🇺🇸 USA › MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER

31.07.2026 23:30

New York City FC

1 - 1

Toronto FC

Yankee Stadium

Referee: R. Touchan

New York City FC

Match Timeline

Toronto FC

0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'

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New York City FC vs Toronto FC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2

Home or Draw

Probability 65.6%

Odds -

BTTS

Yes

Probability 63.2%

Odds -

Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

Probability 70.3%

Odds -

All Markets

Market	Option	Probability	Odds	Stats & Analysis
1X2	Home or Draw	65.6%	-	▥
BTTS	Yes	63.2%	-	▥
Over / Under 2.5	Over 2.5	70.3%	-	▥
Corners O/U	Under 11.5 Corners	69.5%	-	▥
HT / FT	Home / Home	-	-	▥
Correct Score	2-1	-	-	▥

Probability Distribution

New York City FC Win 42.9%

Draw 22.7%

Toronto FC Win 34.4%

Expected Goals (xG)

New York City FC1.64

Toronto FC1.44

Recent Form (Last 5)

New York City FC

WWDLW

36 GF / 30 GA

Toronto FC

WLDWL

33 GF / 36 GA

Key Stats

1.64

Average Goals Scored

1.5

1.36

Average Goals Conceded

1.64

BTTS Yes

Over 2.5

4.88

Shots on Goal

4.29

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

New York City FC 22 matches

Toronto FC 22 matches

New York City FC	Statistic	Toronto FC
8	Wins	6
6	Draws	8
8	Losses	8
36	Goals For	33
30	Goals Against	36
1.64	Avg Goals Scored	1.5
1.36	Avg Goals Conceded	1.64
14	BTTS Yes	16
20	Over 1.5	18
12	Over 2.5	14
6	Over 3.5	8
4	Clean Sheets	4
4	Failed To Score	4
4.88	Shots On Goal	4.29
11.18	Total Shots	11.76
3.24	Corners	5.65
55.2%	Ball Possession	47.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, New York City FC won 8 times, Toronto FC won 3 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 29:17 from New York City FC's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.07 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw

BTTS: Yes

Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5

Highest model probability: 12 (77.3%)

Predicted formations: New York City FC 4-3-3 / Toronto FC 4-3-3

Missing players: New York City FC 9, Toronto FC 5

H2H summary: New York City FC wins 8, draws 4, Toronto FC wins 3

Standings

Eastern Conference

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	Nashville SC	25	16	6	3	50:21	29	54	D L D W W
2	Inter Miami	25	12	9	4	61:46	15	45	D D D W L
3	New England Revolution	25	13	4	8	41:31	10	43	W W L W D
4	Charlotte	25	11	7	7	45:36	9	40	D W D W W
5	Chicago Fire	24	11	6	7	45:35	10	39	L D D D D
6	Orlando City SC	25	10	4	11	44:56	-12	34	W W W D W
7	Philadelphia Union	25	9	6	10	46:39	7	33	W W W W D
8	New York City FC Home	25	8	8	9	39:33	6	32	W L D D D
9	FC Cincinnati	24	8	8	8	52:59	-7	32	D L L D W
10	New York Red Bulls	25	8	6	11	33:48	-15	30	W L D L D
11	DC United	24	6	11	7	30:37	-7	29	D W D L L
12	Toronto FC Away	25	6	11	8	38:46	-8	29	L W D D W
13	Columbus Crew	25	6	5	14	35:42	-7	23	L L W L L
14	Atlanta United FC	25	6	5	14	29:43	-14	23	D L D L W
15	CF Montreal	25	5	6	14	31:51	-20	21	L L L L D

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