SAUDI-ARABIA PRO LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
King Khalid Sports City
Referee: A. Al Harbi
NEOM
Match Timeline
Al-Ettifaq
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
6'
M. Dembele · Assist: K. Al Ghannam
Al-Ettifaq
🔄
46'
J. Costa ↔ M. Gluscevic
Al-Ettifaq
🔄
55'
L. Rodriguez ↔ M. Al Saad
NEOM
🔄
62'
M. Dembele ↔ Kouka
Al-Ettifaq
🔄
67'
A. Al Oyayari ↔ F. Abdi
NEOM
🔄
67'
I. Hawsawi ↔ A. Al Anzi
NEOM
🔄
69'
M. Al Olayan ↔ A. Dahal
Al-Ettifaq
🟨
69'
Khalifah Al-Dawsari
NEOM
🔄
79'
R. Messi ↔ M. Al Burayk
NEOM
🔄
79'
K. Al Dawsari ↔ Y. Gharwi
NEOM
81'
A. Al Haji · Assist: A. Al Anzi
NEOM
🔄
90+3'
↔ F. Al Ghamdi
Al-Ettifaq
🔄
90+3'
K. Al Ghannam ↔ A. Maghfori
Al-Ettifaq

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 80.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 78.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 62.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
80.8%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
78.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
62.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
NEOM Win 41%
Draw 19.2%
Al-Ettifaq Win 39.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
NEOM1.42
Al-Ettifaq1.48
Recent Form (Last 5)
NEOM NEOM
WWDLW
42 GF / 47 GA
Al-Ettifaq Al-Ettifaq
WLDWL
50 GF / 54 GA
Key Stats
1.27
Average Goals Scored
1.52
1.42
Average Goals Conceded
1.64
21
BTTS Yes
18
18
Over 2.5
20
4.61
Shots on Goal
4.33

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

NEOM NEOM 33 matches
Al-Ettifaq Al-Ettifaq 33 matches
NEOM Statistic Al-Ettifaq
12 Wins 14
8 Draws 7
13 Losses 12
42 Goals For 50
47 Goals Against 54
1.27 Avg Goals Scored 1.52
1.42 Avg Goals Conceded 1.64
21 BTTS Yes 18
24 Over 1.5 26
18 Over 2.5 20
9 Over 3.5 16
6 Clean Sheets 9
7 Failed To Score 9
4.61 Shots On Goal 4.33
12.7 Total Shots 10.39
4.73 Corners 3.97
50.9% Ball Possession 49.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with NEOM expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Al-Ettifaq in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Al-Ettifaq having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Al-Ettifaq. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances.

NEOM Analysis

From their first 33 matches, NEOM have collected 44 points and now occupy 8 place in the table. The record of 12 wins, 8 draws, and 13 defeats, together with a 42:47 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through A. Lacazette (11 goals), S. Benrahma (10 goals), L. Rodriguez (6 goals), with creative support from S. Benrahma (7 assists), A. Lacazette (4 assists), A. Doucoure (4 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 6 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Al-Ettifaq Analysis

Al-Ettifaq sit 7 with 49 points after 33 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 14 wins, 7 draws, and 12 losses, while the 50:54 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on G. Wijnaldum (16 goals), K. Al Ghannam (13 goals), M. Dembele (8 goals), with creative support from Álvaro Medrán (8 assists), G. Wijnaldum (6 assists), K. Al Ghannam (5 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the record of 7 wins, 1 draws, and 8 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, NEOM won 0 times, Al-Ettifaq won 0 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:1 from NEOM's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (80.8%)
Predicted formations: NEOM 4-4-2 / Al-Ettifaq 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: NEOM wins 0, draws 2, Al-Ettifaq wins 0
Stats
NEOM NEOM
Al-Ettifaq Al-Ettifaq
Shots on Goal
3
Shots on Goal
5
Shots off Goal
9
Shots off Goal
2
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
2
4 Corner Kicks 0
11 Fouls 13
6 Offsides 2
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Goal 5
9 Shots off Goal 2
2 Blocked Shots 2
11 Shots insidebox 6
3 Shots outsidebox 3
4 Goalkeeper Saves 1
441 Total passes 275
384 Passes accurate 220
1.89 expected_goals 0.60
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 0 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

NEOM
Formation
Al-Ettifaq
M. Bulka
M. Bulka
K. Al Dawsari
K. Al Dawsari
A. Hegazy
A. Hegazy
N. Zeze
N. Zeze
I. Hawsawi
I. Hawsawi
A. Al Oyayari
A. Al Oyayari
A. Al Haji
A. Al Haji
A. Kone
A. Kone
R. Messi
R. Messi
L. Rodriguez
L. Rodriguez
A. Lacazette
A. Lacazette
M. Rodak
M. Rodak
A. A. Khateeb
A. A. Khateeb
J. Hendry
J. Hendry
A. Hindi
A. Hindi
M. Al Olayan
M. Al Olayan
O. Duda
O. Duda
M. Ali
M. Ali
J. Costa
J. Costa
G. Wijnaldum
G. Wijnaldum
K. Al Ghannam
🎯
K. Al Ghannam
M. Dembele
M. Dembele
NEOM 4-4-2
Starting XI
99
M. Bulka
G
4
K. Al Dawsari
↓ 79' 🟨 69'
D
26
A. Hegazy
D
44
N. Zeze
D
27
I. Hawsawi
↓ 67'
D
15
A. Al Oyayari
↓ 67'
M
18
A. Al Haji
⚽ 81'
72
A. Kone
M
80
R. Messi
↓ 79'
M
19
L. Rodriguez
↓ 55'
F
91
A. Lacazette
F
Substitutes
81
L. Maximiano
G
2
M. Al Burayk
↑ 79'
D
25
F. Abdi
↑ 67'
D
60
A. Al Anzi
🎯 81' ↑ 67'
F
61
Y. Gharwi
↑ 79'
M
93
A. Al Saluli
D
14
M. Al Saad
↑ 55'
F
95
A. Fallatah
M
54
F. Ghafli
M
Al-Ettifaq 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
M. Rodak
G
70
A. A. Khateeb
D
4
J. Hendry
D
37
A. Hindi
D
33
M. Al Olayan
↓ 69'
D
11
O. Duda
M
7
M. Ali
M
18
J. Costa
↓ 46'
M
8
G. Wijnaldum
M
17
K. Al Ghannam
🎯 6' ↓ 90+3'
M
9
M. Dembele
⚽ 6' ↓ 62'
F
Substitutes
22
Hawswi
6
F. Al Ghamdi
↑ 90+3'
19
Kouka
↑ 62'
F
71
M. Gluscevic
↑ 46'
F
2
Abdullah Al Bishi
F
29
Z. Al Ghamdi
24
Jalal Al Salem
F
20
A. Maghfori
↑ 90+3'
F
12
A. Dahal
↑ 69'
D
Last matches: NEOM
16.05.26
Pro
NEOM
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
0
2
L
11.05.26
Pro
NEOM
Al Shabab
2
1
W
02.05.26
Pro
NEOM
Al-Fateh
2
2
D
28.04.26
Pro
NEOM
Al-Hazm
1
1
D
11.04.26
Pro
NEOM
Al Najma
1
2
L
08.04.26
Pro
NEOM
Al-Ittihad FC
4
3
W
04.04.26
Pro
NEOM
Al-Fayha
1
0
W
12.03.26
Pro
NEOM
Al Taawon
2
2
D
07.03.26
Pro
NEOM
Al-Nassr
0
1
L
28.02.26
Pro
NEOM
Al Kholood
1
2
L
25.02.26
Pro
NEOM
Al-Fayha
1
1
D
21.02.26
Pro
NEOM
Al Khaleej Saihat
1
0
W
12.02.26
Pro
NEOM
Al-Qadisiyah FC
0
1
L
06.02.26
Pro
NEOM
Al Riyadh
1
0
W
02.02.26
Pro
NEOM
Al Okhdood
1
1
D
30.01.26
Pro
NEOM
Damac
3
0
W
24.01.26
Pro
NEOM
Al-Ahli Jeddah
0
3
L
21.01.26
Pro
NEOM
Al-Ettifaq
0
0
D
18.01.26
Pro
NEOM
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
1
2
L
14.01.26
Pro
NEOM
Al Shabab
2
3
L
Last matches: Al-Ettifaq
14.05.26
Pro
Al-Ettifaq
Al-Ittihad FC
1
3
L
09.05.26
Pro
Al-Ettifaq
Al Khaleej Saihat
5
0
W
04.05.26
Pro
Al-Ettifaq
Al Najma
0
0
D
30.04.26
Pro
Al-Ettifaq
Al Okhdood
3
1
W
15.04.26
Pro
Al-Ettifaq
Al-Nassr
0
1
L
09.04.26
Pro
Al-Ettifaq
Al Riyadh
2
3
L
05.04.26
Pro
Al-Ettifaq
Al-Qadisiyah FC
3
2
W
13.03.26
Pro
Al-Ettifaq
Al-Fayha
0
1
L
07.03.26
Pro
Al-Ettifaq
Al Shabab
1
1
D
27.02.26
Pro
Al-Ettifaq
Al-Hazm
1
3
L
23.02.26
Pro
Al-Ettifaq
Al-Qadisiyah FC
0
4
L
19.02.26
Pro
Al-Ettifaq
Al-Fateh
4
3
W
13.02.26
Pro
Al-Ettifaq
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
0
2
L
06.02.26
Pro
Al-Ettifaq
Damac
2
0
W
03.02.26
Pro
Al-Ettifaq
Al Taawon
1
0
W
28.01.26
Pro
Al-Ettifaq
Al-Ahli Jeddah
0
4
L
24.01.26
Pro
Al-Ettifaq
Al Kholood
2
1
W
21.01.26
Pro
Al-Ettifaq
NEOM
0
0
D
16.01.26
Pro
Al-Ettifaq
Al-Ittihad FC
1
0
W
12.01.26
Pro
Al-Ettifaq
Al Khaleej Saihat
1
2
L
H2H: NEOM vs Al-Ettifaq
21.05.26
H2H
NEOM
Al-Ettifaq
1
1
D
21.01.26
H2H
Al-Ettifaq
NEOM
0
0
D
Last matches: NEOM
11.05.26
Pro
NEOM
Al Shabab
2
1
W
28.04.26
Pro
NEOM
Al-Hazm
1
1
D
04.04.26
Pro
NEOM
Al-Fayha
1
0
W
12.03.26
Pro
NEOM
Al Taawon
2
2
D
28.02.26
Pro
NEOM
Al Kholood
1
2
L
06.02.26
Pro
NEOM
Al Riyadh
1
0
W
30.01.26
Pro
NEOM
Damac
3
0
W
24.01.26
Pro
NEOM
Al-Ahli Jeddah
0
3
L
18.01.26
Pro
NEOM
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
1
2
L
10.01.26
Pro
NEOM
Al-Fateh
0
1
L
31.12.25
Pro
NEOM
Al-Ittihad FC
1
3
L
25.12.25
Pro
NEOM
Al Najma
2
1
W
08.11.25
Pro
NEOM
Al-Nassr
1
3
L
24.10.25
Pro
NEOM
Al Khaleej Saihat
1
1
D
19.10.25
Pro
NEOM
Al-Qadisiyah FC
1
3
L
18.09.25
Pro
NEOM
Al Okhdood
1
0
W
H2H at home: NEOM
21.05.26
H2H
NEOM
Al-Ettifaq
1
1
D
Last matches: Al-Ettifaq
09.05.26
Pro
Al-Ettifaq
Al Khaleej Saihat
5
0
W
30.04.26
Pro
Al-Ettifaq
Al Okhdood
3
1
W
15.04.26
Pro
Al-Ettifaq
Al-Nassr
0
1
L
13.03.26
Pro
Al-Ettifaq
Al-Fayha
0
1
L
27.02.26
Pro
Al-Ettifaq
Al-Hazm
1
3
L
23.02.26
Pro
Al-Ettifaq
Al-Qadisiyah FC
0
4
L
13.02.26
Pro
Al-Ettifaq
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
0
2
L
28.01.26
Pro
Al-Ettifaq
Al-Ahli Jeddah
0
4
L
24.01.26
Pro
Al-Ettifaq
Al Kholood
2
1
W
16.01.26
Pro
Al-Ettifaq
Al-Ittihad FC
1
0
W
08.01.26
Pro
Al-Ettifaq
Al Najma
4
3
W
25.12.25
Pro
Al-Ettifaq
Al Riyadh
2
0
W
08.11.25
Pro
Al-Ettifaq
Al Shabab
1
1
D
24.10.25
Pro
Al-Ettifaq
Al-Fateh
1
2
L
26.09.25
Pro
Al-Ettifaq
Damac
3
1
W
18.09.25
Pro
Al-Ettifaq
Al Taawon
1
4
L
H2H away: Al-Ettifaq
21.05.26
H2H
NEOM
Al-Ettifaq
1
1
D

Standings

Saudi League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 28 2 4 91:28 63 86
W D W L W
2 34 25 9 0 85:27 58 84
W W D W W
3 34 25 6 3 71:25 46 81
W W W W W
4 34 23 8 3 83:34 49 77
W W W W W
5 34 16 7 11 55:48 7 55
L L W W D
6 34 15 8 11 59:46 13 53
L D L W L
7 34 14 8 12 51:55 -4 50
D L W D W
8
NEOM Home
34 12 9 13 43:48 -5 45
D L W D D
9 34 11 9 14 38:57 -19 42
W L D L D
10 34 10 8 16 41:54 -13 38
L L L W D
11 34 9 10 15 41:55 -14 37
D W L L D
12 34 10 7 17 54:62 -8 37
L L L L W
13 34 8 11 15 44:57 -13 35
L W L L L
14 34 9 6 19 39:61 -22 33
D L D D D
15 34 7 9 18 35:63 -28 30
W D W L L
16 34 6 11 17 32:55 -23 29
L W L L L
17 34 5 5 24 27:70 -43 20
L W D L L
18 34 3 7 24 32:76 -44 16
W L D D L
Champions League Elite
Champions League 2
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