New York City FC vs Nashville SC Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
50.8%
|
2.57 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
86%
|
1.62 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
72%
|
1.83 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
78.8%
|
1.43 | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
6.50 | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
8.00 |
New York City FC
Nashville SC
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
New York City FC
27 matches
Nashville SC
34 matches
| New York City FC | Statistic | Nashville SC |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wins | 21 |
| 9 | Draws | 8 |
| 10 | Losses | 5 |
| 42 | Goals For | 63 |
| 38 | Goals Against | 25 |
| 1.56 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.85 |
| 1.41 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.74 |
| 19 | BTTS Yes | 14 |
| 25 | Over 1.5 | 20 |
| 14 | Over 2.5 | 17 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 13 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 16 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 8 |
| 4.86 | Shots On Goal | 4.43 |
| 11.64 | Total Shots | 11.47 |
| 3.5 | Corners | 5 |
| 54.1% | Ball Possession | 52.2% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with New York City FC expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Nashville SC in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Nashville SC having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Nashville SC. Nashville SC carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 49 points while New York City FC sit 7 on 27, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
New York City FC sit 7 with 27 points after 21 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 6 draws, and 8 losses, while the 35:30 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Nicolás Fernández (8 goals), Agustin Ojeda (3 goals), Hannes Wolf (3 goals), with creative support from Nicolás Fernández (3 assists), Agustin Ojeda (3 assists), Hannes Wolf (2 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, the record of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Operating from 1 place with 49 points from 21 games, Nashville SC bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 15 wins, 4 draws, and 2 defeats plus a goal balance of 43:17, they continue to show good form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by H. Mukhtar (4 goals), Warren Madrigal (3 goals), S. Surridge (3 goals), with creative support from H. Mukhtar (4 assists), Cristian Espinoza (4 assists), A. Najar (2 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have managed 5 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, New York City FC won 3 times, Nashville SC won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:13 from New York City FC's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Nashville SC
Away
|
26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 53:21 | 32 | 57 |
W
D
L
D
W
|
| 2 | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 45:33 | 12 | 46 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 3 | 26 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 63:48 | 15 | 46 |
D
D
D
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 47:37 | 10 | 43 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 45:38 | 7 | 39 |
L
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 6 | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 50:42 | 8 | 36 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 46:60 | -14 | 34 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 8 | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 34:48 | -14 | 33 |
W
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 9 | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 54:61 | -7 | 33 |
D
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 10 |
New York City FC
Home
|
26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 39:34 | 5 | 32 |
L
W
L
D
D
|
| 11 | 25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 31:39 | -8 | 29 |
L
D
W
D
L
|
|
| 12 | 26 | 6 | 11 | 9 | 39:49 | -10 | 29 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 13 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 37:42 | -5 | 26 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 30:43 | -13 | 26 |
W
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 15 | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 31:53 | -22 | 21 |
L
L
L
L
L
|