SWEDEN SUPERETTAN
10.08.2026 17:00
Borås Arena
Referee: Richard Sundell, Sweden
Norrby IF
Match Timeline
Orebro SK
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
20'
Y. Abdulazeez · Assist: J. Johansson
Norrby IF
29'
J. Hjalmar · Assist: J. Bichis
Norrby IF
🟨
40'
John Stenberg
Orebro SK
42'
A. Yasin · Assist: A. Ghasem
Orebro SK
🔄
46'
E. McCue ↔ V. Sandberg
Orebro SK
🔄
63'
A. Ghasem ↔ G. Bovalina
Orebro SK
🔄
64'
M. Kusu ↔ E. Ibrahimbegovic
Orebro SK
🔄
65'
J. Ortmark ↔ S. Wikman
Orebro SK
🔄
67'
K. Liimatainen ↔ I. Adewale
Norrby IF
🔄
73'
J. Bichis ↔ H. Tilly
Norrby IF
85'
H. Tilly
Norrby IF
🔄
86'
J. Hjalmar ↔ F. Gustafsson
Norrby IF
🔄
86'
D. Salihovic ↔ L. Astvald
Orebro SK
🔄
86'
C. Redenstrand ↔ F. Wahlstrom
Orebro SK
🔄
90+7'
Y. Abdulazeez ↔ W. Ekdahl
Norrby IF

Norrby IF vs Orebro SK Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 60.2%
Odds -
1 agree / 0 disagree
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
60.2%
-
BTTS Yes
78.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
-
Corners O/U Under 8.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Norrby IF Win 60.2%
Draw 6.3%
Orebro SK Win 33.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Norrby IF1.36
Orebro SK1.34
Recent Form (Last 5)
Norrby IF Norrby IF
WWDLW
37 GF / 37 GA
Orebro SK Orebro SK
WLDWL
32 GF / 32 GA
Key Stats
1.42
Average Goals Scored
1.28
1.42
Average Goals Conceded
1.28
18
BTTS Yes
12
14
Over 2.5
13
1.59
Shots on Goal
1.76

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Norrby IF Norrby IF 26 matches
Orebro SK Orebro SK 25 matches
Norrby IF Statistic Orebro SK
6 Wins 8
12 Draws 8
8 Losses 9
37 Goals For 32
37 Goals Against 32
1.42 Avg Goals Scored 1.28
1.42 Avg Goals Conceded 1.28
18 BTTS Yes 12
21 Over 1.5 18
14 Over 2.5 13
10 Over 3.5 7
5 Clean Sheets 10
5 Failed To Score 7
1.59 Shots On Goal 1.76
2.47 Total Shots 2.24
2 Corners 1.53
23.2% Ball Possession 23.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Orebro SK. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Norrby IF expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Orebro SK in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Orebro SK having the stronger overall control.

Norrby IF Analysis

From their first 17 matches, Norrby IF have collected 19 points and now occupy 13 place in the table. Their overall return of 3 wins, 10 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 21:23 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Orebro SK Analysis

Orebro SK approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 15 points from 16 matches. Across the season they have posted 3 wins, 6 draws, and 7 defeats, and the 13:22 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Norrby IF won 1 times, Orebro SK won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:4 from Norrby IF's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.7%)
Predicted formations: Norrby IF 4-2-3-1 / Orebro SK 4-4-2
H2H summary: Norrby IF wins 1, draws 2, Orebro SK wins 1

Standings

Superettan
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 25 17 4 4 48:16 32 55
W D W D W
2 25 13 6 6 46:33 13 45
D W W L W
3 25 13 5 7 44:33 11 44
W W L D W
4 25 11 10 4 33:24 9 43
D W D W D
5 25 11 7 7 39:26 13 40
W W L W D
6 25 9 9 7 38:34 4 36
L D W W L
7 25 11 3 11 38:38 0 36
L W L L D
8 25 9 9 7 38:40 -2 36
L D L W L
9 25 9 7 9 41:35 6 34
W D L W D
10 25 8 6 11 36:45 -9 30
D L W L D
11 25 8 5 12 33:45 -12 29
W L W D W
12 25 7 7 11 33:36 -3 28
L L W D L
13 25 4 12 9 28:35 -7 24
D L L L L
14 25 5 9 11 27:39 -12 24
L D W L D
15 25 5 8 12 39:48 -9 23
L D D L L
16 25 6 1 18 19:53 -34 19
W L L W W
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