Necaxa
Match Timeline
Leon
Necaxa vs Leon Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Home Win
BTTS
Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
64%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
82.5%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
77.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Probability Distribution
Necaxa Win 64%
Draw 5.7%
Leon Win 30.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Necaxa1.73
Leon1.74
Recent Form (Last 5)
Necaxa
WWDLW
14 GF / 9 GA
Leon
WLDWL
15 GF / 12 GA
Key Stats
1.75
Average Goals Scored
2.14
1.13
Average Goals Conceded
1.71
5
BTTS Yes
4
5
Over 2.5
4
5.67
Shots on Goal
5.33
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Necaxa
8 matches
Leon
7 matches
| Necaxa | Statistic | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 3 |
| 2 | Draws | 1 |
| 1 | Losses | 3 |
| 14 | Goals For | 15 |
| 9 | Goals Against | 12 |
| 1.75 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.14 |
| 1.13 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.71 |
| 5 | BTTS Yes | 4 |
| 5 | Over 1.5 | 4 |
| 5 | Over 2.5 | 4 |
| 2 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 2 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 5.67 | Shots On Goal | 5.33 |
| 12.67 | Total Shots | 14 |
| 5.67 | Corners | 6.33 |
| 51.3% | Ball Possession | 52.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Necaxa won 4 times, Leon won 8 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:22 from Necaxa's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.
1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.3%)
Predicted formations: Necaxa 3-4-2-1 / Leon 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Necaxa wins 4, draws 3, Leon wins 8
Standings
Liga MX: Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 22:11 | 11 | 21 |
D
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 2 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 25:15 | 10 | 20 |
L
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15:8 | 7 | 20 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18:11 | 7 | 19 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 5 |
Leon
Away
|
11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 18 |
D
W
D
W
L
|
| 6 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 17:18 | -1 | 18 |
D
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 7 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 22:21 | 1 | 17 |
D
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15:14 | 1 | 15 |
D
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12:13 | -1 | 15 |
D
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17:15 | 2 | 14 |
D
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 11 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 18:14 | 4 | 13 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 12 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 17:19 | -2 | 13 |
D
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 13 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 13:15 | -2 | 13 |
W
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 14 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 12:16 | -4 | 13 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 15 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15:20 | -5 | 12 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 12:17 | -5 | 11 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 17 |
Necaxa
Home
|
11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 15:23 | -8 | 9 |
D
L
L
L
D
|
| 18 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 8:26 | -18 | 4 |
D
L
W
L
L
|
Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs: Quarter-finals)