UGANDA PREMIER LEAGUE
24.04.2026 17:00
MTN Omondi Stadium
NEC
Match Timeline
Mbarara City
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
53'
H. Sebwalunyo · Assist: H. Sebwalunyo
NEC

NEC vs Mbarara City Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 95.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 61%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 72.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
95.2%
-
BTTS BTTS No
61%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
72.2%
-
Probability Distribution
NEC Win 95.2%
Draw 0%
Mbarara City Win 4.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
NEC1.26
Mbarara City0.74
Recent Form (Last 5)
NEC NEC
WWDLW
25 GF / 16 GA
Mbarara City Mbarara City
WLDWL
19 GF / 38 GA
Key Stats
1.04
Average Goals Scored
0.79
0.67
Average Goals Conceded
1.58
10
BTTS Yes
14
5
Over 2.5
9
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

NEC NEC 24 matches
Mbarara City Mbarara City 24 matches
NEC Statistic Mbarara City
10 Wins 3
11 Draws 8
3 Losses 13
25 Goals For 19
16 Goals Against 38
1.04 Avg Goals Scored 0.79
0.67 Avg Goals Conceded 1.58
10 BTTS Yes 14
11 Over 1.5 16
5 Over 2.5 9
3 Over 3.5 5
13 Clean Sheets 4
5 Failed To Score 8
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, NEC won 5 times, Mbarara City won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:1 from NEC's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.33 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
H2H summary: NEC wins 5, draws 1, Mbarara City wins 0

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 19 10 1 55:17 38 67
W W D D D
2 30 19 5 6 46:22 24 62
W D W W D
3 30 18 7 5 47:17 30 61
W W W D L
4 30 16 8 6 43:22 21 56
D D L L W
5 30 14 9 7 30:20 10 51
W D D W W
6
NEC Home
30 13 12 5 31:22 9 51
L L W W W
7 30 13 8 9 42:35 7 47
D D D L W
8 30 9 11 10 26:27 -1 38
W L D L D
9 30 9 10 11 30:33 -3 37
L D D D L
10 30 9 10 11 28:31 -3 37
L D W W L
11 30 5 16 9 27:30 -3 31
W D D D D
12 30 6 9 15 26:46 -20 27
L W L W W
13 30 5 10 15 19:36 -17 25
L D D L W
14 30 5 7 18 24:41 -17 22
L D L L L
15 30 4 9 17 14:39 -25 21
W D D W L
16 30 4 3 23 16:66 -50 15
L L L L L
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Big League