CROATIA HNL
19.09.2026 15:00
Stadion Varteks
Referee: Ante Čulina, Croatia
NK Varazdin
Match Timeline
NK Osijek
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
11'
J. Kruiver
NK Osijek
🟨
28'
G. Sikosek
NK Varazdin
🟨
35'
M. Heister
NK Osijek
VAR
42'
J. Jezic
NK Osijek
🔄
46'
L. Jelenic ↔ E. Hasic
NK Osijek
🔄
46'
A. Latkovic ↔ E. Uchegbu
NK Varazdin
🔄
46'
G. Sikosek ↔ E. Durakovic
NK Varazdin
🔄
63'
L. Tunjic ↔ N. Farkas
NK Osijek
🔄
63'
A. Ljatifi ↔ A. Cantero
NK Osijek
🟨
67'
N. Farkas
NK Osijek
🔄
67'
S. Juric ↔ V. Akrap
NK Varazdin
🔄
67'
I. Tavares ↔ T. Duvnjak
NK Varazdin
🔄
68'
J. Jezic ↔ B. Bakti
NK Osijek
🔄
84'
M. Mladenovski ↔ L. Skaricic
NK Varazdin

NK Varazdin vs NK Osijek Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 52.4%
Odds 2.00
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds 1.73
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.79
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
52.4%
2.00
BTTS Yes
62.8%
1.73
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.79
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.42
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.10
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50
Probability Distribution
NK Varazdin Win 52.4%
Draw 11%
NK Osijek Win 36.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
NK Varazdin1.83
NK Osijek1.56
Recent Form (Last 5)
NK Varazdin NK Varazdin
WWDLW
45 GF / 24 GA
NK Osijek NK Osijek
WLDWL
30 GF / 24 GA
Key Stats
2.05
Average Goals Scored
1.88
1.09
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
12
BTTS Yes
8
13
Over 2.5
11
3.44
Shots on Goal
6.29

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 22 matches
NK Osijek NK Osijek 16 matches
NK Varazdin Statistic NK Osijek
14 Wins 10
4 Draws 1
4 Losses 5
45 Goals For 30
24 Goals Against 24
2.05 Avg Goals Scored 1.88
1.09 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5
12 BTTS Yes 8
18 Over 1.5 14
13 Over 2.5 11
9 Over 3.5 7
8 Clean Sheets 6
4 Failed To Score 2
3.44 Shots On Goal 6.29
11.11 Total Shots 18.43
3.33 Corners 4.57
37.8% Ball Possession 53.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward NK Osijek. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with NK Varazdin expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and NK Osijek in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward NK Osijek having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

NK Varazdin Analysis

NK Varazdin come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 13 points after 6 matches. The return of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 1 defeats, together with goals at 11:5, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through I. Canjuga (2 goals), Ivan Mamut (2 goals), M. Mladenovski (2 goals), with creative support from I. Canjuga (2 assists), G. Sikošek (2 assists), Ivan Mamut (1 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

NK Osijek Analysis

NK Osijek come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 4 place with 12 points after 6 matches. With 4 wins, 0 draws, and 2 defeats plus a goal balance of 13:9, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by Nail Omerović (5 goals), A. León (3 goals), J. Jezic (2 goals), with creative support from Domagoj Bukvić (2 assists), L. Vrbancic (1 assists), Roko Jurišić (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, NK Varazdin won 5 times, NK Osijek won 3 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:13 from NK Varazdin's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 1.8 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89%)
Predicted formations: NK Varazdin 4-2-3-1 / NK Osijek 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: NK Varazdin wins 5, draws 7, NK Osijek wins 3

Standings

HNL
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 7 5 1 1 16:5 11 16
W W W W W
2 8 5 1 2 17:11 6 16
D W L W L
3 8 4 3 1 13:7 6 15
D D D W L
4 6 4 1 1 14:7 7 13
L W D W W
5 6 3 2 1 10:7 3 11
D W D W L
6 8 2 3 3 14:13 1 9
L W D D L
7 7 2 1 4 9:13 -4 7
D L L L L
8 8 2 1 5 7:16 -9 7
D L W L W
9 8 1 2 5 5:12 -7 5
W D L D L
10 8 1 1 6 10:24 -14 4
D L L L W
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Prva NL