CROATIA HNL
--.--.---- --:--
Gradski stadion Varazdin
Referee: A. Culina
NK Varazdin
Match Timeline
Istra 1961
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
12'
Novak Tepšić
NK Varazdin
🟨
13'
Filip Taraba
Istra 1961
14'
L. Mamic
NK Varazdin
🟨
25'
Raul Kumar
Istra 1961
VAR
36'
Novak Tepšić
NK Varazdin
🟨
37'
Josip Radošević
Istra 1961
38'
L. Mamic
NK Varazdin
🔄
46'
F. Taraba ↔ A. Kadusic
Istra 1961
🔄
46'
S. Gorican ↔ V. Rozic
Istra 1961
🔄
46'
J. Radosevic ↔ A. Mauric
Istra 1961
🟨
50'
Antonio Boršić
NK Varazdin
🔄
65'
A. Latkovic ↔ I. Tavares
NK Varazdin
🔄
65'
A. Borsic ↔ G. Sikosek
NK Varazdin
🔄
65'
D. Puclin ↔ M. Marina
NK Varazdin
🔄
67'
D. Ahmeti ↔ E. Frederiksen
Istra 1961
🔄
76'
L. Mamic ↔ S. Juric
NK Varazdin
🟨
77'
Tomislav Duvnjak
NK Varazdin
🔄
78'
A. Obando ↔ C. Agada
Istra 1961
🔄
90+1'
T. Duvnjak ↔ L. Posinkovic
NK Varazdin

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 70.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 45.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
70.2%
-
BTTS BTTS No
45.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.3%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
69.6%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
NK Varazdin Win 70.2%
Draw 0%
Istra 1961 Win 29.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
NK Varazdin1.31
Istra 19611.19
Recent Form (Last 5)
NK Varazdin NK Varazdin
WWDLW
47 GF / 49 GA
Istra 1961 Istra 1961
WLDWL
39 GF / 48 GA
Key Stats
1.27
Average Goals Scored
1.11
1.32
Average Goals Conceded
1.37
23
BTTS Yes
19
18
Over 2.5
18
3.46
Shots on Goal
3

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 37 matches
Istra 1961 Istra 1961 35 matches
NK Varazdin Statistic Istra 1961
15 Wins 12
9 Draws 7
13 Losses 16
47 Goals For 39
49 Goals Against 48
1.27 Avg Goals Scored 1.11
1.32 Avg Goals Conceded 1.37
23 BTTS Yes 19
31 Over 1.5 26
18 Over 2.5 18
10 Over 3.5 7
9 Clean Sheets 6
7 Failed To Score 12
3.46 Shots On Goal 3
10.32 Total Shots 10.09
3.38 Corners 4.09
42% Ball Possession 47.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Istra 1961. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with NK Varazdin expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Istra 1961 in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Istra 1961 having the stronger overall control.

NK Varazdin Analysis

NK Varazdin come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 3 with 51 points from 35 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 14 wins, 9 draws, and 12 losses, while the 45:46 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on I. Mamut (9 goals), A. Latkovic (8 goals), I. Tavares (6 goals), with creative support from A. Latkovic (6 assists), F. Maglica (6 assists), I. Mamut (4 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the record of 8 wins, 6 draws, and 3 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Istra 1961 Analysis

Placed 5 with 43 points from 35 outings, Istra 1961 continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 12 wins, 7 draws, and 16 losses with goals at 39:48 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by S. Prevljak (14 goals), S. Lawal (5 goals), E. Frederiksen (4 goals), with creative support from E. Frederiksen (6 assists), S. Loncar (6 assists), S. Prevljak (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, the record of 6 wins, 2 draws, and 9 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, NK Varazdin won 4 times, Istra 1961 won 6 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:16 from NK Varazdin's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 1.87 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: NK Varazdin 3-4-2-1 / Istra 1961 3-4-3
H2H summary: NK Varazdin wins 4, draws 5, Istra 1961 wins 6
Stats
NK Varazdin NK Varazdin
Istra 1961 Istra 1961
Shots on Goal
8
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
4
Shots off Goal
6
Blocked Shots
0
Blocked Shots
1
2 Corner Kicks 3
18 Fouls 11
1 Offsides 1
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Goal 4
4 Shots off Goal 6
0 Blocked Shots 1
7 Shots insidebox 8
5 Shots outsidebox 3
4 Goalkeeper Saves 5
318 Total passes 453
239 Passes accurate 379
2.91 expected_goals 0.38
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

NK Varazdin
Formation
Istra 1961
O. Zelenika
O. Zelenika
N. Tepsic
N. Tepsic
S. Lesjak
S. Lesjak
R. Puncec
R. Puncec
F. Maglica
F. Maglica
T. Duvnjak
T. Duvnjak
D. Puclin
D. Puclin
A. Borsic
A. Borsic
A. Latkovic
A. Latkovic
L. Mamic
⚽ 2
L. Mamic
I. Canjuga
I. Canjuga
J. Paus-Kunst
J. Paus-Kunst
F. Taraba
F. Taraba
R. Kumar
R. Kumar
S. Miettinen
S. Miettinen
R. Hrvatin
R. Hrvatin
J. Radosevic
J. Radosevic
S. Loncar
S. Loncar
N. Sepic
N. Sepic
D. Ahmeti
D. Ahmeti
A. Obando
A. Obando
S. Gorican
S. Gorican
NK Varazdin 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
1
O. Zelenika
G
16
N. Tepsic
D
5
S. Lesjak
D
14
R. Puncec
D
23
F. Maglica
M
8
T. Duvnjak
↓ 90+1' 🟨 77'
M
6
D. Puclin
↓ 65'
M
25
A. Borsic
↓ 65' 🟨 50'
M
10
A. Latkovic
↓ 65'
F
22
L. Mamic
⚽ 14' ⚽ 38' ↓ 76'
F
28
I. Canjuga
F
Substitutes
33
J. Silic
G
12
P. Bockaj
D
13
M. Mladenovski
D
38
I. Tavares
↑ 65'
F
18
Paizinho
F
44
M. Barac
D
20
G. Sikosek
↑ 65'
D
17
I. Mamut
F
9
S. Juric
↑ 76'
F
24
M. Marina
↑ 65'
M
30
L. Posinkovic
↑ 90+1'
D
Istra 1961 3-4-3
Starting XI
40
J. Paus-Kunst
G
24
F. Taraba
↓ 46' 🟨 13'
D
38
R. Kumar
🟨 25'
D
16
S. Miettinen
D
44
R. Hrvatin
M
5
J. Radosevic
↓ 46' 🟨 37'
M
10
S. Loncar
M
13
N. Sepic
M
20
D. Ahmeti
↓ 67'
F
29
A. Obando
↓ 78'
F
11
S. Gorican
↓ 46'
F
Substitutes
1
F. Kolic
G
12
R. Banovac
G
17
E. Frederiksen
↑ 67'
F
15
E. Sama
F
23
L. Stulac
M
97
A. Kadusic
↑ 46'
D
7
V. Rozic
↑ 46'
F
8
A. Mauric
↑ 46'
M
25
G. Albarracin
M
77
C. Agada
↑ 78'
F
18
I. Ayuma
M
Last matches: NK Varazdin
23.07.26
UEF
NK Varazdin
FK Jablonec
3
2
W
16.07.26
Fri
NK Varazdin
Beltinci
2
0
W
16.07.26
Fri
NK Varazdin
Kustosija
3
1
W
12.07.26
Fri
NK Varazdin
Bihor Oradea
3
1
W
10.07.26
Fri
NK Varazdin
Radomlje
1
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
NK Varazdin
CSKA 1948
1
0
W
02.07.26
Fri
NK Varazdin
FC Voluntari
2
1
W
27.06.26
Fri
NK Varazdin
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
1
2
L
15.05.26
HNL
NK Varazdin
Vukovar
2
0
W
09.05.26
HNL
NK Varazdin
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
1
1
D
03.05.26
HNL
NK Varazdin
HNK Hajduk Split
1
3
L
26.04.26
HNL
NK Varazdin
Dinamo Zagreb
1
2
L
22.04.26
HNL
NK Varazdin
HNK Rijeka
1
0
W
17.04.26
HNL
NK Varazdin
NK Osijek
2
0
W
12.04.26
HNL
NK Varazdin
NK Slaven Belupo
2
1
W
03.04.26
HNL
NK Varazdin
HNK Gorica
1
1
D
20.03.26
HNL
NK Varazdin
Istra 1961
1
2
L
13.03.26
HNL
NK Varazdin
Vukovar
2
0
W
07.03.26
HNL
NK Varazdin
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
1
1
D
28.02.26
HNL
NK Varazdin
HNK Hajduk Split
1
1
D
Last matches: Istra 1961
18.07.26
Fri
Istra 1961
Udinese
2
2
D
17.07.26
Fri
Istra 1961
Milton Keynes Dons
2
1
W
11.07.26
Fri
Istra 1961
Celje
1
1
D
08.07.26
Fri
Istra 1961
Uta Arad
2
2
D
03.07.26
Fri
Istra 1961
Opatija
3
0
W
17.05.26
HNL
Istra 1961
HNK Rijeka
0
0
D
10.05.26
HNL
Istra 1961
NK Osijek
1
0
W
04.05.26
HNL
Istra 1961
NK Slaven Belupo
3
1
W
27.04.26
HNL
Istra 1961
HNK Gorica
0
1
L
22.04.26
HNL
Istra 1961
Dinamo Zagreb
0
2
L
18.04.26
HNL
Istra 1961
Vukovar
1
2
L
11.04.26
HNL
Istra 1961
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
0
2
L
07.04.26
HNL
Istra 1961
HNK Hajduk Split
1
3
L
20.03.26
HNL
Istra 1961
NK Varazdin
2
1
W
15.03.26
HNL
Istra 1961
HNK Rijeka
2
0
W
06.03.26
HNL
Istra 1961
NK Osijek
0
1
L
27.02.26
HNL
Istra 1961
NK Slaven Belupo
0
1
L
21.02.26
HNL
Istra 1961
HNK Gorica
0
2
L
14.02.26
HNL
Istra 1961
Dinamo Zagreb
0
4
L
07.02.26
HNL
Istra 1961
Vukovar
2
3
L
H2H: NK Varazdin vs Istra 1961
23.05.26
H2H
NK Varazdin
Istra 1961
2
0
W
20.03.26
H2H
Istra 1961
NK Varazdin
2
1
L
19.12.25
H2H
NK Varazdin
Istra 1961
1
3
L
03.10.25
H2H
Istra 1961
NK Varazdin
1
0
L
11.05.25
H2H
Istra 1961
NK Varazdin
0
0
D
08.03.25
H2H
NK Varazdin
Istra 1961
0
0
D
07.12.24
H2H
Istra 1961
NK Varazdin
0
0
D
20.09.24
H2H
NK Varazdin
Istra 1961
1
0
W
17.05.24
H2H
Istra 1961
NK Varazdin
2
0
L
08.03.24
H2H
NK Varazdin
Istra 1961
2
2
D
05.12.23
H2H
NK Varazdin
Istra 1961
3
2
W
01.12.23
H2H
Istra 1961
NK Varazdin
2
0
L
17.09.23
H2H
NK Varazdin
Istra 1961
1
0
W
16.04.23
H2H
NK Varazdin
Istra 1961
0
0
D
03.02.23
H2H
Istra 1961
NK Varazdin
2
1
L
Last matches: NK Varazdin
23.07.26
UEF
NK Varazdin
FK Jablonec
3
2
W
16.07.26
Fri
NK Varazdin
Beltinci
2
0
W
16.07.26
Fri
NK Varazdin
Kustosija
3
1
W
04.07.26
Fri
NK Varazdin
CSKA 1948
1
0
W
02.07.26
Fri
NK Varazdin
FC Voluntari
2
1
W
09.05.26
HNL
NK Varazdin
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
1
1
D
22.04.26
HNL
NK Varazdin
HNK Rijeka
1
0
W
12.04.26
HNL
NK Varazdin
NK Slaven Belupo
2
1
W
03.04.26
HNL
NK Varazdin
HNK Gorica
1
1
D
13.03.26
HNL
NK Varazdin
Vukovar
2
0
W
28.02.26
HNL
NK Varazdin
HNK Hajduk Split
1
1
D
22.02.26
HNL
NK Varazdin
Dinamo Zagreb
0
4
L
08.02.26
HNL
NK Varazdin
NK Osijek
2
1
W
04.02.26
Fri
NK Varazdin
Kustosija
1
1
D
14.01.26
Fri
NK Varazdin
Kairat Almaty
0
0
D
10.01.26
Fri
NK Varazdin
Sesvete
7
2
W
19.12.25
HNL
NK Varazdin
Istra 1961
1
3
L
07.12.25
HNL
NK Varazdin
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
4
2
W
09.11.25
HNL
NK Varazdin
HNK Rijeka
1
0
W
25.10.25
HNL
NK Varazdin
NK Slaven Belupo
1
3
L
H2H at home: NK Varazdin
23.05.26
H2H
NK Varazdin
Istra 1961
2
0
W
19.12.25
H2H
NK Varazdin
Istra 1961
1
3
L
08.03.25
H2H
NK Varazdin
Istra 1961
0
0
D
20.09.24
H2H
NK Varazdin
Istra 1961
1
0
W
08.03.24
H2H
NK Varazdin
Istra 1961
2
2
D
05.12.23
H2H
NK Varazdin
Istra 1961
3
2
W
17.09.23
H2H
NK Varazdin
Istra 1961
1
0
W
16.04.23
H2H
NK Varazdin
Istra 1961
0
0
D
Last matches: Istra 1961
18.07.26
Fri
Istra 1961
Udinese
2
2
D
11.07.26
Fri
Istra 1961
Celje
1
1
D
10.05.26
HNL
Istra 1961
NK Osijek
1
0
W
27.04.26
HNL
Istra 1961
HNK Gorica
0
1
L
11.04.26
HNL
Istra 1961
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
0
2
L
15.03.26
HNL
Istra 1961
HNK Rijeka
2
0
W
27.02.26
HNL
Istra 1961
NK Slaven Belupo
0
1
L
14.02.26
HNL
Istra 1961
Dinamo Zagreb
0
4
L
07.02.26
HNL
Istra 1961
Vukovar
2
3
L
25.01.26
HNL
Istra 1961
HNK Hajduk Split
2
1
W
19.12.25
HNL
Istra 1961
NK Varazdin
3
1
W
07.12.25
HNL
Istra 1961
NK Osijek
5
1
W
23.11.25
HNL
Istra 1961
HNK Gorica
0
1
L
25.10.25
HNL
Istra 1961
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
2
1
W
27.09.25
HNL
Istra 1961
HNK Rijeka
0
0
D
12.09.25
HNL
Istra 1961
NK Slaven Belupo
1
2
L
23.08.25
HNL
Istra 1961
Dinamo Zagreb
0
3
L
15.08.25
HNL
Istra 1961
Vukovar
1
1
D
03.08.25
HNL
Istra 1961
HNK Hajduk Split
1
2
L
H2H away: Istra 1961
23.05.26
H2H
NK Varazdin
Istra 1961
2
0
L
19.12.25
H2H
NK Varazdin
Istra 1961
1
3
W
08.03.25
H2H
NK Varazdin
Istra 1961
0
0
D
20.09.24
H2H
NK Varazdin
Istra 1961
1
0
L
08.03.24
H2H
NK Varazdin
Istra 1961
2
2
D
05.12.23
H2H
NK Varazdin
Istra 1961
3
2
L
17.09.23
H2H
NK Varazdin
Istra 1961
1
0
L
16.04.23
H2H
NK Varazdin
Istra 1961
0
0
D

Standings

HNL
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 36 27 5 4 93:28 65 86
D W W W W
2 36 20 8 8 61:36 25 68
W D L W D
3 36 15 9 12 47:46 1 54
W W D L L
4 36 14 11 11 49:36 13 53
W D W W D
5 36 10 14 12 40:52 -12 44
D D D L D
6 36 12 7 17 39:50 -11 43
L D W W L
7 36 10 11 15 46:61 -15 41
L L W L D
8 36 11 8 17 40:48 -8 41
L W L L W
9 36 8 11 17 27:49 -22 35
W L L L D
10 36 6 10 20 37:73 -36 28
L L L W D
Champions League Qualification
UEFA Europa League Qualification
Conference League Qualification
Relegation