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🇺🇸 USA › MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
10.10.2026 23:30
Boston Stadium
Referee: Tori Penso, USA
New England Revolution
Match Timeline
Seattle Sounders
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
15'
H. Dotson
Seattle Sounders
🟨
19'
Cristian Roldán
Seattle Sounders
🟨
24'
William Sands
New England Revolution
🟨
56'
Hassani Dotson
Seattle Sounders
🔄
60'
S. Gomez ↔ S. Brunell
Seattle Sounders
🔄
65'
M. Polster ↔ I. Feingold
New England Revolution
🔄
68'
Y. Gomez Andrade ↔ S. Hawkins
Seattle Sounders
🔄
68'
J. Morris ↔ P. Arriola
Seattle Sounders
🔄
73'
J. Yueill ↔ J. Siqueira
New England Revolution
🔄
74'
L. Langoni ↔ D. Gazdag
New England Revolution
⚽
74'
D. Joveljic · Assist: P. Arriola
Seattle Sounders
🔄
80'
A. Roldan ↔ K. Kossa-Rienzi
Seattle Sounders
🔄
80'
D. Joveljic ↔ J. Ferreira
Seattle Sounders
⚽
81'
P. Arriola · Assist: J. Ferreira
Seattle Sounders
🔄
85'
C. Gil ↔ D. Fagundez
New England Revolution
🔄
85'
P. Miller ↔ G. Yow
New England Revolution

New England Revolution vs Seattle Sounders Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 69.9%
Odds 1.95
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds 1.50
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds 1.52
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
69.9%
1.95 ▥
BTTS Yes
86%
1.50 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
1.52 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.00 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
New England Revolution Win 69.9%
Draw 6%
Seattle Sounders Win 24.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
New England Revolution1.65
Seattle Sounders1.43
Recent Form (Last 5)
New England Revolution New England Revolution
WWDLW
61 GF / 43 GA
Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders
WLDWL
52 GF / 44 GA
Key Stats
1.91
Average Goals Scored
1.49
1.34
Average Goals Conceded
1.26
21
BTTS Yes
20
23
Over 2.5
19
4.81
Shots on Goal
4.9

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

New England Revolution New England Revolution 32 matches
Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 35 matches
New England Revolution Statistic Seattle Sounders
16 Wins 16
5 Draws 8
11 Losses 11
61 Goals For 52
43 Goals Against 44
1.91 Avg Goals Scored 1.49
1.34 Avg Goals Conceded 1.26
21 BTTS Yes 20
27 Over 1.5 28
23 Over 2.5 19
10 Over 3.5 10
6 Clean Sheets 9
6 Failed To Score 8
4.81 Shots On Goal 4.9
12.52 Total Shots 13.35
4.78 Corners 4.9
50.8% Ball Possession 50.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights New England Revolution's more proactive style and Seattle Sounders's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Seattle Sounders. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with New England Revolution expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Seattle Sounders in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Seattle Sounders having the stronger overall control.

New England Revolution Analysis

New England Revolution approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 46 points after 27 outings. With 14 wins, 4 draws, and 9 defeats plus a goal balance of 45:36, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by Carles Gil (11 goals), Peyton Miller (5 goals), Dor Turgeman (4 goals), with creative support from Dor Turgeman (6 assists), Carles Gil (3 assists), M. Polster (2 assists), and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. At home, the split of 9 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Seattle Sounders Analysis

Seattle Sounders are currently 7 in the standings with 38 points from 27 matches. Their overall return of 10 wins, 8 draws, and 9 losses with goals at 35:35 reflects good form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking weight is carried by C. Roldan (4 goals), A. Rusnák (3 goals), P. Rothrock (3 goals), with creative support from A. Rusnák (9 assists), J. Morris (4 assists), P. Arriola (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 3 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, New England Revolution won 2 times, Seattle Sounders won 2 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:14 from New England Revolution's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 3.22 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94%)
Predicted formations: New England Revolution 4-3-3 / Seattle Sounders 4-2-3-1
Missing players: New England Revolution 4, Seattle Sounders 4
H2H summary: New England Revolution wins 2, draws 5, Seattle Sounders wins 2

Standings

Eastern Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 28 19 6 3 59:22 37 63
W W W D L
2 28 13 10 5 68:50 18 49
W L D D D
3 28 14 6 8 51:40 11 48
W W W L L
4 28 14 4 10 45:39 6 46
L L W W W
5 28 13 7 8 50:40 10 46
W L W D W
6 28 12 6 10 56:45 11 42
W W W W W
7 28 11 4 13 51:66 -15 37
W L L W W
8 28 10 6 12 38:52 -14 36
W L W W L
9 27 9 9 9 58:65 -7 36
W L D D L
10 28 8 9 11 42:38 4 33
L D L W L
11 28 7 11 10 41:52 -11 32
W L L L W
12 27 6 12 9 34:46 -12 30
L D L D W
13 28 8 5 15 41:46 -5 29
L W W L L
14 28 7 6 15 33:48 -15 27
L D W D L
15 28 6 6 16 35:56 -21 24
L W L L L
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)