Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
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| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Necaxa Win 0%
Draw 0%
Toluca Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Necaxa1.08
Toluca1.78
Recent Form (Last 5)
Necaxa
WWDLW
16 GF / 16 GA
Toluca
WLDWL
28 GF / 11 GA
Key Stats
1.23
Average Goals Scored
2.15
1.23
Average Goals Conceded
0.85
6
BTTS Yes
7
6
Over 2.5
8
0
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Necaxa
13 matches
Toluca
13 matches
| Necaxa | Statistic | Toluca |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Wins | 8 |
| 4 | Draws | 4 |
| 6 | Losses | 1 |
| 16 | Goals For | 28 |
| 16 | Goals Against | 11 |
| 1.23 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.15 |
| 1.23 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.85 |
| 6 | BTTS Yes | 7 |
| 9 | Over 1.5 | 11 |
| 6 | Over 2.5 | 8 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Necaxa won 2 times, Toluca won 10 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:35 from Necaxa's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.4 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Necaxa 3-4-2-1 / Toluca 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Necaxa wins 2, draws 3, Toluca wins 10
Last matches: Necaxa
24.08.26
Lig
Necaxa
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
1
1
D
18.08.26
Lig
Necaxa
Leon
1
2
L
03.08.26
Lig
Necaxa
Toluca
1
3
L
26.07.26
Lig
Necaxa
Monterrey
2
1
W
17.07.26
Lig
Necaxa
Atlante FC
2
1
W
11.07.26
Fri
Necaxa
Leon
0
0
D
04.07.26
Fri
Necaxa
Atlas
0
0
D
01.07.26
Fri
Necaxa
Correcaminos Uat
6
3
W
20.06.26
Fri
Necaxa
Monarcas
1
0
W
27.04.26
Lig
Necaxa
Cruz Azul
1
4
L
23.04.26
Lig
Necaxa
Guadalajara Chivas
0
0
D
18.04.26
Lig
Necaxa
Tigres UANL
1
1
D
11.04.26
Lig
Necaxa
Club Queretaro
1
3
L
04.04.26
Lig
Necaxa
Mazatlán
2
1
W
21.03.26
Lig
Necaxa
Club Tijuana
3
0
W
14.03.26
Lig
Necaxa
Puebla
0
0
D
07.03.26
Lig
Necaxa
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
0
1
L
04.03.26
Lig
Necaxa
CF Pachuca
1
2
L
01.03.26
Lig
Necaxa
Leon
1
2
L
22.02.26
Lig
Necaxa
Toluca
0
3
L
Last matches: Toluca
22.08.26
Lig
Toluca
Club Queretaro
0
0
D
15.08.26
Lig
Toluca
Atlante FC
0
0
D
03.08.26
Lig
Toluca
Necaxa
3
1
W
22.07.26
Lig
Toluca
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
1
2
L
19.07.26
Lig
Toluca
Guadalajara Chivas
2
0
W
10.07.26
Fri
Toluca
Atlante FC
3
3
D
04.07.26
Fri
Toluca
Cancún
0
1
L
31.05.26
CON
Toluca
Tigres UANL
1
1
D
10.05.26
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
0
2
L
07.05.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles FC
4
0
W
04.05.26
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
0
1
L
30.04.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles FC
1
2
L
26.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Leon
4
1
W
23.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Mazatlán
3
4
L
19.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Club America
1
2
L
16.04.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles Galaxy
3
0
W
13.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Atletico San Luis
1
1
D
09.04.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles Galaxy
4
2
W
04.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Club Queretaro
0
1
L
22.03.26
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
1
1
D
H2H: Necaxa vs Toluca
03.08.26
H2H
Toluca
Necaxa
3
1
L
22.02.26
H2H
Necaxa
Toluca
0
3
L
13.07.25
H2H
Toluca
Necaxa
3
1
L
08.03.25
H2H
Toluca
Necaxa
5
2
L
28.10.24
H2H
Necaxa
Toluca
1
3
L
10.02.24
H2H
Necaxa
Toluca
3
3
D
02.07.23
H2H
Toluca
Necaxa
0
0
D
30.04.23
H2H
Toluca
Necaxa
3
0
L
27.12.22
H2H
Toluca
Necaxa
1
0
L
02.07.22
H2H
Necaxa
Toluca
1
3
L
05.03.22
H2H
Necaxa
Toluca
0
1
L
21.10.21
H2H
Toluca
Necaxa
1
1
D
24.01.21
H2H
Toluca
Necaxa
2
0
L
31.10.20
H2H
Necaxa
Toluca
3
2
W
19.01.20
H2H
Toluca
Necaxa
2
3
W
Last matches: Necaxa
18.08.26
Lig
Necaxa
Leon
1
2
L
26.07.26
Lig
Necaxa
Monterrey
2
1
W
17.07.26
Lig
Necaxa
Atlante FC
2
1
W
20.06.26
Fri
Necaxa
Monarcas
1
0
W
23.04.26
Lig
Necaxa
Guadalajara Chivas
0
0
D
18.04.26
Lig
Necaxa
Tigres UANL
1
1
D
04.04.26
Lig
Necaxa
Mazatlán
2
1
W
21.03.26
Lig
Necaxa
Club Tijuana
3
0
W
07.03.26
Lig
Necaxa
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
0
1
L
22.02.26
Lig
Necaxa
Toluca
0
3
L
07.02.26
Lig
Necaxa
Atletico San Luis
4
1
W
17.01.26
Lig
Necaxa
Atlas
0
1
L
14.01.26
Lig
Necaxa
Monterrey
0
2
L
01.11.25
Lig
Necaxa
Santos Laguna
4
1
W
22.10.25
Lig
Necaxa
Cruz Azul
1
1
D
04.10.25
Lig
Necaxa
CF Pachuca
0
1
L
20.09.25
Lig
Necaxa
Puebla
1
0
W
13.09.25
Lig
Necaxa
FC Juarez
1
1
D
16.08.25
Lig
Necaxa
Leon
0
1
L
27.07.25
Lig
Necaxa
Club America
1
1
D
H2H at home: Necaxa
22.02.26
H2H
Necaxa
Toluca
0
3
L
28.10.24
H2H
Necaxa
Toluca
1
3
L
10.02.24
H2H
Necaxa
Toluca
3
3
D
02.07.22
H2H
Necaxa
Toluca
1
3
L
05.03.22
H2H
Necaxa
Toluca
0
1
L
31.10.20
H2H
Necaxa
Toluca
3
2
W
Last matches: Toluca
22.08.26
Lig
Toluca
Club Queretaro
0
0
D
15.08.26
Lig
Toluca
Atlante FC
0
0
D
19.07.26
Lig
Toluca
Guadalajara Chivas
2
0
W
10.07.26
Fri
Toluca
Atlante FC
3
3
D
04.07.26
Fri
Toluca
Cancún
0
1
L
10.05.26
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
0
2
L
30.04.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles FC
1
2
L
23.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Mazatlán
3
4
L
19.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Club America
1
2
L
16.04.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles Galaxy
3
0
W
04.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Club Queretaro
0
1
L
22.03.26
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
1
1
D
12.03.26
CON
Toluca
San Diego
2
3
L
04.03.26
Lig
Toluca
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
3
2
W
22.02.26
Lig
Toluca
Necaxa
3
0
W
31.01.26
Lig
Toluca
Puebla
0
0
D
18.01.26
Lig
Toluca
Tigres UANL
0
0
D
11.01.26
Lig
Toluca
Monterrey
1
0
W
12.12.25
Lig
Toluca
Tigres UANL
0
1
L
04.12.25
Lig
Toluca
Monterrey
0
1
L
H2H away: Toluca
22.02.26
H2H
Necaxa
Toluca
0
3
W
28.10.24
H2H
Necaxa
Toluca
1
3
W
10.02.24
H2H
Necaxa
Toluca
3
3
D
02.07.22
H2H
Necaxa
Toluca
1
3
W
05.03.22
H2H
Necaxa
Toluca
0
1
W
31.10.20
H2H
Necaxa
Toluca
3
2
L
Standings
Liga MX: Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 39:12 | 27 | 42 |
D
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 |
Toluca
Away
|
17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 38:16 | 22 | 35 |
W
L
D
W
W
|
| 3 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25:15 | 10 | 34 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 4 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 21:13 | 8 | 31 |
W
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 5 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 26:19 | 7 | 31 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 27:19 | 8 | 30 |
W
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24:25 | -1 | 29 |
W
D
L
D
D
|
|
| 8 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 27:21 | 6 | 27 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 24:15 | 9 | 25 |
L
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 17:23 | -6 | 22 |
D
D
L
D
D
|
|
| 11 | 17 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 21:23 | -2 | 18 |
L
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 12 | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 22:36 | -14 | 17 |
W
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 13 |
Necaxa
Home
|
17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 20:26 | -6 | 15 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
| 14 | 17 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 10:19 | -9 | 14 |
L
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 15 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 17:31 | -14 | 14 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 20:29 | -9 | 13 |
L
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 17 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 13:31 | -18 | 12 |
W
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 17 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 12:30 | -18 | 10 |
L
L
L
D
D
|
Final Series
Final Series Play-offs