Newcastle vs Aston Villa Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Newcastle Win 0%
Draw 0%
Aston Villa Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Newcastle1.67
Aston Villa1.7
Recent Form (Last 5)
Newcastle
WWDLW
19 GF / 21 GA
Aston Villa
WLDWL
25 GF / 27 GA
Key Stats
1.58
Average Goals Scored
1.67
1.75
Average Goals Conceded
1.8
10
BTTS Yes
11
9
Over 2.5
13
3.6
Shots on Goal
3.57
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Newcastle
12 matches
Aston Villa
15 matches
| Newcastle | Statistic | Aston Villa |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wins | 5 |
| 4 | Draws | 1 |
| 4 | Losses | 9 |
| 19 | Goals For | 25 |
| 21 | Goals Against | 27 |
| 1.58 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.67 |
| 1.75 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.8 |
| 10 | BTTS Yes | 11 |
| 12 | Over 1.5 | 13 |
| 9 | Over 2.5 | 13 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 2 |
| 0 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 3.6 | Shots On Goal | 3.57 |
| 10.2 | Total Shots | 12 |
| 4.4 | Corners | 3.14 |
| 49% | Ball Possession | 43.6% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Newcastle won 6 times, Aston Villa won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 25:21 from Newcastle's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3.07 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Newcastle 4-2-3-1 / Aston Villa 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Newcastle wins 6, draws 4, Aston Villa wins 5
Standings
Premier League
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13:5 | 8 | 15 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 12 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16:5 | 11 | 10 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 4 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 9 |
W
D
D
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 9 |
D
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7:4 | 3 | 9 |
W
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 7 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 9 |
W
D
D
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 8 |
L
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 9 |
Newcastle
Home
|
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9:9 | 0 | 8 |
W
L
D
W
D
|
| 10 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10:12 | -2 | 7 |
L
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 11 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 6 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 5 |
D
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 5 |
L
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 4 |
L
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 15 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:11 | -5 | 4 |
D
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 16 |
Aston Villa
Away
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:9 | -5 | 4 |
W
L
D
L
L
|
| 17 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 3 |
L
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 18 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1:10 | -9 | 3 |
W
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 19 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 2 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2:8 | -6 | 2 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Relegation - Championship