Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
63.7%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
78.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
72%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
- |
New York City FC
Chicago Fire
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
New York City FC
21 matches
Chicago Fire
21 matches
| New York City FC | Statistic | Chicago Fire |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 10 |
| 6 | Draws | 5 |
| 8 | Losses | 6 |
| 33 | Goals For | 38 |
| 29 | Goals Against | 27 |
| 1.57 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.81 |
| 1.38 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.29 |
| 13 | BTTS Yes | 12 |
| 19 | Over 1.5 | 15 |
| 11 | Over 2.5 | 14 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 9 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 9 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 5 | Shots On Goal | 5.13 |
| 11.25 | Total Shots | 14.87 |
| 3.38 | Corners | 4.53 |
| 55.8% | Ball Possession | 52.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Chicago Fire. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Chicago Fire carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 26 points while New York City FC sit 8 on 19, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.
So far, New York City FC have built a campaign that leaves them 8 in the table on 19 points from 15 matches. Their overall return of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses with goals at 25:21 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Nicolás Fernández (5 goals), Hannes Wolf (3 goals), Agustin Ojeda (1 goals), with creative support from Nicolás Fernández (3 assists), Hannes Wolf (2 assists), Agustin Ojeda (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Chicago Fire come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 26 points after 14 matches. They have recorded 8 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with a 27:16 goal return and good form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on Hugo Cuypers (8 goals), Philip Zinckernagel (5 goals), Maren Haile-Selassie (3 goals), with creative support from Philip Zinckernagel (6 assists), Maren Haile-Selassie (2 assists), Jonathan Bamba (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, New York City FC won 9 times, Chicago Fire won 1 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 25:13 from New York City FC's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.53 goals per game.
New York City FC
3
5
4
2
3
2
Lineups
New York City FC
Toronto FC
New York City FC
New England Revolution
New York City FC
FC Cincinnati
New York City FC
Philadelphia Union
New York City FC
Toronto FC
New York City FC
Columbus Crew
New York City FC
Nashville SC
New York City FC
New York Red Bulls
New York City FC
Charlotte
New York City FC
Columbus Crew
New York City FC
DC United
New York City FC
CF Montreal
New York City FC
FC Cincinnati
New York City FC
Charlotte
New York City FC
Vancouver Whitecaps
New York City FC
St. Louis City
New York City FC
Inter Miami
New York City FC
Colorado Rapids
New York City FC
Orlando City SC
New York City FC
Philadelphia Union
Chicago Fire
Seattle Sounders
Chicago Fire
New York Red Bulls
Chicago Fire
Orlando City SC
Chicago Fire
Portland Timbers
Chicago Fire
Charlotte
Chicago Fire
Inter Miami
Chicago Fire
Toronto FC
Chicago Fire
CF Montreal
Chicago Fire
DC United
Chicago Fire
New York Red Bulls
Chicago Fire
FC Cincinnati
Chicago Fire
Sporting Kansas City
Chicago Fire
FC Cincinnati
Chicago Fire
Atlanta United FC
Chicago Fire
Nashville SC
Chicago Fire
Philadelphia Union
Chicago Fire
DC United
Chicago Fire
Columbus Crew
Chicago Fire
CF Montreal
Chicago Fire
Houston Dynamo
New York City FC
Philadelphia Union
New York City FC
Toronto FC
New York City FC
Columbus Crew
New York City FC
DC United
New York City FC
FC Cincinnati
New York City FC
Charlotte
New York City FC
St. Louis City
New York City FC
Inter Miami
New York City FC
Colorado Rapids
New York City FC
Orlando City SC
New York City FC
Austin
New York City FC
Tampa Bay Rowdies
Chicago Fire
Seattle Sounders
Chicago Fire
New York Red Bulls
Chicago Fire
Orlando City SC
Chicago Fire
Inter Miami
Chicago Fire
CF Montreal
Chicago Fire
DC United
Chicago Fire
FC Cincinnati
Chicago Fire
Philadelphia Union
Chicago Fire
Columbus Crew
Chicago Fire
Houston Dynamo
Chicago Fire
Indy Eleven
Chicago Fire
Austin
Chicago Fire
Los Angeles Galaxy
Chicago Fire
Indy Eleven
Chicago Fire
Sporting Kansas City
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22 | 16 | 4 | 2 | 47:17 | 30 | 52 |
W
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 2 | 22 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 56:41 | 15 | 42 |
W
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 3 |
Chicago Fire
Away
|
21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 39:28 | 11 | 37 |
D
D
W
W
W
|
| 4 | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 40:32 | 8 | 35 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 5 | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 33:26 | 7 | 34 |
D
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 6 | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 49:51 | -2 | 31 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 7 |
New York City FC
Home
|
22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 36:31 | 5 | 28 |
D
D
L
L
D
|
| 8 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 32:46 | -14 | 26 |
L
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 37:54 | -17 | 25 |
D
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 10 | 22 | 5 | 10 | 7 | 32:38 | -6 | 25 |
D
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 22 | 5 | 10 | 7 | 28:36 | -8 | 25 |
D
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 12 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 34:39 | -5 | 24 |
W
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 13 | 22 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 25:38 | -13 | 21 |
L
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 30:46 | -16 | 21 |
L
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 15 | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 30:36 | -6 | 20 |
L
L
L
D
W
|