NEC
Match Timeline
Mbarara City
Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Home Win
BTTS
BTTS No
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
95.2%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
61%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
72.2%
|
- |
Probability Distribution
NEC Win 95.2%
Draw 0%
Mbarara City Win 4.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
NEC1.26
Mbarara City0.74
Recent Form (Last 5)
NEC
WWDLW
25 GF / 16 GA
Mbarara City
WLDWL
19 GF / 38 GA
Key Stats
1.04
Average Goals Scored
0.79
0.67
Average Goals Conceded
1.58
10
BTTS Yes
14
5
Over 2.5
9
0
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
NEC
24 matches
Mbarara City
24 matches
| NEC | Statistic | Mbarara City |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wins | 3 |
| 11 | Draws | 8 |
| 3 | Losses | 13 |
| 25 | Goals For | 19 |
| 16 | Goals Against | 38 |
| 1.04 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.79 |
| 0.67 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.58 |
| 10 | BTTS Yes | 14 |
| 11 | Over 1.5 | 16 |
| 5 | Over 2.5 | 9 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 13 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 8 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, NEC won 5 times, Mbarara City won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:1 from NEC's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.33 goals per game.
1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
H2H summary: NEC wins 5, draws 1, Mbarara City wins 0
Last matches: NEC
23.05.26
Pre
NEC
Calvary
0
2
L
20.05.26
Pre
NEC
SC Villa
1
4
L
09.05.26
Pre
NEC
Kitara
1
0
W
28.04.26
Pre
NEC
BUL
1
0
W
21.04.26
Pre
NEC
Express
0
0
D
18.04.26
Pre
NEC
Maroons
1
0
W
09.04.26
Pre
NEC
URA
1
0
W
13.03.26
Pre
NEC
Police
1
0
W
10.03.26
Pre
NEC
Entebbe UPPC
0
0
D
06.03.26
Pre
NEC
Lugazi
2
0
W
03.03.26
Pre
NEC
UPDF
1
0
W
17.02.26
Pre
NEC
Vipers
1
1
D
13.02.26
Pre
NEC
KCCA
3
1
W
31.01.26
Pre
NEC
Express
0
0
D
27.01.26
Pre
NEC
Buhimba Saints
1
0
W
24.01.26
Pre
NEC
Kitara
3
3
D
07.01.26
Pre
NEC
Lugazi
1
0
W
16.12.25
Pre
NEC
UPDF
0
0
D
12.12.25
Pre
NEC
KCCA
1
2
L
05.12.25
Pre
NEC
Vipers
1
1
D
Last matches: Mbarara City
23.05.26
Pre
Mbarara City
KCCA
1
4
L
19.05.26
Pre
Mbarara City
Buhimba Saints
2
0
W
13.05.26
Pre
Mbarara City
SC Villa
1
3
L
06.05.26
Pre
Mbarara City
Lugazi
1
0
W
28.04.26
Pre
Mbarara City
Express
2
1
W
21.04.26
Pre
Mbarara City
Maroons
2
2
D
16.04.26
Pre
Mbarara City
Police
1
2
L
09.04.26
Pre
Mbarara City
UPDF
1
3
L
13.03.26
Pre
Mbarara City
BUL
0
0
D
10.03.26
Pre
Mbarara City
Kitara
0
1
L
07.03.26
Pre
Mbarara City
Vipers
1
2
L
04.03.26
Pre
Mbarara City
URA
0
2
L
17.02.26
Pre
Mbarara City
Entebbe UPPC
0
1
L
12.02.26
Pre
Mbarara City
Calvary
1
0
W
31.01.26
Pre
Mbarara City
Maroons
1
1
D
28.01.26
Pre
Mbarara City
SC Villa
1
6
L
24.01.26
Pre
Mbarara City
Lugazi
0
0
D
06.01.26
Pre
Mbarara City
Vipers
0
2
L
17.12.25
Pre
Mbarara City
URA
1
0
W
13.12.25
Pre
Mbarara City
Calvary
1
1
D
H2H: NEC vs Mbarara City
24.04.26
H2H
NEC
Mbarara City
0
0
D
01.11.25
H2H
Mbarara City
NEC
0
1
W
30.04.25
H2H
Mbarara City
NEC
1
2
W
04.01.25
H2H
NEC
Mbarara City
1
0
W
09.02.24
H2H
NEC
Mbarara City
2
0
W
15.09.23
H2H
Mbarara City
NEC
0
1
W
Last matches: NEC
20.05.26
Pre
NEC
SC Villa
1
4
L
18.04.26
Pre
NEC
Maroons
1
0
W
09.04.26
Pre
NEC
URA
1
0
W
10.03.26
Pre
NEC
Entebbe UPPC
0
0
D
03.03.26
Pre
NEC
UPDF
1
0
W
13.02.26
Pre
NEC
KCCA
3
1
W
31.01.26
Pre
NEC
Express
0
0
D
24.01.26
Pre
NEC
Kitara
3
3
D
07.01.26
Pre
NEC
Lugazi
1
0
W
05.12.25
Pre
NEC
Vipers
1
1
D
25.11.25
Pre
NEC
Calvary
1
0
W
08.11.25
Pre
NEC
BUL
1
1
D
18.10.25
Pre
NEC
Police
2
2
D
H2H at home: NEC
24.04.26
H2H
NEC
Mbarara City
0
0
D
04.01.25
H2H
NEC
Mbarara City
1
0
W
09.02.24
H2H
NEC
Mbarara City
2
0
W
Last matches: Mbarara City
23.05.26
Pre
Mbarara City
KCCA
1
4
L
06.05.26
Pre
Mbarara City
Lugazi
1
0
W
09.04.26
Pre
Mbarara City
UPDF
1
3
L
13.03.26
Pre
Mbarara City
BUL
0
0
D
04.03.26
Pre
Mbarara City
URA
0
2
L
17.02.26
Pre
Mbarara City
Entebbe UPPC
0
1
L
31.01.26
Pre
Mbarara City
Maroons
1
1
D
28.01.26
Pre
Mbarara City
SC Villa
1
6
L
06.01.26
Pre
Mbarara City
Vipers
0
2
L
13.12.25
Pre
Mbarara City
Calvary
1
1
D
21.11.25
Pre
Mbarara City
Buhimba Saints
2
1
W
05.11.25
Pre
Mbarara City
Express
1
4
L
24.10.25
Pre
Mbarara City
Kitara
2
3
L
26.09.25
Pre
Mbarara City
Police
1
1
D
H2H away: Mbarara City
24.04.26
H2H
NEC
Mbarara City
0
0
D
04.01.25
H2H
NEC
Mbarara City
1
0
L
09.02.24
H2H
NEC
Mbarara City
2
0
L
Standings
Premier League
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 30 | 19 | 10 | 1 | 55:17 | 38 | 67 |
W
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 2 | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 46:22 | 24 | 62 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 30 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 47:17 | 30 | 61 |
W
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 4 | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 43:22 | 21 | 56 |
D
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 30:20 | 10 | 51 |
W
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 6 |
NEC
Home
|
30 | 13 | 12 | 5 | 31:22 | 9 | 51 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
| 7 | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 42:35 | 7 | 47 |
D
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 8 | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 26:27 | -1 | 38 |
W
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 9 | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 30:33 | -3 | 37 |
L
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 10 | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 28:31 | -3 | 37 |
L
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 11 | 30 | 5 | 16 | 9 | 27:30 | -3 | 31 |
W
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 12 |
Mbarara City
Away
|
30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 26:46 | -20 | 27 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
| 13 | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 19:36 | -17 | 25 |
L
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 14 | 30 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 24:41 | -17 | 22 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 30 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 14:39 | -25 | 21 |
W
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 16 | 30 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 16:66 | -50 | 15 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
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Relegation - Big League