CROATIA › HNL
21.04.2026 14:00
Stadion Maksimir
Referee: I. Vukancic
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Match Timeline
NK Slaven Belupo
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
32'
L. Crepulja
NK Slaven Belupo
⚽
34'
M. Susak · Assist: M. Pajac
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
🟨
36'
Mirko Sušak
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
🔄
46'
I. Lepinjica ↔ L. Bosnjak
NK Slaven Belupo
🔄
57'
I. Sabra ↔ A. Stojakovic
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
🔄
72'
M. Susak ↔ D. Vukovic
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
⚽
84'
B. Boskovic · Assist: M. Vesovic
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
🔄
85'
M. Dabro ↔ I. Bozic
NK Slaven Belupo
🔄
88'
D. Kovacic ↔ M. Ascic
NK Slaven Belupo
🔄
90+2'
J. Vasilj ↔ P. Smiljanic
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
🔄
90+2'
L. Belcar ↔ T. Kralevski
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
🔄
90+2'
M. Subotic ↔ M. Lorber
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs NK Slaven Belupo Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 64.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 77.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
64.4%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
77.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
- ▥
Probability Distribution
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb Win 64.4%
Draw 13.6%
NK Slaven Belupo Win 22%
Expected Goals (xG)
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb1.36
NK Slaven Belupo1.41
Recent Form (Last 5)
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
WWDLW
36 GF / 46 GA
NK Slaven Belupo NK Slaven Belupo
WLDWL
40 GF / 48 GA
Key Stats
1.2
Average Goals Scored
1.33
1.53
Average Goals Conceded
1.6
20
BTTS Yes
20
13
Over 2.5
18
3.43
Shots on Goal
3.8

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 30 matches
NK Slaven Belupo NK Slaven Belupo 30 matches
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb Statistic NK Slaven Belupo
9 Wins 9
10 Draws 10
11 Losses 11
36 Goals For 40
46 Goals Against 48
1.2 Avg Goals Scored 1.33
1.53 Avg Goals Conceded 1.6
20 BTTS Yes 20
28 Over 1.5 26
13 Over 2.5 18
7 Over 3.5 10
5 Clean Sheets 5
5 Failed To Score 8
3.43 Shots On Goal 3.8
10.47 Total Shots 11.9
4.43 Corners 3.6
50.4% Ball Possession 47.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with NK Lokomotiva Zagreb expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and NK Slaven Belupo in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward NK Slaven Belupo having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. NK Slaven Belupo arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward NK Slaven Belupo. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb Analysis

So far, NK Lokomotiva Zagreb have built a campaign that leaves them 6 in the table on 37 points from 30 matches. The record of 9 wins, 10 draws, and 11 defeats, together with a -:- goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through A. Stojakovic (9 goals), Marko Pajač (6 goals), D. Vukovic (3 goals), with creative support from Marko Pajač (4 assists), M. Vesovic (3 assists), A. Stojakovic (2 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have returned - wins, - draws, and - losses, a split that suggests an unclear split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a balanced approach.

NK Slaven Belupo Analysis

NK Slaven Belupo sit 5 with 37 points after 30 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 9 wins, 10 draws, and 11 defeats with a -:- goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on A. Jagusic (7 goals), Josip Mitrović (7 goals), I. Nestorovski (6 goals), with creative support from Ante Šuto (5 assists), A. Jagusic (4 assists), L. Crepulja (4 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of - wins, - draws, and - losses points to an unclear split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests a balanced approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, NK Lokomotiva Zagreb won 6 times, NK Slaven Belupo won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:21 from NK Lokomotiva Zagreb's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.4%)
Predicted formations: NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 4-2-3-1 / NK Slaven Belupo 4-3-3
H2H summary: NK Lokomotiva Zagreb wins 6, draws 4, NK Slaven Belupo wins 5

Standings

HNL
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 36 27 5 4 93:28 65 86
D W W W W
2 36 20 8 8 61:36 25 68
W D L W D
3 36 15 9 12 47:46 1 54
W W D L L
4 36 14 11 11 49:36 13 53
W D W W D
5 36 10 14 12 40:52 -12 44
D D D L D
6 36 12 7 17 39:50 -11 43
L D W W L
7 36 10 11 15 46:61 -15 41
L L W L D
8 36 11 8 17 40:48 -8 41
L W L L W
9 36 8 11 17 27:49 -22 35
W L L L D
10 36 6 10 20 37:73 -36 28
L L L W D
Champions League Qualification
UEFA Europa League Qualification
Conference League Qualification
Relegation