🇺🇸 USA › MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
18.04.2026 23:30
Gillette Stadium
Referee: T. Ford
New England Revolution
Match Timeline
Columbus Crew
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
17'
B. Ceballos ↔ P. Miller
New England Revolution
⚽
24'
M. Arfsten · Assist: D. Rossi
Columbus Crew
⚽
54'
D. Turgeman · Assist: L. Langoni
New England Revolution
🔄
67'
H. Picard ↔ A. Herrera
Columbus Crew
🔄
67'
D. Gazdag ↔ J. Thiare
Columbus Crew
🟨
71'
Matt Turner
New England Revolution
🟨
71'
Andre Gomes
Columbus Crew
⚽
85'
C. Gil
New England Revolution
🔄
86'
L. Langoni ↔ D. Fagundez
New England Revolution
🟨
87'
Maximilian Arfsten
Columbus Crew
🔄
87'
A. Gomes ↔ S. Bangoura
Columbus Crew
🔄
88'
S. Moreira ↔ N. Akhundzade
Columbus Crew
🟨
90+6'
Rudy Camacho
Columbus Crew
🔄
90+4'
D. Turgeman ↔ E. Klein
New England Revolution

New England Revolution vs Columbus Crew Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 69.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 71.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 73%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
69.6%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
71.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
73%
- ▥
Probability Distribution
New England Revolution Win 69.6%
Draw 0%
Columbus Crew Win 30.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
New England Revolution2.06
Columbus Crew1.44
Recent Form (Last 5)
New England Revolution New England Revolution
WWDLW
28 GF / 16 GA
Columbus Crew Columbus Crew
WLDWL
13 GF / 12 GA
Key Stats
2.55
Average Goals Scored
1.44
1.45
Average Goals Conceded
1.33
7
BTTS Yes
6
8
Over 2.5
5
4
Shots on Goal
4.86

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

New England Revolution New England Revolution 11 matches
Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 9 matches
New England Revolution Statistic Columbus Crew
5 Wins 2
1 Draws 3
5 Losses 4
28 Goals For 13
16 Goals Against 12
2.55 Avg Goals Scored 1.44
1.45 Avg Goals Conceded 1.33
7 BTTS Yes 6
9 Over 1.5 6
8 Over 2.5 5
6 Over 3.5 4
3 Clean Sheets 1
1 Failed To Score 3
4 Shots On Goal 4.86
8.67 Total Shots 12.86
2.5 Corners 6.86
46.2% Ball Possession 54.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around New England Revolution's more proactive style and Columbus Crew's more cautious structure. New England Revolution appear more affected by absences, and that imbalance in squad availability could shift some of the structural advantage toward Columbus Crew. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Columbus Crew. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with New England Revolution expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Columbus Crew in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Columbus Crew having the stronger overall control. New England Revolution arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 8 with 9 points compared to Columbus Crew in 11 on 6, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

New England Revolution Analysis

New England Revolution sit 8 with 9 points after 6 league matches. Their overall return of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 12:9 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by A. Yusuf (2 goals), B. Ceballos (2 goals), P. Miller (2 goals), with creative support from Luca Langoni (5 assists), Dor Turgeman (2 assists), Carles Gil (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with L. Campana, M. Polster, E. Kohler unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

Columbus Crew Analysis

So far, Columbus Crew have built a campaign that leaves them 11 in the table on 6 points from 7 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 1 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, while the 9:10 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on W. Abou Ali (5 goals), D. Rossi (3 goals), M. Arfsten (1 goals), with creative support from M. Arfsten (2 assists), T. Habroune (2 assists), W. Abou Ali (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach. Although they are without M. Farsi, W. Abou Ali, the biggest concern is that one of those absentees also contributes heavily in both finishing and chance creation.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, New England Revolution won 3 times, Columbus Crew won 7 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:24 from New England Revolution's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.47 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: New England Revolution 4-2-3-1 / Columbus Crew 4-4-2
Missing players: New England Revolution 3, Columbus Crew 3
H2H summary: New England Revolution wins 3, draws 5, Columbus Crew wins 7

Standings

Eastern Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 27 18 6 3 55:21 34 60
W W D L D
2 27 14 4 9 45:36 9 46
L W W W L
3 27 12 10 5 64:50 14 46
L D D D D
4 27 12 7 8 47:38 9 43
L W D W D
5 26 12 6 8 46:38 8 42
W L L D D
6 27 11 6 10 54:44 10 39
W W W W W
7 27 10 4 13 48:64 -16 34
L L W W W
8 26 9 6 11 34:48 -14 33
W W L D L
9 27 8 9 10 41:36 5 33
D L W L D
10 26 8 9 9 55:64 -9 33
L D D L L
11 26 6 12 8 34:42 -8 30
D L D W D
12 27 8 5 14 39:43 -4 29
W W L L W
13 27 6 11 10 39:51 -12 29
L L L W D
14 27 7 6 14 32:45 -13 27
D W D L D
15 27 6 6 15 34:54 -20 24
W L L L L
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)