Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
62.8%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
77.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
78.3%
|
- |
Necaxa
Tigres UANL
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Necaxa
31 matches
Tigres UANL
37 matches
| Necaxa | Statistic | Tigres UANL |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wins | 18 |
| 6 | Draws | 10 |
| 16 | Losses | 9 |
| 41 | Goals For | 66 |
| 52 | Goals Against | 39 |
| 1.32 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.78 |
| 1.68 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.05 |
| 19 | BTTS Yes | 21 |
| 25 | Over 1.5 | 27 |
| 18 | Over 2.5 | 19 |
| 10 | Over 3.5 | 11 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 13 |
| 10 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 4.55 | Shots On Goal | 5.3 |
| 14.58 | Total Shots | 15.05 |
| 5.13 | Corners | 5.43 |
| 50.3% | Ball Possession | 54.2% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights Tigres UANL's more proactive style and Necaxa's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Tigres UANL. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Necaxa expected to line up in 3-1-4-2 and Tigres UANL in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Tigres UANL having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
Necaxa are currently 12 in the standings with 16 points from 14 matches. Their overall return of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 8 losses with goals at 17:20 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by D. Cambindo (12 goals), Tomás Badaloni (7 goals), A. Palavecino (6 goals), with creative support from A. Palavecino (5 assists), Franco Rossano (4 assists), D. Cambindo (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
Tigres UANL sit 6 with 20 points after 14 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 6 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, while the 22:16 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Juan Brunetta (16 goals), A. Correa (14 goals), D. Lainez (6 goals), with creative support from Juan Brunetta (8 assists), A. Correa (8 assists), D. Lainez (7 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Necaxa won 1 times, Tigres UANL won 8 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:26 from Necaxa's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.53 goals per game.
Necaxa
2
5
4
6
1
6
Lineups
Necaxa
Atlante FC
Necaxa
Atlas
Necaxa
Correcaminos Uat
Necaxa
Monarcas
Necaxa
Cruz Azul
Necaxa
Guadalajara Chivas
Necaxa
Club Queretaro
Necaxa
Mazatlán
Necaxa
Club Tijuana
Necaxa
Puebla
Necaxa
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Necaxa
CF Pachuca
Necaxa
Leon
Necaxa
Toluca
Necaxa
FC Juarez
Necaxa
Atletico San Luis
Necaxa
Club America
Necaxa
Atlas
Necaxa
Monterrey
Necaxa
Santos Laguna
Tigres UANL
Club Tijuana
Tigres UANL
Toluca
Tigres UANL
Guadalajara Chivas
Tigres UANL
Nashville SC
Tigres UANL
Guadalajara Chivas
Tigres UANL
Nashville SC
Tigres UANL
Mazatlán
Tigres UANL
Atlas
Tigres UANL
Seattle Sounders
Tigres UANL
Guadalajara Chivas
Tigres UANL
Seattle Sounders
Tigres UANL
Club Tijuana
Tigres UANL
Club America
Tigres UANL
FC Juarez
Tigres UANL
FC Cincinnati
Tigres UANL
Club Queretaro
Tigres UANL
FC Cincinnati
Tigres UANL
Monterrey
Tigres UANL
Puebla
Tigres UANL
Club America
Necaxa
Atlante FC
Necaxa
Monarcas
Necaxa
Guadalajara Chivas
Necaxa
Mazatlán
Necaxa
Club Tijuana
Necaxa
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Necaxa
Toluca
Necaxa
Atletico San Luis
Necaxa
Atlas
Necaxa
Monterrey
Necaxa
Santos Laguna
Necaxa
Cruz Azul
Necaxa
CF Pachuca
Necaxa
Puebla
Necaxa
FC Juarez
Necaxa
Leon
Necaxa
Club America
Necaxa
Club Queretaro
Necaxa
Tigres UANL
Necaxa
Pachuca
Tigres UANL
Club Tijuana
Tigres UANL
Toluca
Tigres UANL
Guadalajara Chivas
Tigres UANL
Nashville SC
Tigres UANL
Atlas
Tigres UANL
Seattle Sounders
Tigres UANL
Club Tijuana
Tigres UANL
Club America
Tigres UANL
FC Juarez
Tigres UANL
FC Cincinnati
Tigres UANL
Puebla
Tigres UANL
Club America
Tigres UANL
Cruz Azul
Tigres UANL
Forge
Tigres UANL
Leon
Tigres UANL
Atletico San Luis
Tigres UANL
Toluca
Tigres UANL
Cruz Azul
Tigres UANL
Club Tijuana
Tigres UANL
Monterrey
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 34:17 | 17 | 36 |
L
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 2 | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 33:17 | 16 | 36 |
L
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 3 | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 31:18 | 13 | 33 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 25:19 | 6 | 31 |
L
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 5 | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 28:16 | 12 | 30 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 6 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 16:18 | -2 | 26 |
L
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 7 |
Tigres UANL
Away
|
17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 28:18 | 10 | 25 |
L
W
W
D
D
|
| 8 | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 20:17 | 3 | 25 |
D
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 17 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 19:17 | 2 | 23 |
D
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 22:32 | -10 | 22 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 11 | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 17:21 | -4 | 20 |
W
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 12 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 26:32 | -6 | 19 |
W
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 22:24 | -2 | 18 |
L
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 24:27 | -3 | 18 |
L
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 15 |
Necaxa
Home
|
17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 19:25 | -6 | 18 |
L
D
D
L
W
|
| 16 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 22:37 | -15 | 15 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 13:26 | -13 | 13 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 18 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 20:38 | -18 | 12 |
W
L
L
L
D
|