CROATIA HNL
--.--.---- --:--
Opus Arena
Referee: I. Pajac
NK Osijek
Match Timeline
Istra 1961
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
13'
Ivan Barić
NK Osijek
🟨
16'
Ivano Kolarik
NK Osijek
45'
S. Prevljak · Assist: E. Frederiksen
Istra 1961
🔄
46'
M. Jovicic ↔ D. Bukvic
NK Osijek
🔄
46'
I. Kolarik ↔ L. Vrbancic
NK Osijek
🔄
46'
N. Farkas ↔ E. Hasic
NK Osijek
🔄
60'
E. Frederiksen ↔ D. Ahmeti
Istra 1961
🔄
60'
R. Hrvatin ↔ A. Kadusic
Istra 1961
🟨
61'
Arnel Jakupović
NK Osijek
🔄
61'
I. Baric ↔ A. Jakupovic
NK Osijek
🟨
67'
Borna Barišić
NK Osijek
🔄
70'
B. Barisic ↔ S. Akere
NK Osijek
🔄
72'
V. Rozic ↔ A. Mauric
Istra 1961
🟨
74'
Dukan Ahmeti
Istra 1961
🟨
75'
Samuli Miettinen
Istra 1961
🔄
84'
M. Heister ↔ N. Sepic
Istra 1961
🟨
88'
Antonio Maurić
Istra 1961
🟨
90+2'
Raul Kumar
Istra 1961

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 37%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 68.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 77.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
37%
-
BTTS BTTS No
68.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
77.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
NK Osijek Win 37%
Draw 29.6%
Istra 1961 Win 33.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
NK Osijek1.04
Istra 19611.25
Recent Form (Last 5)
NK Osijek NK Osijek
WWDLW
25 GF / 46 GA
Istra 1961 Istra 1961
WLDWL
38 GF / 48 GA
Key Stats
0.76
Average Goals Scored
1.15
1.39
Average Goals Conceded
1.45
11
BTTS Yes
19
11
Over 2.5
18
3.21
Shots on Goal
3.03

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

NK Osijek NK Osijek 33 matches
Istra 1961 Istra 1961 33 matches
NK Osijek Statistic Istra 1961
7 Wins 11
11 Draws 6
15 Losses 16
25 Goals For 38
46 Goals Against 48
0.76 Avg Goals Scored 1.15
1.39 Avg Goals Conceded 1.45
11 BTTS Yes 19
21 Over 1.5 26
11 Over 2.5 18
6 Over 3.5 7
14 Clean Sheets 4
15 Failed To Score 11
3.21 Shots On Goal 3.03
11.45 Total Shots 9.97
4.48 Corners 4
47.1% Ball Possession 47.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Istra 1961 arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Istra 1961.

NK Osijek Analysis

So far, NK Osijek have built a campaign that leaves them 9 in the table on 32 points from 33 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 11 draws, and 15 losses, while the 25:46 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Nail Omerović (8 goals), A. Jakupovic (3 goals), L. Jelenic (3 goals), with creative support from D. Colina (3 assists), S. Mikolcic (2 assists), Roko Jurišić (2 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 7 draws, and 6 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Istra 1961 Analysis

Istra 1961 approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 6 with 39 points from 33 matches. Their record of 11 wins, 6 draws, and 16 losses, together with goals at 38:48, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through S. Prevljak (13 goals), S. Lawal (5 goals), E. Frederiksen (4 goals), with creative support from S. Loncar (6 assists), E. Frederiksen (5 assists), S. Prevljak (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 9 losses points to a weak split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, NK Osijek won 4 times, Istra 1961 won 8 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:24 from NK Osijek's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (70.4%)
Predicted formations: NK Osijek 4-2-3-1 / Istra 1961 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: NK Osijek wins 4, draws 3, Istra 1961 wins 8
Stats
NK Osijek NK Osijek
Istra 1961 Istra 1961
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
5
Shots off Goal
7
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
3
1 Corner Kicks 4
10 Fouls 12
0 Offsides 1
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Goal 3
5 Shots off Goal 7
2 Blocked Shots 3
3 Shots insidebox 7
8 Shots outsidebox 6
2 Goalkeeper Saves 4
502 Total passes 377
417 Passes accurate 292
0.53 expected_goals 0.67
🟨 4 Yellow Cards 4 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

NK Osijek
Formation
Istra 1961
N. Curcija
N. Curcija
I. Kolarik
I. Kolarik
L. Jelenic
L. Jelenic
B. Barisic
B. Barisic
M. Jovicic
M. Jovicic
V. Bubanja
V. Bubanja
O. Petrusenko
O. Petrusenko
R. Jurisic
R. Jurisic
N. Farkas
N. Farkas
I. Baric
I. Baric
N. Omerovic
N. Omerovic
F. Kolic
F. Kolic
F. Taraba
F. Taraba
R. Kumar
R. Kumar
S. Miettinen
S. Miettinen
R. Hrvatin
R. Hrvatin
J. Radosevic
J. Radosevic
S. Loncar
S. Loncar
M. Heister
M. Heister
E. Frederiksen
🎯
E. Frederiksen
S. Prevljak
S. Prevljak
V. Rozic
V. Rozic
NK Osijek 3-4-1-2
Starting XI
1
N. Curcija
G
49
I. Kolarik
↓ 46' 🟨 16'
D
26
L. Jelenic
D
3
B. Barisic
↓ 70' 🟨 67'
D
98
M. Jovicic
↓ 46'
M
21
V. Bubanja
F
16
O. Petrusenko
M
22
R. Jurisic
M
18
N. Farkas
↓ 46'
M
46
I. Baric
↓ 61' 🟨 13'
F
11
N. Omerovic
F
Substitutes
12
M. Grahovac
G
31
M. Malenica
G
17
A. Jakupovic
↑ 61' 🟨 61'
F
38
D. Colina
D
5
J. Mersinaj
D
39
D. Bukvic
↑ 46'
F
23
L. Vrbancic
↑ 46'
M
29
F. Karacic
D
33
E. Hasic
↑ 46'
D
57
S. Akere
↑ 70'
M
48
J. Jezic
M
Istra 1961 3-4-3
Starting XI
1
F. Kolic
G
24
F. Taraba
D
38
R. Kumar
🟨 90+2'
D
16
S. Miettinen
🟨 75'
D
44
R. Hrvatin
↓ 60'
M
5
J. Radosevic
M
10
S. Loncar
M
26
M. Heister
↓ 84'
M
17
E. Frederiksen
🎯 45' ↓ 60'
F
9
S. Prevljak
⚽ 45'
F
7
V. Rozic
↓ 72'
F
Substitutes
40
J. Paus-Kunst
G
29
A. Obando
F
13
N. Sepic
↑ 84'
D
20
D. Ahmeti
↑ 60' 🟨 74'
M
23
L. Stulac
M
97
A. Kadusic
↑ 60'
D
11
S. Gorican
F
8
A. Mauric
↑ 72' 🟨 88'
M
25
G. Albarracin
M
77
C. Agada
F
18
I. Ayuma
M
66
M. Momoh
D
Last matches: NK Osijek
22.07.26
Fri
NK Osijek
HNK Cibalia
3
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
NK Osijek
Budapest Honved
2
1
W
13.07.26
Fri
NK Osijek
Neftchi Baku
1
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
NK Osijek
Paks
0
4
L
22.05.26
HNL
NK Osijek
NK Slaven Belupo
2
0
W
16.05.26
HNL
NK Osijek
HNK Gorica
0
2
L
02.05.26
HNL
NK Osijek
Vukovar
0
1
L
25.04.26
HNL
NK Osijek
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
0
0
D
21.04.26
HNL
NK Osijek
HNK Hajduk Split
1
0
W
17.04.26
HNL
NK Osijek
NK Varazdin
0
2
L
12.04.26
HNL
NK Osijek
HNK Rijeka
2
0
W
04.04.26
HNL
NK Osijek
Dinamo Zagreb
0
7
L
22.03.26
HNL
NK Osijek
NK Slaven Belupo
0
0
D
14.03.26
HNL
NK Osijek
HNK Gorica
0
0
D
06.03.26
HNL
NK Osijek
Istra 1961
1
0
W
28.02.26
HNL
NK Osijek
Vukovar
2
0
W
21.02.26
HNL
NK Osijek
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
1
3
L
15.02.26
HNL
NK Osijek
HNK Hajduk Split
0
2
L
08.02.26
HNL
NK Osijek
NK Varazdin
1
2
L
01.02.26
HNL
NK Osijek
HNK Rijeka
1
0
W
Last matches: Istra 1961
25.07.26
Fri
Istra 1961
Lecce
2
2
D
18.07.26
Fri
Istra 1961
Udinese
2
2
D
17.07.26
Fri
Istra 1961
Milton Keynes Dons
2
1
W
11.07.26
Fri
Istra 1961
Celje
1
1
D
08.07.26
Fri
Istra 1961
Uta Arad
2
2
D
03.07.26
Fri
Istra 1961
Opatija
3
0
W
23.05.26
HNL
Istra 1961
NK Varazdin
0
2
L
17.05.26
HNL
Istra 1961
HNK Rijeka
0
0
D
04.05.26
HNL
Istra 1961
NK Slaven Belupo
3
1
W
27.04.26
HNL
Istra 1961
HNK Gorica
0
1
L
22.04.26
HNL
Istra 1961
Dinamo Zagreb
0
2
L
18.04.26
HNL
Istra 1961
Vukovar
1
2
L
11.04.26
HNL
Istra 1961
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
0
2
L
07.04.26
HNL
Istra 1961
HNK Hajduk Split
1
3
L
20.03.26
HNL
Istra 1961
NK Varazdin
2
1
W
15.03.26
HNL
Istra 1961
HNK Rijeka
2
0
W
06.03.26
HNL
Istra 1961
NK Osijek
0
1
L
27.02.26
HNL
Istra 1961
NK Slaven Belupo
0
1
L
21.02.26
HNL
Istra 1961
HNK Gorica
0
2
L
14.02.26
HNL
Istra 1961
Dinamo Zagreb
0
4
L
H2H: NK Osijek vs Istra 1961
10.05.26
H2H
NK Osijek
Istra 1961
0
1
L
06.03.26
H2H
Istra 1961
NK Osijek
0
1
W
07.12.25
H2H
NK Osijek
Istra 1961
1
5
L
21.09.25
H2H
Istra 1961
NK Osijek
2
1
L
25.05.25
H2H
NK Osijek
Istra 1961
1
1
D
29.03.25
H2H
Istra 1961
NK Osijek
2
1
L
20.12.24
H2H
NK Osijek
Istra 1961
2
2
D
04.10.24
H2H
Istra 1961
NK Osijek
2
1
L
20.04.24
H2H
NK Osijek
Istra 1961
1
2
L
10.02.24
H2H
Istra 1961
NK Osijek
1
0
L
28.10.23
H2H
NK Osijek
Istra 1961
3
1
W
13.08.23
H2H
Istra 1961
NK Osijek
4
4
D
26.04.23
H2H
NK Osijek
Istra 1961
1
0
W
18.02.23
H2H
Istra 1961
NK Osijek
1
0
L
15.10.22
H2H
NK Osijek
Istra 1961
2
0
W
Last matches: NK Osijek
22.07.26
Fri
NK Osijek
HNK Cibalia
3
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
NK Osijek
Budapest Honved
2
1
W
04.07.26
Fri
NK Osijek
Paks
0
4
L
22.05.26
HNL
NK Osijek
NK Slaven Belupo
2
0
W
25.04.26
HNL
NK Osijek
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
0
0
D
17.04.26
HNL
NK Osijek
NK Varazdin
0
2
L
14.03.26
HNL
NK Osijek
HNK Gorica
0
0
D
28.02.26
HNL
NK Osijek
Vukovar
2
0
W
15.02.26
HNL
NK Osijek
HNK Hajduk Split
0
2
L
01.02.26
HNL
NK Osijek
HNK Rijeka
1
0
W
25.01.26
HNL
NK Osijek
Dinamo Zagreb
0
3
L
16.01.26
Fri
NK Osijek
Sumqayıt
2
0
W
16.01.26
Fri
NK Osijek
Qarabag
1
3
L
20.12.25
HNL
NK Osijek
NK Slaven Belupo
0
0
D
13.12.25
HNL
NK Osijek
HNK Gorica
1
1
D
07.12.25
HNL
NK Osijek
Istra 1961
1
5
L
23.11.25
HNL
NK Osijek
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
1
1
D
02.11.25
HNL
NK Osijek
NK Varazdin
0
0
D
14.09.25
HNL
NK Osijek
Vukovar
4
0
W
24.08.25
HNL
NK Osijek
HNK Hajduk Split
0
2
L
H2H at home: NK Osijek
10.05.26
H2H
NK Osijek
Istra 1961
0
1
L
07.12.25
H2H
NK Osijek
Istra 1961
1
5
L
25.05.25
H2H
NK Osijek
Istra 1961
1
1
D
20.12.24
H2H
NK Osijek
Istra 1961
2
2
D
20.04.24
H2H
NK Osijek
Istra 1961
1
2
L
28.10.23
H2H
NK Osijek
Istra 1961
3
1
W
26.04.23
H2H
NK Osijek
Istra 1961
1
0
W
15.10.22
H2H
NK Osijek
Istra 1961
2
0
W
Last matches: Istra 1961
25.07.26
Fri
Istra 1961
Lecce
2
2
D
18.07.26
Fri
Istra 1961
Udinese
2
2
D
11.07.26
Fri
Istra 1961
Celje
1
1
D
23.05.26
HNL
Istra 1961
NK Varazdin
0
2
L
27.04.26
HNL
Istra 1961
HNK Gorica
0
1
L
11.04.26
HNL
Istra 1961
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
0
2
L
15.03.26
HNL
Istra 1961
HNK Rijeka
2
0
W
27.02.26
HNL
Istra 1961
NK Slaven Belupo
0
1
L
14.02.26
HNL
Istra 1961
Dinamo Zagreb
0
4
L
07.02.26
HNL
Istra 1961
Vukovar
2
3
L
25.01.26
HNL
Istra 1961
HNK Hajduk Split
2
1
W
19.12.25
HNL
Istra 1961
NK Varazdin
3
1
W
07.12.25
HNL
Istra 1961
NK Osijek
5
1
W
23.11.25
HNL
Istra 1961
HNK Gorica
0
1
L
25.10.25
HNL
Istra 1961
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
2
1
W
27.09.25
HNL
Istra 1961
HNK Rijeka
0
0
D
12.09.25
HNL
Istra 1961
NK Slaven Belupo
1
2
L
23.08.25
HNL
Istra 1961
Dinamo Zagreb
0
3
L
15.08.25
HNL
Istra 1961
Vukovar
1
1
D
03.08.25
HNL
Istra 1961
HNK Hajduk Split
1
2
L
H2H away: Istra 1961
10.05.26
H2H
NK Osijek
Istra 1961
0
1
W
07.12.25
H2H
NK Osijek
Istra 1961
1
5
W
25.05.25
H2H
NK Osijek
Istra 1961
1
1
D
20.12.24
H2H
NK Osijek
Istra 1961
2
2
D
20.04.24
H2H
NK Osijek
Istra 1961
1
2
W
28.10.23
H2H
NK Osijek
Istra 1961
3
1
L
26.04.23
H2H
NK Osijek
Istra 1961
1
0
L
15.10.22
H2H
NK Osijek
Istra 1961
2
0
L

Standings

HNL
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 36 27 5 4 93:28 65 86
D W W W W
2 36 20 8 8 61:36 25 68
W D L W D
3 36 15 9 12 47:46 1 54
W W D L L
4 36 14 11 11 49:36 13 53
W D W W D
5 36 10 14 12 40:52 -12 44
D D D L D
6 36 12 7 17 39:50 -11 43
L D W W L
7 36 10 11 15 46:61 -15 41
L L W L D
8 36 11 8 17 40:48 -8 41
L W L L W
9 36 8 11 17 27:49 -22 35
W L L L D
10 36 6 10 20 37:73 -36 28
L L L W D
Champions League Qualification
UEFA Europa League Qualification
Conference League Qualification
Relegation