MEXICO LIGA MX
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Victoria
Referee: Luis Santander, Mexico
Necaxa
Match Timeline
Leon
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
27'
D. Arcila
Leon
🔄
46'
C. Vargas ↔ J. P. Torres Patino
Necaxa
🔄
46'
I. Moreno ↔ B. Colula
Leon
🟨
58'
Naves
Necaxa
🟥
60'
R. Echeverria
Leon
🔄
64'
Naves ↔ R. Martinez
Necaxa
🔄
64'
F. Beltran Cruz ↔ L. Valadez
Leon
🔄
64'
J. Cortizo ↔ J. P. Dominguez Chonteco
Leon
🔄
65'
L. Faravelli ↔ M. Zaleta
Necaxa
🔄
65'
R. Monreal ↔ E. Rodriguez
Necaxa
65'
M. Espindola · Assist: J. Valencia
Necaxa
72'
J. P. Dominguez Chonteco · Assist: L. Valadez
Leon
🔄
74'
S. Vegas ↔ S. Reyes
Leon
🔄
78'
M. Espindola ↔ M. Pedroza
Necaxa
🟨
79'
D. Leyva
Necaxa
🟨
81'
B. Colula
Leon
🔄
85'
D. Arcila ↔ P. Bellon
Leon

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 64%
Odds 2.46
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds 1.57
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.76
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
64%
2.46
BTTS Yes
82.5%
1.57
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.76
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.22
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.75
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.50
Probability Distribution
Necaxa Win 64%
Draw 5.7%
Leon Win 30.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Necaxa1.73
Leon1.74
Recent Form (Last 5)
Necaxa Necaxa
WWDLW
14 GF / 9 GA
Leon Leon
WLDWL
15 GF / 12 GA
Key Stats
1.75
Average Goals Scored
2.14
1.13
Average Goals Conceded
1.71
5
BTTS Yes
4
5
Over 2.5
4
5.67
Shots on Goal
5.33

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Necaxa Necaxa 8 matches
Leon Leon 7 matches
Necaxa Statistic Leon
5 Wins 3
2 Draws 1
1 Losses 3
14 Goals For 15
9 Goals Against 12
1.75 Avg Goals Scored 2.14
1.13 Avg Goals Conceded 1.71
5 BTTS Yes 4
5 Over 1.5 4
5 Over 2.5 4
2 Over 3.5 3
3 Clean Sheets 2
2 Failed To Score 2
5.67 Shots On Goal 5.33
12.67 Total Shots 14
5.67 Corners 6.33
51.3% Ball Possession 53%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Necaxa won 4 times, Leon won 8 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:22 from Necaxa's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.71 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.3%)
Predicted formations: Necaxa 3-4-2-1 / Leon 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Necaxa wins 4, draws 2, Leon wins 8
Stats
Necaxa Necaxa
Leon Leon
Shots on Goal
8
Shots on Goal
7
Shots off Goal
10
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
6
Blocked Shots
5
7 Corner Kicks 3
15 Fouls 14
0 Offsides 0
61% Ball Possession 39%
24 Total Shots 16
8 Shots on Goal 7
10 Shots off Goal 4
6 Blocked Shots 5
11 Shots insidebox 7
13 Shots outsidebox 9
5 Goalkeeper Saves 7
432 Total passes 282
377 Passes accurate 204
1.19 expected_goals 0.97
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 1 🟥

Lineups

Necaxa
Formation
Leon
L. Jimenez
L. Jimenez
Naves
Naves
A. Pena
A. Pena
F. Mendez
F. Mendez
R. Monreal
R. Monreal
D. Leyva
D. Leyva
L. Faravelli
L. Faravelli
C. Vargas
C. Vargas
M. Espindola
M. Espindola
J. Ruiz
J. Ruiz
J. Valencia
🎯
J. Valencia
O. Garcia
O. Garcia
I. Moreno
I. Moreno
J. Romana
J. Romana
J. Guevara
J. Guevara
S. Vegas
S. Vegas
I. Rodriguez
I. Rodriguez
J. Cortizo
J. Cortizo
R. Echeverria
R. Echeverria
F. Beltran Cruz
F. Beltran Cruz
D. Arcila
D. Arcila
D. Cambindo
D. Cambindo
Necaxa 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
12
L. Jimenez
G
5
Naves
↓ 64' 🟨 58'
D
4
A. Pena
D
20
F. Mendez
D
30
R. Monreal
↓ 65'
M
6
D. Leyva
🟨 79'
M
8
L. Faravelli
↓ 65'
M
88
C. Vargas
↓ 46'
M
21
M. Espindola
⚽ 65' ↓ 78'
F
10
J. Ruiz
F
90
J. Valencia
🎯 65'
F
Substitutes
1
C. Andrade
G
33
R. Martinez
↑ 64'
D
15
D. Ochoa
D
14
M. Zaleta
↑ 65'
M
11
J. P. Torres Patino
↑ 46'
M
13
O. Gonzalez
M
17
R. Cortez
M
16
P. Pedraza
M
27
M. Pedroza
↑ 78'
F
99
E. Rodriguez
↑ 65'
M
Leon 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
23
O. Garcia
G
7
I. Moreno
↓ 46'
D
14
J. Romana
D
3
J. Guevara
D
5
S. Vegas
↓ 74'
D
29
I. Rodriguez
M
16
J. Cortizo
↓ 64'
M
20
R. Echeverria
🟥 60'
M
6
F. Beltran Cruz
↓ 64'
13
D. Arcila
⚽ 27' ↓ 85'
M
27
D. Cambindo
F
Substitutes
12
J. Gonzalez
G
185
C. Mora
4
B. Colula
↑ 46' 🟨 81'
D
26
S. Reyes
↑ 74'
M
25
P. Bellon
↑ 85'
D
35
L. Valadez
🎯 72' ↑ 64'
M
8
J. P. Dominguez Chonteco
⚽ 72' ↑ 64'
M
22
S. Santos
M
203
J. Lara
D
19
A. Alvarado
F
Last matches: Necaxa
03.08.26
Lig
Necaxa
Toluca
1
3
L
26.07.26
Lig
Necaxa
Monterrey
2
1
W
17.07.26
Lig
Necaxa
Atlante FC
2
1
W
11.07.26
Fri
Necaxa
Leon
0
0
D
04.07.26
Fri
Necaxa
Atlas
0
0
D
01.07.26
Fri
Necaxa
Correcaminos Uat
6
3
W
20.06.26
Fri
Necaxa
Monarcas
1
0
W
27.04.26
Lig
Necaxa
Cruz Azul
1
4
L
23.04.26
Lig
Necaxa
Guadalajara Chivas
0
0
D
18.04.26
Lig
Necaxa
Tigres UANL
1
1
D
11.04.26
Lig
Necaxa
Club Queretaro
1
3
L
04.04.26
Lig
Necaxa
Mazatlán
2
1
W
21.03.26
Lig
Necaxa
Club Tijuana
3
0
W
14.03.26
Lig
Necaxa
Puebla
0
0
D
07.03.26
Lig
Necaxa
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
0
1
L
04.03.26
Lig
Necaxa
CF Pachuca
1
2
L
01.03.26
Lig
Necaxa
Leon
1
2
L
22.02.26
Lig
Necaxa
Toluca
0
3
L
15.02.26
Lig
Necaxa
FC Juarez
2
1
W
07.02.26
Lig
Necaxa
Atletico San Luis
4
1
W
Last matches: Leon
02.08.26
Lig
Leon
CF Pachuca
1
0
W
25.07.26
Lig
Leon
Club Tijuana
0
1
L
18.07.26
Lig
Leon
Atlas
2
3
L
11.07.26
Fri
Leon
Necaxa
0
0
D
03.07.26
Fri
Leon
Tapatío
4
2
W
27.06.26
Fri
Leon
Mineros de Zacatecas
7
4
W
26.04.26
Lig
Leon
Toluca
1
4
L
22.04.26
Lig
Leon
Club America
2
3
L
19.04.26
Lig
Leon
FC Juarez
3
1
W
11.04.26
Lig
Leon
Puebla
1
0
W
05.04.26
Lig
Leon
Atlas
2
0
W
22.03.26
Lig
Leon
Atletico San Luis
2
1
W
19.03.26
Lig
Leon
Guadalajara Chivas
0
5
L
15.03.26
Lig
Leon
Club Tijuana
0
3
L
07.03.26
Lig
Leon
Mazatlán
2
4
L
01.03.26
Lig
Leon
Necaxa
2
1
W
22.02.26
Lig
Leon
Santos Laguna
2
1
W
15.02.26
Lig
Leon
Monterrey
0
1
L
07.02.26
Lig
Leon
Club Queretaro
0
2
L
01.02.26
Lig
Leon
Tigres UANL
1
2
L
H2H: Necaxa vs Leon
11.07.26
H2H
Leon
Necaxa
0
0
D
01.03.26
H2H
Leon
Necaxa
2
1
L
03.01.26
H2H
Leon
Necaxa
1
2
W
16.08.25
H2H
Necaxa
Leon
0
1
L
15.03.25
H2H
Necaxa
Leon
2
1
W
22.07.24
H2H
Leon
Necaxa
1
1
D
01.04.24
H2H
Necaxa
Leon
1
2
L
02.09.23
H2H
Leon
Necaxa
1
1
D
17.01.23
H2H
Leon
Necaxa
2
1
L
03.09.22
H2H
Necaxa
Leon
3
2
W
26.02.22
H2H
Necaxa
Leon
0
1
L
06.11.21
H2H
Leon
Necaxa
3
0
L
03.07.21
H2H
Leon
Necaxa
0
3
W
16.03.21
H2H
Leon
Necaxa
3
1
L
05.09.20
H2H
Necaxa
Leon
0
2
L
Last matches: Necaxa
26.07.26
Lig
Necaxa
Monterrey
2
1
W
17.07.26
Lig
Necaxa
Atlante FC
2
1
W
20.06.26
Fri
Necaxa
Monarcas
1
0
W
23.04.26
Lig
Necaxa
Guadalajara Chivas
0
0
D
18.04.26
Lig
Necaxa
Tigres UANL
1
1
D
04.04.26
Lig
Necaxa
Mazatlán
2
1
W
21.03.26
Lig
Necaxa
Club Tijuana
3
0
W
07.03.26
Lig
Necaxa
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
0
1
L
22.02.26
Lig
Necaxa
Toluca
0
3
L
07.02.26
Lig
Necaxa
Atletico San Luis
4
1
W
17.01.26
Lig
Necaxa
Atlas
0
1
L
14.01.26
Lig
Necaxa
Monterrey
0
2
L
01.11.25
Lig
Necaxa
Santos Laguna
4
1
W
22.10.25
Lig
Necaxa
Cruz Azul
1
1
D
04.10.25
Lig
Necaxa
CF Pachuca
0
1
L
20.09.25
Lig
Necaxa
Puebla
1
0
W
13.09.25
Lig
Necaxa
FC Juarez
1
1
D
16.08.25
Lig
Necaxa
Leon
0
1
L
27.07.25
Lig
Necaxa
Club America
1
1
D
19.07.25
Lig
Necaxa
Club Queretaro
3
1
W
H2H at home: Necaxa
16.08.25
H2H
Necaxa
Leon
0
1
L
15.03.25
H2H
Necaxa
Leon
2
1
W
01.04.24
H2H
Necaxa
Leon
1
2
L
03.09.22
H2H
Necaxa
Leon
3
2
W
26.02.22
H2H
Necaxa
Leon
0
1
L
05.09.20
H2H
Necaxa
Leon
0
2
L
Last matches: Leon
25.07.26
Lig
Leon
Club Tijuana
0
1
L
26.04.26
Lig
Leon
Toluca
1
4
L
11.04.26
Lig
Leon
Puebla
1
0
W
22.03.26
Lig
Leon
Atletico San Luis
2
1
W
19.03.26
Lig
Leon
Guadalajara Chivas
0
5
L
07.03.26
Lig
Leon
Mazatlán
2
4
L
15.02.26
Lig
Leon
Monterrey
0
1
L
07.02.26
Lig
Leon
Club Queretaro
0
2
L
18.01.26
Lig
Leon
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
1
1
D
14.01.26
Lig
Leon
CF Pachuca
1
2
L
02.11.25
Lig
Leon
Club America
0
2
L
23.10.25
Lig
Leon
Atlas
0
2
L
18.10.25
Lig
Leon
Santos Laguna
0
2
L
27.09.25
Lig
Leon
FC Juarez
0
2
L
20.09.25
Lig
Leon
Club Tijuana
0
5
L
14.09.25
Lig
Leon
Tigres UANL
0
0
D
16.08.25
Lig
Leon
Necaxa
1
0
W
27.07.25
Lig
Leon
Cruz Azul
1
4
L
12.05.25
Lig
Leon
Cruz Azul
1
2
L
16.04.25
Lig
Leon
Cruz Azul
1
2
L
H2H away: Leon
16.08.25
H2H
Necaxa
Leon
0
1
W
15.03.25
H2H
Necaxa
Leon
2
1
L
01.04.24
H2H
Necaxa
Leon
1
2
W
03.09.22
H2H
Necaxa
Leon
3
2
L
26.02.22
H2H
Necaxa
Leon
0
1
W
05.09.20
H2H
Necaxa
Leon
0
2
W
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Home 2.46
Draw 3.59
Away 2.83
FIRST HALF WINNER
Home 3.00
Draw 2.41
Away 3.39
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.23
Under 1.5 4.25
Over 2.25 1.55
Under 2.25 2.52
Over 2.5 1.76
Under 2.5 2.13
Over 2.75 1.96
Under 2.75 1.91
Over 3.5 2.85
Under 3.5 1.44
Over 3.0 2.27
Under 3.0 1.67
Over 4.5 5.23
Under 4.5 1.17
Over 3.25 2.57
Under 3.25 1.53
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Home 2.35
Draw 3.40
Away 2.90
FIRST HALF WINNER
Home 3.00
Draw 2.30
Away 3.20
SECOND HALF WINNER
Home 2.60
Draw 2.60
Away 2.88
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.20
Under 1.5 4.33
Over 2.5 1.70
Under 2.5 2.10
Over 3.5 2.62
Under 3.5 1.44
Over 0.5 1.04
Under 0.5 13.00
Over 4.5 5.00
Under 4.5 1.17
Over 7.5 41.00
Under 7.5 1.00
Over 5.5 11.00
Under 5.5 1.05
Over 6.5 21.00
Under 6.5 1.01
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Home 2.38
Draw 3.42
Away 2.74
FIRST HALF WINNER
Home 2.90
Draw 2.17
Away 3.40
SECOND HALF WINNER
Home 2.60
Draw 2.57
Away 2.97
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.17
Under 1.5 4.00
Over 1.75 1.23
Under 1.75 3.56
Over 2.0 1.28
Under 2.0 3.18
Over 2.25 1.50
Under 2.25 2.49
Over 2.5 1.68
Under 2.5 2.12
Over 2.75 1.86
Under 2.75 1.89
Over 3.5 2.56
Under 3.5 1.40
Over 0.5 1.02
Under 0.5 11.80
Over 1.0 1.02
Under 1.0 8.70
Over 1.25 1.08
Under 1.25 5.49
Over 3.0 2.06
Under 3.0 1.64
Over 4.5 4.65
Under 4.5 1.12
Over 3.25 2.31
Under 3.25 1.49
Over 3.75 3.05
Under 3.75 1.28
Over 4.0 3.96
Under 4.0 1.17
Over 4.25 4.30
Under 4.25 1.15
Over 4.75 5.80
Under 4.75 1.07
Over 5.0 8.10
Under 5.0 1.02
Over 7.5 41.00
Under 7.5 1.00
Over 5.5 8.70
Under 5.5 1.01
Over 6.5 21.00
Under 6.5 1.01
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Home 2.25
Draw 3.45
Away 2.80
FIRST HALF WINNER
Home 2.65
Draw 2.23
Away 3.10
SECOND HALF WINNER
Home 2.60
Draw 2.75
Away 2.90
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.18
Under 1.5 4.30
Over 2.5 1.64
Under 2.5 2.12
Over 2.75 1.84
Under 2.75 1.91
Over 3.5 2.65
Under 3.5 1.42
Over 3.0 2.12
Under 3.0 1.68
Over 4.5 4.90
Under 4.5 1.14
Over 3.25 2.40
Under 3.25 1.54
Over 3.75 3.15
Under 3.75 1.32
Over 4.0 4.10
Under 4.0 1.21
Over 5.5 9.50
Under 5.5 1.03

Standings

Liga MX: Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 4 3 1 0 8:1 7 10
W W D W
2 4 3 1 0 6:2 4 10
W D W W
3 4 3 0 1 12:5 7 9
W W L W
4 4 3 0 1 6:5 1 9
W L W W
5 4 2 1 1 6:3 3 7
D W L W
6 4 2 1 1 7:5 2 7
D W W L
7 4 2 1 1 6:5 1 7
W D L W
8 4 2 1 1 5:4 1 7
D W W L
9 4 2 1 1 3:3 0 7
W D W L
10 4 2 0 2 8:8 0 6
L L W W
11
Leon Away
4 2 0 2 5:5 0 6
W W L L
12 4 2 0 2 6:7 -1 6
L L W W
13 4 1 2 1 5:5 0 5
D W D L
14 4 1 0 3 6:6 0 3
L L L W
15 4 0 2 2 4:8 -4 2
L D D L
16 4 0 1 3 6:10 -4 1
L L D L
17 4 0 0 4 2:8 -6 0
L L L L
18 4 0 0 4 2:13 -11 0
L L L L
Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs: Quarter-finals)