MEXICO › LIGA MX

26.07.2026 23:00

Necaxa

2 - 1

Monterrey

Estadio Victoria

Referee: Ivan Antonio Lopez Sanchez, Mexico

Necaxa

Match Timeline

Monterrey

0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'

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Necaxa vs Monterrey Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2

Home Win

Probability 59.1%

Odds -

BTTS

Yes

Probability 82.5%

Odds -

Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

Probability 77.2%

Odds -

All Markets

Market	Option	Probability	Odds	Stats & Analysis
1X2	Home Win	59.1%	-	▥
BTTS	Yes	82.5%	-	▥
Over / Under 2.5	Over 2.5	77.2%	-	▥
Corners O/U	Over 7.5 Corners	69.2%	-	▥
HT / FT	Home / Home	-	-	▥
Correct Score	2-1	-	-	▥

Probability Distribution

Necaxa Win 59.1%

Draw 8.6%

Monterrey Win 32.3%

Expected Goals (xG)

Necaxa1.54

Monterrey1.6

Recent Form (Last 5)

Necaxa

WWDLW

11 GF / 5 GA

Monterrey

WLDWL

19 GF / 10 GA

Key Stats

1.83

Average Goals Scored

2.11

0.83

Average Goals Conceded

1.11

BTTS Yes

Over 2.5

Shots on Goal

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Necaxa 6 matches

Monterrey 9 matches

Necaxa	Statistic	Monterrey
4	Wins	5
2	Draws	3
0	Losses	1
11	Goals For	19
5	Goals Against	10
1.83	Avg Goals Scored	2.11
0.83	Avg Goals Conceded	1.11
3	BTTS Yes	7
3	Over 1.5	9
3	Over 2.5	5
1	Over 3.5	3
3	Clean Sheets	2
2	Failed To Score	0
5	Shots On Goal	7
11	Total Shots	15.8
11	Corners	4
64%	Ball Possession	56.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Necaxa won 2 times, Monterrey won 10 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:29 from Necaxa's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win

BTTS: Yes

Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5

Highest model probability: 12 (91.4%)

Predicted formations: Necaxa 3-4-2-1 / Monterrey 4-2-3-1

H2H summary: Necaxa wins 2, draws 3, Monterrey wins 10

Standings

Liga MX: Apertura

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	Club America	10	6	3	1	22:11	11	21	D W D L W
2	Toluca	11	6	2	3	25:15	10	20	L D L W W
3	Club Queretaro	10	6	2	2	15:8	7	20	W W D W W
4	Guadalajara Chivas	11	5	4	2	18:11	7	19	D L D W W
5	Leon	11	5	3	3	15:12	3	18	D W D W L
6	Atlas	11	5	3	3	17:18	-1	18	D W D L D
7	Cruz Azul	11	5	2	4	22:21	1	17	D D L W W
8	Club Tijuana	10	4	3	3	15:14	1	15	D L D L W
9	Puebla	11	4	3	4	12:13	-1	15	D L D L W
10	Monterrey Away	10	4	2	4	17:15	2	14	D L W D L
11	CF Pachuca	11	3	4	4	18:14	4	13	D L D W W
12	U.N.A.M. - Pumas	11	3	4	4	17:19	-2	13	D L D L W
13	Tigres UANL	11	3	4	4	13:15	-2	13	W W L D D
14	Santos Laguna	11	4	1	6	12:16	-4	13	W W W W L
15	Atletico San Luis	11	3	3	5	15:20	-5	12	L W W L L
16	Atlante FC	11	2	5	4	12:17	-5	11	L W D L D
17	Necaxa Home	11	2	3	6	15:23	-8	9	D L L L D
18	FC Juarez	11	1	1	9	8:26	-18	4	D L W L L

Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs: Quarter-finals)