BELARUS 1. DIVISION
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City Stadium

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 54.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
54.7%
-
BTTS Yes
71.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Niva Win 54.7%
Draw 7.2%
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk Win 38.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Niva1.72
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk1.86
Recent Form (Last 5)
Niva Niva
WWDLW
42 GF / 28 GA
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
WLDWL
41 GF / 22 GA
Key Stats
2.1
Average Goals Scored
2.16
1.4
Average Goals Conceded
1.16
13
BTTS Yes
10
15
Over 2.5
10
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Niva Niva 20 matches
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk 19 matches
Niva Statistic FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
11 Wins 11
4 Draws 5
5 Losses 3
42 Goals For 41
28 Goals Against 22
2.1 Avg Goals Scored 2.16
1.4 Avg Goals Conceded 1.16
13 BTTS Yes 10
18 Over 1.5 16
15 Over 2.5 10
9 Over 3.5 9
5 Clean Sheets 6
2 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Niva come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Niva Analysis

Niva approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 33 points after 17 outings. The return of 10 wins, 3 draws, and 4 defeats, together with goals at 39:19, reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained very solid. At home, their record of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk Analysis

Placed 2 with 35 points from 17 outings, FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 10 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses, while the 37:19 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses fits a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Niva won 2 times, FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:4 from Niva's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 3.67 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.8%)
H2H summary: Niva wins 2, draws 0, FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk wins 1
Last matches: Niva
31.07.26
1.
Niva
Dinamo Minsk II
2
1
W
25.07.26
1.
Niva
Ostrovets FC
2
0
W
10.07.26
1.
Niva
Slonim
2
2
D
04.07.26
1.
Niva
BATE II
5
0
W
27.06.26
1.
Niva
Uni Minsk
3
1
W
21.06.26
1.
Niva
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
6
0
W
14.06.26
1.
Niva
Gomel II
2
1
W
07.06.26
1.
Niva
Orsha
1
1
D
01.06.26
1.
Niva
Volna
0
1
L
23.05.26
1.
Niva
Smorgon
3
0
W
17.05.26
1.
Niva
Bumprom
1
0
W
10.05.26
1.
Niva
Minsk II
3
1
W
02.05.26
1.
Niva
Osipovichy
4
2
W
26.04.26
1.
Niva
Lida
1
2
L
19.04.26
1.
Niva
Shakhter Soligorsk
2
2
D
11.04.26
1.
Niva
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
1
3
L
04.04.26
1.
Niva
FC Slutsk
1
2
L
14.03.26
Fri
Niva
Neman
0
7
L
04.03.26
Fri
Niva
Baranovichi
2
1
W
07.02.26
Fri
Niva
FC Minsk
1
1
D
Last matches: FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
31.07.26
1.
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
FC Slutsk
0
3
L
24.07.26
1.
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
Dinamo Minsk II
0
0
D
10.07.26
1.
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
Ostrovets FC
1
1
D
04.07.26
1.
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
Slonim
4
3
W
28.06.26
1.
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
BATE II
4
3
W
21.06.26
1.
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
Uni Minsk
4
0
W
13.06.26
1.
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
4
1
W
07.06.26
1.
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
Gomel II
1
1
D
30.05.26
1.
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
Orsha
2
0
W
23.05.26
1.
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
Volna
3
1
W
16.05.26
1.
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
Smorgon
1
0
W
10.05.26
1.
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
Bumprom
0
2
L
02.05.26
1.
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
Minsk II
6
0
W
26.04.26
1.
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
Osipovichy
3
2
W
18.04.26
1.
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
Lida
1
1
D
11.04.26
1.
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
Niva
3
1
W
04.04.26
1.
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
Shakhter Soligorsk
0
0
D
31.01.26
Fri
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
Naftan
4
1
W
24.01.26
Fri
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
Dinamo Minsk
0
2
L
H2H: Niva vs FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
11.04.26
H2H
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
Niva
3
1
L
06.10.24
H2H
Niva
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
2
1
W
09.06.24
H2H
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
Niva
0
4
W
Last matches: Niva
25.07.26
1.
Niva
Ostrovets FC
2
0
W
04.07.26
1.
Niva
BATE II
5
0
W
21.06.26
1.
Niva
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
6
0
W
07.06.26
1.
Niva
Orsha
1
1
D
23.05.26
1.
Niva
Smorgon
3
0
W
10.05.26
1.
Niva
Minsk II
3
1
W
26.04.26
1.
Niva
Lida
1
2
L
19.04.26
1.
Niva
Shakhter Soligorsk
2
2
D
H2H at home: Niva
06.10.24
H2H
Niva
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
2
1
W
Last matches: FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
31.07.26
1.
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
FC Slutsk
0
3
L
10.07.26
1.
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
Ostrovets FC
1
1
D
28.06.26
1.
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
BATE II
4
3
W
13.06.26
1.
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
4
1
W
30.05.26
1.
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
Orsha
2
0
W
16.05.26
1.
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
Smorgon
1
0
W
02.05.26
1.
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
Minsk II
6
0
W
18.04.26
1.
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
Lida
1
1
D
24.01.26
Fri
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
Dinamo Minsk
0
2
L
H2H away: FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
06.10.24
H2H
Niva
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
2
1
L

Standings

1. Division
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 17 12 3 2 37:18 19 39
W D W D L
2 17 10 5 2 37:19 18 35
L D D W W
3
Niva Home
17 10 3 4 39:19 20 33
W W D W W
4 17 9 3 5 31:20 11 30
L W D L W
5 17 9 3 5 31:27 4 30
W L W D W
6 17 9 2 6 32:27 5 29
W W L W W
7 17 7 5 5 36:25 11 26
L D W L L
8 17 7 4 6 31:23 8 25
D L D L L
9 16 7 4 5 30:22 8 25
L D L W D
10 17 8 1 8 25:31 -6 25
W W L W L
11 17 7 1 9 21:32 -11 22
W W W L W
12 16 5 3 8 19:29 -10 18
W L D W L
13 17 4 5 8 24:27 -3 17
L L D W W
14 17 4 5 8 20:27 -7 17
L W D L W
15 17 4 4 9 15:27 -12 16
D L W D L
16 17 2 9 6 19:26 -7 15
L L D D D
17 17 2 5 10 21:41 -20 11
L L L L L
18 17 3 1 13 20:48 -28 10
W W L L L