24
Vic
North Geelong Warriors
Preston Lions
2
4
L
H2H at home: North Geelong Warriors
01.08.26
H2H
North Geelong Warriors
Bulleen Lions
0
4
L
02.03.24
H2H
North Geelong Warriors
Bulleen Lions
1
2
L
13.08.22
H2H
North Geelong Warriors
Bulleen Lions
3
0
W
24.04.21
H2H
North Geelong Warriors
Bulleen Lions
2
4
L
Last matches: Bulleen Lions
19.07.26
Vic
Bulleen Lions
Western United II
4
2
W
03.07.26
Vic
Bulleen Lions
Melbourne Knights
1
3
L
19.06.26
Vic
Bulleen Lions
Brunswick Juventus FC
5
1
W
05.06.26
Vic
Bulleen Lions
Eltham Redbacks FC
2
2
D
15.05.26
Vic
Bulleen Lions
Northcote City
1
1
D
02.05.26
Vic
Bulleen Lions
North Sunshine Eagles
1
0
W
17.04.26
Vic
Bulleen Lions
Langwarrin
2
2
D
27.03.26
Vic
Bulleen Lions
Brunswick City
2
0
W
09.03.26
Vic
Bulleen Lions
Melbourne Victory II
2
2
D
20.02.26
Vic
Bulleen Lions
Port Melbourne
2
1
W
14.02.26
Vic
Bulleen Lions
Manningham United Blues
1
3
L
15.08.25
Vic
Bulleen Lions
Eastern Lions
0
2
L
25.07.25
Vic
Bulleen Lions
Moreland City
0
1
L
09.07.25
Vic
Bulleen Lions
Western United II
0
1
L
04.07.25
Vic
Bulleen Lions
Bentleigh Greens
0
1
L
20.06.25
Vic
Bulleen Lions
Brunswick City
0
3
L
07.06.25
Vic
Bulleen Lions
North Sunshine Eagles
1
2
L
31.05.25
Vic
Bulleen Lions
Sunshine Georgies
0
4
L
10.05.25
Vic
Bulleen Lions
Melbourne Srbija
2
0
W
27.04.25
Vic
Bulleen Lions
Melbourne City II
1
1
D
H2H away: Bulleen Lions
01.08.26
H2H
North Geelong Warriors
Bulleen Lions
0
4
W
02.03.24
H2H
North Geelong Warriors
Bulleen Lions
1
2
W
13.08.22
H2H
North Geelong Warriors
Bulleen Lions
3
0
L
24.04.21
H2H
North Geelong Warriors
Bulleen Lions
2
4
W