SWEDEN SUPERETTAN
26.07.2026 15:00
Borås Arena
Referee: Jasmin Svraka, Sweden
Norrby IF
Match Timeline
Ostersunds FK
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
4'
Y. Abdulazeez
Norrby IF
🔄
46'
J. Ali ↔ M. Palomino
Ostersunds FK
57'
M. Palomino · Assist: S. Marklund
Ostersunds FK
🔄
60'
K. Liimatainen ↔ H. Tilly
Norrby IF
🔄
67'
J. Johansson ↔ I. Adewale
Norrby IF
🟨
74'
Yusuf Abdulazeez
Norrby IF
74'
M. Palomino · Assist: D. Miljanovic
Ostersunds FK
🔄
75'
D. Molls ↔ L. Bozickovic
Ostersunds FK
🔄
78'
Y. Adjoumani ↔ S. Anyanwu
Ostersunds FK
86'
I. Adewale · Assist: Y. Abdulazeez
Norrby IF
🟨
87'
Olle Backlund
Norrby IF
🟨
88'
Ibrahim Adewale
Norrby IF
🟨
90'
Ture Spendler
Norrby IF

Norrby IF vs Ostersunds FK Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 53.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 45.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
53.6%
-
BTTS Yes
58.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
45.9%
-
Corners O/U Under 10.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Norrby IF Win 28.6%
Draw 17.8%
Ostersunds FK Win 53.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Norrby IF1.43
Ostersunds FK1.42
Recent Form (Last 5)
Norrby IF Norrby IF
WWDLW
35 GF / 35 GA
Ostersunds FK Ostersunds FK
WLDWL
32 GF / 32 GA
Key Stats
1.46
Average Goals Scored
1.39
1.46
Average Goals Conceded
1.39
17
BTTS Yes
14
13
Over 2.5
12
1.73
Shots on Goal
1.6

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Norrby IF Norrby IF 24 matches
Ostersunds FK Ostersunds FK 23 matches
Norrby IF Statistic Ostersunds FK
6 Wins 9
10 Draws 5
8 Losses 9
35 Goals For 32
35 Goals Against 32
1.46 Avg Goals Scored 1.39
1.46 Avg Goals Conceded 1.39
17 BTTS Yes 14
20 Over 1.5 19
13 Over 2.5 12
9 Over 3.5 5
4 Clean Sheets 4
4 Failed To Score 6
1.73 Shots On Goal 1.6
2.73 Total Shots 1.93
2.2 Corners 2.87
24% Ball Possession 23.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Ostersunds FK's more proactive style and Norrby IF's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Ostersunds FK carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 5 with 25 points while Norrby IF sit 13 on 14, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Norrby IF have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Ostersunds FK. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Norrby IF expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Ostersunds FK in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Ostersunds FK having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Norrby IF Analysis

Norrby IF sit 13 with 14 points after 14 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 2 wins, 8 draws, and 4 losses, together with goals at 16:20, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Ostersunds FK Analysis

Placed 5 with 25 points from 15 outings, Ostersunds FK continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, while the 24:19 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Norrby IF won 1 times, Ostersunds FK won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:4 from Norrby IF's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.25 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (82.2%)
Predicted formations: Norrby IF 4-4-2 / Ostersunds FK 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Norrby IF wins 1, draws 2, Ostersunds FK wins 1

Standings

Superettan
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 25 17 4 4 48:16 32 55
W D W D W
2 25 13 6 6 46:33 13 45
D W W L W
3 25 13 5 7 44:33 11 44
W W L D W
4 25 11 10 4 33:24 9 43
D W D W D
5 25 11 7 7 39:26 13 40
W W L W D
6 25 9 9 7 38:34 4 36
L D W W L
7 25 11 3 11 38:38 0 36
L W L L D
8 25 9 9 7 38:40 -2 36
L D L W L
9 25 9 7 9 41:35 6 34
W D L W D
10 25 8 6 11 36:45 -9 30
D L W L D
11 25 8 5 12 33:45 -12 29
W L W D W
12 25 7 7 11 33:36 -3 28
L L W D L
13 25 4 12 9 28:35 -7 24
D L L L L
14 25 5 9 11 27:39 -12 24
L D W L D
15 25 5 8 12 39:48 -9 23
L D D L L
16 25 6 1 18 19:53 -34 19
W L L W W
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