ESTONIA MEISTRILIIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Referee: J. Frischer
Nõmme United
Match Timeline
Tammeka
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
36'
T. Koskor ↔ Kauan Pereira
Tammeka
🟨
40'
J. Amijekori
Tammeka
🔄
46'
E. Ounapuu ↔ K. Matas
Nõmme United
🟨
58'
K. Oostenbrink
Nõmme United
🟨
67'
P. Veelma
Tammeka
🔄
68'
R. Kallas ↔ T. Lang
Tammeka
🟨
75'
K. Laanelaid
Nõmme United
76'
O. Kangaslahti · Assist: M. Hydara
Tammeka
🔄
82'
I. Krasnov ↔ B. Vain
Nõmme United
🔄
82'
K. Laanelaid ↔ A. Kaspar
Nõmme United
🔄
86'
M. Palts ↔ A. Alteberg
Nõmme United
🔄
89'
Thomas Lisboa ↔ M. Vaino
Tammeka
🔄
89'
G. Uggeri ↔ R. Muur
Tammeka

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 72.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 88%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 87%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
72.9%
-
BTTS Yes
88%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
87%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Nõmme United Win 27.1%
Draw 24.8%
Tammeka Win 48.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Nõmme United1.88
Tammeka1.83
Recent Form (Last 5)
Nõmme United Nõmme United
WWDLW
60 GF / 72 GA
Tammeka Tammeka
WLDWL
35 GF / 40 GA
Key Stats
2.07
Average Goals Scored
1.4
2.48
Average Goals Conceded
1.6
24
BTTS Yes
13
28
Over 2.5
15
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Nõmme United Nõmme United 29 matches
Tammeka Tammeka 25 matches
Nõmme United Statistic Tammeka
12 Wins 11
2 Draws 3
15 Losses 11
60 Goals For 35
72 Goals Against 40
2.07 Avg Goals Scored 1.4
2.48 Avg Goals Conceded 1.6
24 BTTS Yes 13
29 Over 1.5 17
28 Over 2.5 15
19 Over 3.5 9
1 Clean Sheets 7
4 Failed To Score 7
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Tammeka having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Tammeka. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Nõmme United Analysis

So far, Nõmme United have built a campaign that leaves them 7 in the table on 25 points from 21 matches. The record of 8 wins, 1 draws, and 12 defeats, together with a 40:48 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, their split return of 4 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Tammeka Analysis

So far, Tammeka have built a campaign that leaves them 6 in the table on 26 points from 19 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 8 wins, 2 draws, and 9 losses, while the 22:31 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Nõmme United won 1 times, Tammeka won 6 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:19 from Nõmme United's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 3.38 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (75.3%)
H2H summary: Nõmme United wins 1, draws 1, Tammeka wins 6

Lineups

Nõmme United
Formation
Tammeka
G. Lagus
G. Lagus
R. Chanda
R. Chanda
Y. Morishige
Y. Morishige
M. Palts
M. Palts
K. Laanelaid
K. Laanelaid
A. Frolov
A. Frolov
K. Oostenbrink
K. Oostenbrink
H. Jarvelaid
H. Jarvelaid
I. Krasnov
I. Krasnov
E. Ounapuu
E. Ounapuu
B. Chisala
B. Chisala
K. Sahtel
K. Sahtel
Pedro Manoel
Pedro Manoel
O. Kangaslahti
O. Kangaslahti
R. Kallas
R. Kallas
P. Veelma
P. Veelma
J. Amijekori
J. Amijekori
Thomas Lisboa
Thomas Lisboa
H. Pedmanson
H. Pedmanson
M. Hydara
🎯
M. Hydara
G. Uggeri
G. Uggeri
T. Koskor
T. Koskor
Nõmme United 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
G. Lagus
55
R. Chanda
2
Y. Morishige
6
M. Palts
↓ 86'
23
K. Laanelaid
↓ 82' 🟨 75'
10
A. Frolov
26
K. Oostenbrink
🟨 58'
45
H. Jarvelaid
19
I. Krasnov
↓ 82'
9
E. Ounapuu
↓ 46'
11
B. Chisala
Substitutes
71
G. Purg
3
S. Merilai
4
A. Alteberg
↑ 86'
8
B. Vain
↑ 82'
13
A. Truuvaart
14
N. Vassiljev
20
K. Matas
↑ 46'
22
A. Radomskiy
24
G. Kabal
31
A. Kaspar
↑ 82'
Tammeka 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
12
K. Sahtel
3
Pedro Manoel
44
O. Kangaslahti
⚽ 76'
28
R. Kallas
↓ 68'
23
P. Veelma
🟨 67'
17
J. Amijekori
🟨 40'
7
Thomas Lisboa
↓ 89'
24
H. Pedmanson
99
M. Hydara
🎯 76'
10
G. Uggeri
↓ 89'
19
T. Koskor
↓ 36'
Substitutes
77
C. Kiidjarv
26
K. Lapa
4
M. Vaino
↑ 89'
5
M. Vister
8
K. Kiidron
11
R. Muur
↑ 89'
13
R. Laabus
22
T. Lang
↑ 68'
72
G. Tuur
89
Kauan Pereira
↑ 36'
Last matches: Nõmme United
09.08.26
Mei
Nõmme United
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
5
L
31.07.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Trans Narva
1
2
L
17.07.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Flora Tallinn
2
1
W
11.07.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Kuressaare
3
2
W
03.07.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Kalju Nomme
1
3
L
20.06.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Laagri
3
1
W
17.06.26
Mei
Nõmme United
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
2
L
13.06.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Trans Narva
2
1
W
29.05.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Flora Tallinn
0
4
L
20.05.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Kuressaare
1
2
L
15.05.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Tammeka
1
3
L
10.05.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Paide
2
3
L
02.05.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Vaprus
3
2
W
25.04.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Kuressaare
2
1
W
22.04.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Kalju Nomme
1
7
L
18.04.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Laagri
1
2
L
11.04.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Trans Narva
5
1
W
08.04.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Paide
1
3
L
04.04.26
Mei
Nõmme United
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
1
D
21.03.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Tammeka
2
3
L
Last matches: Tammeka
22.08.26
Mei
Tammeka
Kuressaare
1
0
W
02.08.26
Mei
Tammeka
Kalju Nomme
1
5
L
11.07.26
Mei
Tammeka
Vaprus
1
5
L
05.07.26
Mei
Tammeka
Laagri
2
1
W
21.06.26
Mei
Tammeka
Trans Narva
1
0
W
17.06.26
Mei
Tammeka
Kalju Nomme
2
1
W
13.06.26
Mei
Tammeka
Vaprus
0
0
D
30.05.26
Mei
Tammeka
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
1
L
15.05.26
Mei
Tammeka
Nõmme United
3
1
W
08.05.26
Mei
Tammeka
Kuressaare
1
0
W
01.05.26
Mei
Tammeka
Paide
1
0
W
25.04.26
Mei
Tammeka
Laagri
0
1
L
22.04.26
Mei
Tammeka
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
2
L
18.04.26
Mei
Tammeka
Vaprus
0
0
D
12.04.26
Mei
Tammeka
Paide
1
4
L
07.04.26
Mei
Tammeka
Trans Narva
0
3
L
03.04.26
Mei
Tammeka
Flora Tallinn
3
1
W
21.03.26
Mei
Tammeka
Nõmme United
3
2
W
14.03.26
Mei
Tammeka
Kuressaare
2
3
L
08.03.26
Mei
Tammeka
Kalju Nomme
0
1
L
H2H: Nõmme United vs Tammeka
14.08.26
H2H
Nõmme United
Tammeka
0
1
L
15.05.26
H2H
Tammeka
Nõmme United
3
1
L
21.03.26
H2H
Nõmme United
Tammeka
2
3
L
31.01.26
H2H
Nõmme United
Tammeka
0
6
L
09.11.24
H2H
Nõmme United
Tammeka
1
2
L
11.08.24
H2H
Tammeka
Nõmme United
1
1
D
04.07.24
H2H
Tammeka
Nõmme United
2
1
L
05.04.24
H2H
Nõmme United
Tammeka
2
1
W
24.02.23
H2H
Tammeka
Nõmme United
0
0
D
Last matches: Nõmme United
31.07.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Trans Narva
1
2
L
11.07.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Kuressaare
3
2
W
03.07.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Kalju Nomme
1
3
L
17.06.26
Mei
Nõmme United
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
2
L
29.05.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Flora Tallinn
0
4
L
10.05.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Paide
2
3
L
25.04.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Kuressaare
2
1
W
18.04.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Laagri
1
2
L
11.04.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Trans Narva
5
1
W
21.03.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Tammeka
2
3
L
14.03.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Vaprus
7
1
W
14.02.26
Fri
Nõmme United
FC Tallinn
3
0
W
01.02.26
Fri
Nõmme United
FS Jelgava
1
4
L
31.01.26
Fri
Nõmme United
Tammeka
0
6
L
H2H at home: Nõmme United
14.08.26
H2H
Nõmme United
Tammeka
0
1
L
21.03.26
H2H
Nõmme United
Tammeka
2
3
L
31.01.26
H2H
Nõmme United
Tammeka
0
6
L
09.11.24
H2H
Nõmme United
Tammeka
1
2
L
05.04.24
H2H
Nõmme United
Tammeka
2
1
W
Last matches: Tammeka
02.08.26
Mei
Tammeka
Kalju Nomme
1
5
L
11.07.26
Mei
Tammeka
Vaprus
1
5
L
17.06.26
Mei
Tammeka
Kalju Nomme
2
1
W
01.05.26
Mei
Tammeka
Paide
1
0
W
25.04.26
Mei
Tammeka
Laagri
0
1
L
18.04.26
Mei
Tammeka
Vaprus
0
0
D
07.04.26
Mei
Tammeka
Trans Narva
0
3
L
21.03.26
Mei
Tammeka
Nõmme United
3
2
W
14.03.26
Mei
Tammeka
Kuressaare
2
3
L
27.02.26
Fri
Tammeka
Riga Mariners
1
1
D
08.02.26
Fri
Tammeka
FC Levadia Tallinn
2
4
L
31.01.26
Fri
Tammeka
Nõmme United
6
0
W
17.01.26
Fri
Tammeka
Trans Narva
2
1
W
H2H away: Tammeka
14.08.26
H2H
Nõmme United
Tammeka
0
1
W
21.03.26
H2H
Nõmme United
Tammeka
2
3
W
31.01.26
H2H
Nõmme United
Tammeka
0
6
W
09.11.24
H2H
Nõmme United
Tammeka
1
2
W
05.04.24
H2H
Nõmme United
Tammeka
2
1
L

Standings

Meistriliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 23 17 5 1 61:18 43 56
W W W D W
2 23 13 5 5 43:18 25 44
W W W D W
3 21 13 0 8 42:24 18 39
L W L W W
4 22 10 6 6 34:29 5 36
D W L W D
5 20 9 2 9 23:31 -8 29
W L L W W
6 22 8 3 11 30:42 -12 27
L D L W L
7 23 8 1 14 40:54 -14 25
L L L W W
8 23 8 1 14 33:40 -7 25
L L L W W
9 23 7 3 13 25:38 -13 24
W W L D L
10 24 5 2 17 18:55 -37 17
L D L W W
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga