BELARUS › 1. DIVISION
23.05.2026 13:00
City Stadium
Niva
Match Timeline
Smorgon
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
24'
A. Fazylov
Smorgon
🟨
32'
M. Dukso
Smorgon
🟨
35'
V. Dybin
Niva
⚽
41'
K. Elagin
Niva
⚽
57'
D. Fedortsov · Assist: D. Sibilev
Niva
🟨
59'
M. Autko
Smorgon
🔄
65'
D. Kovalev ↔ D. Khalimonchikov
Smorgon
🔄
65'
J. Nsangou ↔ A. Devyaten
Smorgon
🔄
67'
P. Pampukha ↔ D. Galuza
Niva
🔄
74'
V. Kovalevich ↔ I. Sivkov
Smorgon
🔄
74'
M. Dukso ↔ A. Stankevich
Smorgon
🔄
76'
V. Dybin ↔ A. Voronovich
Niva
🔄
84'
D. Sibilev ↔ V. Skomarovskiy
Niva
🔄
84'
A. Kuratnik ↔ E. Mashagin
Niva
⚽
87'
A. Voronovich
Niva

Niva vs Smorgon Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 85.1%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 26%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 30.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
85.1%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
26%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
30.4%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Niva Win 51.2%
Draw 14.9%
Smorgon Win 33.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Niva1.58
Smorgon1.33
Recent Form (Last 5)
Niva Niva
WWDLW
16 GF / 21 GA
Smorgon Smorgon
WLDWL
9 GF / 17 GA
Key Stats
1.6
Average Goals Scored
0.82
2.1
Average Goals Conceded
1.55
8
BTTS Yes
5
8
Over 2.5
4
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Niva Niva 10 matches
Smorgon Smorgon 11 matches
Niva Statistic Smorgon
4 Wins 2
2 Draws 4
4 Losses 5
16 Goals For 9
21 Goals Against 17
1.6 Avg Goals Scored 0.82
2.1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.55
8 BTTS Yes 5
9 Over 1.5 7
8 Over 2.5 4
5 Over 3.5 3
1 Clean Sheets 3
1 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Niva's more proactive style and Smorgon's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Smorgon. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Smorgon having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Niva arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 9 with 10 points compared to Smorgon in 17 on 3, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Smorgon arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.

Niva Analysis

So far, Niva have built a campaign that leaves them 9 in the table on 10 points from 7 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 3 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, while the 13:12 goal ratio supports the view of good form and are on a winning streak. Going forward they rely heavily on D. Fedortsov (5 goals), P. Pampukha (3 goals), I. Monich (2 goals), with creative support from D. Fedortsov (2 assists), D. Galuza (2 assists), I. Monich (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Smorgon Analysis

With 3 points from 7 games and a place of 17, Smorgon still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 0 wins, 3 draws, and 4 defeats, and the 3:11 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on A. Devyaten (1 goals), V. Kovalevich (1 goals), V. Myzgin (1 goals), with creative support from M. Dukso (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Niva won 1 times, Smorgon won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:0 from Niva's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.1%)
H2H summary: Niva wins 1, draws 0, Smorgon wins 0

Standings

1. Division
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Niva Home
25 16 3 6 63:31 32 51
L W W W L
2 25 15 6 4 48:24 24 51
W W D W D
3 26 16 3 7 49:43 6 51
W L W W W
4 25 14 5 6 48:30 18 47
W L W W L
5 26 14 4 8 48:31 17 46
W W D W L
6 25 14 3 8 44:36 8 45
W D W W W
7 25 11 4 10 47:37 10 37
W L L L W
8 25 10 6 9 49:43 6 36
W W D L L
9 25 10 5 10 42:37 5 35
W D L W W
10 25 10 4 11 40:44 -4 34
L L W L L
11 25 8 9 8 35:37 -2 33
L W W W W
12 26 8 6 12 31:36 -5 30
L W W D L
13 25 9 3 13 36:46 -10 30
D L L L D
14 25 7 5 13 27:46 -19 26
L D L W L
15 25 6 7 12 24:34 -10 25
L L D L W
16 25 5 6 14 33:48 -15 21
L L L D L
17 26 5 6 15 35:60 -25 21
L L W L D
18 25 5 3 17 26:62 -36 18
D L L L W