🇺🇸 USA MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
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Gillette Stadium

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 55%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 70.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
55%
-
BTTS Yes
67.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
70.3%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
78.3%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
New England Revolution Win 55%
Draw 10.3%
Houston Dynamo Win 34.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
New England Revolution1.72
Houston Dynamo1.57
Recent Form (Last 5)
New England Revolution New England Revolution
WWDLW
44 GF / 28 GA
Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo
WLDWL
46 GF / 34 GA
Key Stats
2
Average Goals Scored
1.77
1.27
Average Goals Conceded
1.31
14
BTTS Yes
14
15
Over 2.5
13
4.06
Shots on Goal
4.76

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

New England Revolution New England Revolution 22 matches
Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 26 matches
New England Revolution Statistic Houston Dynamo
11 Wins 16
4 Draws 4
7 Losses 6
44 Goals For 46
28 Goals Against 34
2 Avg Goals Scored 1.77
1.27 Avg Goals Conceded 1.31
14 BTTS Yes 14
17 Over 1.5 21
15 Over 2.5 13
8 Over 3.5 7
5 Clean Sheets 8
4 Failed To Score 4
4.06 Shots On Goal 4.76
10.82 Total Shots 13.41
3.88 Corners 4.29
50.1% Ball Possession 45.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with New England Revolution's more proactive style and Houston Dynamo's more cautious structure suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Houston Dynamo. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with New England Revolution expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Houston Dynamo in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Houston Dynamo having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

New England Revolution Analysis

New England Revolution arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 3 place with 29 points after 16 matches. Their overall return of 9 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 26:19 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Carles Gil (6 goals), Dor Turgeman (2 goals), Luca Langoni (2 goals), with creative support from Dor Turgeman (3 assists), Carles Gil (2 assists), Matt Polster (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 8 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Houston Dynamo Analysis

Placed 5 with 26 points from 16 outings, Houston Dynamo continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 8 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses with goals at 23:24 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Guilherme (5 goals), Mateusz Bogusz (3 goals), Lawrence Ennali (2 goals), with creative support from Guilherme (2 assists), Lawrence Ennali (2 assists), Jack McGlynn (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, New England Revolution won 7 times, Houston Dynamo won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 27:23 from New England Revolution's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.33 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89.7%)
Predicted formations: New England Revolution 4-2-3-1 / Houston Dynamo 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: New England Revolution wins 7, draws 3, Houston Dynamo wins 5
Last matches: New England Revolution
01.08.26
Maj
New England Revolution
CF Montreal
2
2
D
25.07.26
Maj
New England Revolution
Atlanta United FC
4
1
W
22.07.26
Maj
New England Revolution
Toronto FC
0
0
D
23.05.26
Maj
New England Revolution
Charlotte
0
1
L
16.05.26
Maj
New England Revolution
Minnesota United FC
2
1
W
13.05.26
Maj
New England Revolution
Nashville SC
0
3
L
09.05.26
Maj
New England Revolution
Philadelphia Union
2
1
W
02.05.26
Maj
New England Revolution
Charlotte
1
0
W
25.04.26
Maj
New England Revolution
Inter Miami
1
1
D
22.04.26
Maj
New England Revolution
Atlanta United FC
2
1
W
18.04.26
Maj
New England Revolution
Columbus Crew
2
1
W
11.04.26
Maj
New England Revolution
DC United
1
0
W
04.04.26
Maj
New England Revolution
CF Montreal
3
0
W
22.03.26
Maj
New England Revolution
St. Louis City
1
3
L
15.03.26
Maj
New England Revolution
FC Cincinnati
6
1
W
28.02.26
Maj
New England Revolution
New York Red Bulls
0
1
L
22.02.26
Maj
New England Revolution
Nashville SC
1
4
L
14.02.26
Fri
New England Revolution
Hartford Athletic
6
1
W
07.02.26
Fri
New England Revolution
CF Montreal
1
2
L
31.01.26
Fri
New England Revolution
Houston Dynamo
2
3
L
Last matches: Houston Dynamo
02.08.26
Maj
Houston Dynamo
Sporting Kansas City
2
0
W
26.07.26
Maj
Houston Dynamo
Austin
3
0
W
23.07.26
Maj
Houston Dynamo
DC United
1
1
D
16.07.26
Fri
Houston Dynamo
America de Cali
2
1
W
11.07.26
Fri
Houston Dynamo
CD Olimpia
3
0
W
24.05.26
Maj
Houston Dynamo
Los Angeles Galaxy
1
1
D
17.05.26
Maj
Houston Dynamo
Vancouver Whitecaps
1
0
W
14.05.26
Maj
Houston Dynamo
Real Salt Lake
0
3
L
11.05.26
Maj
Houston Dynamo
Los Angeles FC
4
1
W
03.05.26
Maj
Houston Dynamo
Colorado Rapids
1
0
W
26.04.26
Maj
Houston Dynamo
Austin
0
2
L
23.04.26
Maj
Houston Dynamo
San Diego
1
0
W
18.04.26
Maj
Houston Dynamo
Orlando City SC
1
0
W
12.04.26
Maj
Houston Dynamo
Colorado Rapids
2
6
L
05.04.26
Maj
Houston Dynamo
Seattle Sounders
0
1
L
22.03.26
Maj
Houston Dynamo
FC Dallas
3
4
L
15.03.26
Maj
Houston Dynamo
Portland Timbers
3
2
W
01.03.26
Maj
Houston Dynamo
Los Angeles FC
0
2
L
22.02.26
Maj
Houston Dynamo
Chicago Fire
2
1
W
14.02.26
Fri
Houston Dynamo
New York Red Bulls
3
2
W
H2H: New England Revolution vs Houston Dynamo
31.01.26
H2H
New England Revolution
Houston Dynamo
2
3
L
03.02.25
H2H
Houston Dynamo
New England Revolution
3
3
D
03.10.24
H2H
Houston Dynamo
New England Revolution
2
1
L
05.03.23
H2H
New England Revolution
Houston Dynamo
3
0
W
14.09.22
H2H
Houston Dynamo
New England Revolution
3
1
L
29.06.19
H2H
New England Revolution
Houston Dynamo
2
1
W
01.04.18
H2H
Houston Dynamo
New England Revolution
0
2
W
08.04.17
H2H
New England Revolution
Houston Dynamo
2
0
W
06.03.16
H2H
Houston Dynamo
New England Revolution
3
3
D
15.08.15
H2H
New England Revolution
Houston Dynamo
2
0
W
17.10.14
H2H
Houston Dynamo
New England Revolution
1
2
W
12.04.14
H2H
New England Revolution
Houston Dynamo
2
0
W
09.03.14
H2H
Houston Dynamo
New England Revolution
4
0
L
28.09.13
H2H
New England Revolution
Houston Dynamo
1
1
D
13.07.13
H2H
New England Revolution
Houston Dynamo
1
2
L
Last matches: New England Revolution
25.07.26
Maj
New England Revolution
Atlanta United FC
4
1
W
22.07.26
Maj
New England Revolution
Toronto FC
0
0
D
16.05.26
Maj
New England Revolution
Minnesota United FC
2
1
W
13.05.26
Maj
New England Revolution
Nashville SC
0
3
L
09.05.26
Maj
New England Revolution
Philadelphia Union
2
1
W
02.05.26
Maj
New England Revolution
Charlotte
1
0
W
18.04.26
Maj
New England Revolution
Columbus Crew
2
1
W
11.04.26
Maj
New England Revolution
DC United
1
0
W
04.04.26
Maj
New England Revolution
CF Montreal
3
0
W
15.03.26
Maj
New England Revolution
FC Cincinnati
6
1
W
14.02.26
Fri
New England Revolution
Hartford Athletic
6
1
W
07.02.26
Fri
New England Revolution
CF Montreal
1
2
L
31.01.26
Fri
New England Revolution
Houston Dynamo
2
3
L
23.01.26
Fri
New England Revolution
FC Cincinnati
1
1
D
17.01.26
Fri
New England Revolution
Sarasota Paradise
6
0
W
H2H at home: New England Revolution
31.01.26
H2H
New England Revolution
Houston Dynamo
2
3
L
05.03.23
H2H
New England Revolution
Houston Dynamo
3
0
W
29.06.19
H2H
New England Revolution
Houston Dynamo
2
1
W
08.04.17
H2H
New England Revolution
Houston Dynamo
2
0
W
15.08.15
H2H
New England Revolution
Houston Dynamo
2
0
W
12.04.14
H2H
New England Revolution
Houston Dynamo
2
0
W
28.09.13
H2H
New England Revolution
Houston Dynamo
1
1
D
13.07.13
H2H
New England Revolution
Houston Dynamo
1
2
L
Last matches: Houston Dynamo
02.08.26
Maj
Houston Dynamo
Sporting Kansas City
2
0
W
24.05.26
Maj
Houston Dynamo
Los Angeles Galaxy
1
1
D
14.05.26
Maj
Houston Dynamo
Real Salt Lake
0
3
L
11.05.26
Maj
Houston Dynamo
Los Angeles FC
4
1
W
26.04.26
Maj
Houston Dynamo
Austin
0
2
L
18.04.26
Maj
Houston Dynamo
Orlando City SC
1
0
W
12.04.26
Maj
Houston Dynamo
Colorado Rapids
2
6
L
22.03.26
Maj
Houston Dynamo
FC Dallas
3
4
L
11.02.26
Fri
Houston Dynamo
FC Dallas
2
1
W
31.01.26
Fri
Houston Dynamo
New England Revolution
3
2
W
H2H away: Houston Dynamo
31.01.26
H2H
New England Revolution
Houston Dynamo
2
3
W
05.03.23
H2H
New England Revolution
Houston Dynamo
3
0
L
29.06.19
H2H
New England Revolution
Houston Dynamo
2
1
L
08.04.17
H2H
New England Revolution
Houston Dynamo
2
0
L
15.08.15
H2H
New England Revolution
Houston Dynamo
2
0
L
12.04.14
H2H
New England Revolution
Houston Dynamo
2
0
L
28.09.13
H2H
New England Revolution
Houston Dynamo
1
1
D
13.07.13
H2H
New England Revolution
Houston Dynamo
1
2
W

Standings

Eastern Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 18 12 4 2 35:14 21 40
D L W W W
2 18 11 5 2 45:32 13 38
D W W W W
3 17 9 3 5 28:21 7 30
D W D L W
4 17 9 2 6 32:23 9 29
W L L W W
5 18 7 5 6 31:24 7 26
D W W L D
6 18 7 5 6 45:44 1 26
W L W W D
7 18 7 4 7 29:27 2 25
L W D W W
8 18 7 4 7 29:39 -10 25
W L L W D
9 18 5 8 5 26:29 -3 23
D W D D D
10 18 6 2 10 30:47 -17 20
L W W L D
11 18 5 5 8 26:28 -2 20
D W L W D
12 18 3 8 7 24:32 -8 17
D L D D L
13 18 4 4 10 25:33 -8 16
W W W L D
14 18 4 4 10 24:35 -11 16
D L L D D
15 18 3 3 12 19:33 -14 12
L L D L L
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)