ESTONIA MEISTRILIIGA
29.08.2026 11:30
Referee: M. Pukk
Nõmme United
Match Timeline
Laagri
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
16'
B. Chisala
Nõmme United
41'
K. Kriis
Laagri
🟨
42'
A. Binate
Laagri
51'
Z. Beglarishvili · Assist: B. Chisala
Nõmme United
🟨
56'
A. Alteberg
Nõmme United
🔄
58'
H. Palutaja ↔ Rudenko Daniil
Laagri
🔄
64'
H. Jarvelaid ↔ A. Torres
Nõmme United
🔄
65'
M. Kesa ↔ M. Kelement
Laagri
🔄
65'
K. Roomussaar ↔ I. Bah
Laagri
68'
K. Eerme · Assist: K. Laur
Laagri
🔄
69'
S. Geiger ↔ M. Palts
Nõmme United
🔄
79'
Y. Morishige ↔ O. Dacosta
Nõmme United
🔄
79'
K. Matas ↔ K. Laanelaid
Nõmme United
🔄
79'
B. Chisala ↔ M. Miil
Nõmme United
🔄
82'
A. Binate ↔ Y. E. Assale
Laagri

Nõmme United vs Laagri Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 55.6%
Odds 2.34
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds 1.40
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds 1.42
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
55.6%
2.34
BTTS Yes
78.8%
1.40
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
1.42
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.60
Correct Score 2-1
-
10.00
Probability Distribution
Nõmme United Win 55.6%
Draw 30.6%
Laagri Win 13.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Nõmme United1.81
Laagri1.96
Recent Form (Last 5)
Nõmme United Nõmme United
WWDLW
61 GF / 77 GA
Laagri Laagri
WLDWL
50 GF / 49 GA
Key Stats
1.97
Average Goals Scored
1.61
2.48
Average Goals Conceded
1.58
25
BTTS Yes
17
29
Over 2.5
21
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Nõmme United Nõmme United 31 matches
Laagri Laagri 31 matches
Nõmme United Statistic Laagri
12 Wins 13
2 Draws 3
17 Losses 15
61 Goals For 50
77 Goals Against 49
1.97 Avg Goals Scored 1.61
2.48 Avg Goals Conceded 1.58
25 BTTS Yes 17
30 Over 1.5 26
29 Over 2.5 21
20 Over 3.5 11
1 Clean Sheets 8
5 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Laagri. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Laagri having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Nõmme United Analysis

With 25 points from 23 games and a place of 7, Nõmme United still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 8 wins, 1 draws, and 14 defeats, and the 40:54 goal record continues to suggest mixed form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 0 draws, and 8 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Laagri Analysis

Laagri approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 8 with 25 points from 23 matches. Across the season they have posted 8 wins, 1 draws, and 14 defeats, and the 33:40 goal record continues to suggest mixed form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 3 wins, 0 draws, and 8 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Nõmme United won 4 times, Laagri won 5 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:20 from Nõmme United's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (86.1%)
Predicted formations: Nõmme United 3-4-1-2 / Laagri 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Nõmme United wins 4, draws 0, Laagri wins 5

Standings

Meistriliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 27 21 5 1 74:20 54 68
W W W W W
2 28 17 1 10 56:37 19 52
W D W W L
3 28 14 5 9 49:26 23 47
W L L L L
4 27 13 6 8 43:35 8 45
L W L W W
5 27 14 2 11 36:38 -2 44
W L W L W
6 28 11 1 16 40:47 -7 34
W L L W W
7 27 10 4 13 37:52 -15 34
L W W D L
8 28 9 1 18 46:65 -19 28
L W L L L
9 28 8 4 16 31:49 -18 28
L L W D L
10 28 5 3 20 21:64 -43 18
L D L L L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga